Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 6,780 total plays 9.3 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 9.3 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.32 (9.3 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/05/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

045 distinct 139 distinct 046 distinct 589 distinct 366 double 111 triple 126 distinct 112 double 239 distinct 068 distinct

Family	Type	Selection Reason
045	distinct	746 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.48x overdue)
139	distinct	737 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.42x overdue)
046	distinct	686 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.12x overdue)
589	distinct	646 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.88x overdue)
366	double	1234 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.70x overdue)
111	triple	3686 draws since last hit — expected ~1000 (3.69x overdue)
126	distinct	614 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.68x overdue)
112	double	1179 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.54x overdue)
239	distinct	500 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.00x overdue)
068	distinct	488 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.93x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 732 drawings (2025-09-04 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$673 (10.7% ROI across 2,506 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$255

Return on Investment 15.0%

Hit Rate 0.58%

Max Drawdown -$-180

Active Drawings 732

Total Plays Placed 6,780

Total Winning Hits 39

Gross Revenue $1,950

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

32 hits

+$1,200

double 2x Double ($75.00)

8 hits

+$600

triple 6x Prize ($225.00)

1 hits

+$225

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $1,695

Total Payout (Gross) $1,950

Net Profit / Loss +$255

Final Bankroll $755

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-180.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-270.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$20 -100.0% ROI	-$180 -54.5% ROI	-$110 -14.0% ROI	+$255 15.0% ROI	+$267.5 7.6% ROI	+$875 16.4% ROI	+$672.5 10.7% ROI	5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,375	$1,312.5	-$62.5	30	-4.5%
2024	$1,830	$2,512.5	+$682.5	48	37.3%
2025	$1,825	$1,987.5	+$162.5	37	8.9%
2026	$1,235	$1,125	-$110	25	-8.9%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $70

25-11 $-38

25-12 $333

26-01 $70

26-02 $-28

26-03 $-43

26-04 $-75

26-05 $33

26-06 $113

26-07 $-155

26-08 $-5

26-09 $-20

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

259 2 hits 007 1 hits 015 1 hits 016 1 hits 025 1 hits 034 1 hits 037 1 hits 039 1 hits 047 1 hits 055 1 hits 058 1 hits 059 1 hits 125 1 hits 134 1 hits 138 1 hits 158 1 hits 159 1 hits 167 1 hits 169 1 hits 178 1 hits 179 1 hits 227 1 hits 234 1 hits 236 1 hits 239 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-31	Midday	783	378	distinct	+$37.50	547 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.28x overdue)
2026-08-18	Evening	125	125	distinct	+$37.50	490 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.94x overdue)
2026-08-06	Evening	259	259	distinct	+$37.50	577 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.46x overdue)
2026-08-03	Evening	691	169	distinct	+$37.50	860 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.16x overdue)
2026-06-26	Midday	243	234	distinct	+$37.50	537 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.22x overdue)
2026-06-23	Midday	272	227	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1700 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.10x overdue)
2026-06-14	Evening	445	445	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1105 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.32x overdue)
2026-06-11	Midday	917	179	distinct	+$37.50	727 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.36x overdue)
2026-06-02	Midday	704	047	distinct	+$37.50	501 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.01x overdue)
2026-05-16	Evening	167	167	distinct	+$37.50	675 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.05x overdue)
2026-05-13	Midday	903	039	distinct	+$37.50	543 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.26x overdue)
2026-05-10	Midday	427	247	distinct	+$37.50	586 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.52x overdue)
2026-05-03	Evening	866	668	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1148 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.44x overdue)
2026-04-20	Evening	052	025	distinct	+$37.50	592 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.55x overdue)
2026-04-10	Evening	950	059	distinct	+$37.50	539 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.23x overdue)
2026-03-30	Midday	138	138	distinct	+$37.50	491 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.95x overdue)
2026-03-18	Evening	672	267	distinct	+$37.50	1019 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (6.11x overdue)
2026-03-03	Evening	983	389	distinct	+$37.50	519 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.11x overdue)
2026-02-28	Midday	336	336	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1108 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.32x overdue)
2026-02-08	Midday	497	479	distinct	+$37.50	537 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.22x overdue)
2026-01-31	Evening	085	058	distinct	+$37.50	488 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.93x overdue)
2026-01-30	Midday	106	016	distinct	+$37.50	505 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.03x overdue)
2026-01-27	Midday	915	159	distinct	+$37.50	1228 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (7.37x overdue)
2026-01-23	Evening	073	037	distinct	+$37.50	680 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.08x overdue)
2026-01-13	Midday	727	277	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1044 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.13x overdue)