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RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,513 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/13/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#557
Midday (2026-09-05)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

234 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
234 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 01 pair usually brings 32, 28 pairs (from 601 Evening 2026-09-04) · after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 601 Evening 2026-09-04) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 557)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 96.4%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 141 -71.8% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 3 1 33.3% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.60% 0.71% +0.11%
Capital Invested $125.00 $47.25 +$89.75 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$12.50 +$27.75 +$40.25 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -10.0% 58.7% +68.7% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (5 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 2,696 drawings (2023-01-01 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-178 (-28.4% ROI across 2,513 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$178.25
Return on Investment -28.4%
Hit Rate 0.28%
Max Drawdown -$-225.5
Active Drawings 2,696
Total Plays Placed 2,513
Total Winning Hits 7
Gross Revenue $450
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
2 hits
+$75
double 2x Double ($75.00)
5 hits
+$375

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $628.25
Total Payout (Gross) $450
Net Profit / Loss -$178.25
Final Bankroll $321.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-225.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-338.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$3.75
-100.0% ROI
+$40.25
115.8% ROI
-$5.25
-6.5% ROI
+$16.25
9.5% ROI
-$91.25
-25.8% ROI
-$124.25
-23.1% ROI
-$178.25
-28.4% ROI
3 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $137.5 $112.5 -$25 2 -18.2%
2024 $183 $150 -$33 2 -18.0%
2025 $182.5 $37.5 -$145 1 -79.5%
2026 $125.25 $150 +$24.75 2 19.8%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-04 $-15
23-05 $22
23-06 $-15
23-07 $-16
23-08 $-16
23-09 $-15
23-10 $-16
23-11 $60
23-12 $-16
24-01 $-16
24-02 $-15
24-03 $-16
24-04 $-15
24-05 $-16
24-06 $-15
24-07 $-16
24-08 $-16
24-09 $60
24-10 $-16
24-11 $60
24-12 $-16
25-01 $-16
25-02 $-14
25-03 $-16
25-04 $-15
25-05 $-16
25-06 $-15
25-07 $-16
25-08 $-16
25-09 $-15
25-10 $-16
25-11 $23
25-12 $-16
26-01 $-16
26-02 $61
26-03 $-16
26-04 $-15
26-05 $-16
26-06 $-15
26-07 $60
26-08 $-16
26-09 $-4

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

7 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 6.4
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
28.6%
2 of 7 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 10
2 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 1 drops (14.3%)
Draw 2 1 drops (14.3%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 6 1 drops (14.3%)
Draw 7 1 drops (14.3%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 1 drops (14.3%)
Draw 10 ★ 2 drops (28.6%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

224 1 hits 266 1 hits 336 1 hits 367 1 hits 378 1 hits 388 1 hits 448 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 7)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-07-06 Evening 448 448 double 2x Double +$75.00 4 brings 8; sets 8&4, 4&1, 8&1 (from 242 Midday 2026-07-02) · after a double look for 3, 4, or 8 within a couple draws (from 882 Midday 2026-07-03) — contains digit 4 [RB9 Root 7 Aligned] · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 882)
2026-02-28 Midday 336 336 double 2x Double +$75.00 after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 970 Midday 2026-02-23) · after 0: brings 3 or 6, or another 0 (from 970 Midday 2026-02-23) — contains digit 3 [RB9 Root 3 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970)
2025-11-30 Midday 837 378 distinct +$37.50 58: look for 78 and/or 30 pair (from 583 Midday 2025-11-29) · 5: look for 7; sets 7&5, 5&2, 7&0, 7&1 (from 583 Midday 2025-11-29) — contains digit 7 [RB9 Root 9 Aligned] · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 583)
2024-11-24 Midday 626 266 double 2x Double +$75.00 2 drawn in sets: 2&6, 5&2, 7&2 (from 216 Midday 2024-11-19) · 6: look for 2 or 3 to follow (from 216 Midday 2024-11-19) — contains digit 2 [RB9 Root 5 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 216)
2024-09-25 Midday 422 224 double 2x Double +$75.00 0 or 7 brings 42 pair (14x in Cici's Sep 2026 notes) (from 137 Evening 2024-09-20) · after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 901 Midday 2024-09-20) [RB9 Root 8 Aligned] · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 137)
2023-11-10 Evening 388 388 double 2x Double +$75.00 09: look for 78 or 38 pair (from 590 Midday 2023-11-09) · 6: look for 2 or 3 to follow (from 169 Midday 2023-11-10) — contains digit 3 [RB9 Root 1 Aligned] · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 169)
2023-05-29 Midday 376 367 distinct +$37.50 after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 107 Midday 2023-05-25) · 49: look for a 7 (from 497 Midday 2023-05-26) — contains digit 7 [RB9 Root 7 Aligned] · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 497)