Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 15 total plays 0.3 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.3 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.06 (0.3 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/13/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#557
Midday (2026-09-05)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

234 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
234 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 01 pair usually brings 32, 28 pairs (from 601 Evening 2026-09-04) · after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 601 Evening 2026-09-04) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 557)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 96.4%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 141 -71.8% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 3 1 33.3% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.60% 0.71% +0.11%
Capital Invested $125.00 $47.25 +$89.75 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$12.50 +$27.75 +$40.25 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -10.0% 58.7% +68.7% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 60 drawings (2026-08-11 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-178 (-28.4% ROI across 2,513 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$3.75
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-3.75
Active Drawings 60
Total Plays Placed 15
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $3.75
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$3.75
Final Bankroll $496.25
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-3.75. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-5.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$3.75
-100.0% ROI
+$40.25
115.8% ROI
-$5.25
-6.5% ROI
+$16.25
9.5% ROI
-$91.25
-25.8% ROI
-$124.25
-23.1% ROI
-$178.25
-28.4% ROI
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $137.5 $112.5 -$25 2 -18.2%
2024 $183 $150 -$33 2 -18.0%
2025 $182.5 $37.5 -$145 1 -79.5%
2026 $125.25 $150 +$24.75 2 19.8%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-09 $-4