Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 730 archive drawings (2025-09-10 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 730 drawings accumulates 685 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 730 685 4 0.58% $171.25 $150 $-21.25 -12.4% $-61.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.7 730 3,425 20 0.58% $856.25 $825 $-31.25 -3.6% $-115
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.7 730 522 8 1.53% $130.5 $300 $169.5 129.9% $-23.25
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 730 987 7 0.71% $246.75 $262.5 $15.75 6.4% $-69.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 730 1,315 10 0.76% $328.75 $375 $46.25 14.1% $-61.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.3 730 6,082 46 0.76% $1,520.5 $1,800 $279.5 18.4% $-167.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.5 730 368 3 0.82% $92 $150 $58 63.0% $-34.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.6 730 446 3 0.67% $111.5 $150 $38.5 34.5% $-61.5
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 730 685 5 0.73% $171.25 $225 $53.75 31.4% $-75.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 730 685 2 0.29% $171.25 $75 $-96.25 -56.2% $-121.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 730 2,055 10 0.49% $513.75 $712.5 $198.75 38.7% $-108
Cici's Rules Engine 7.5 730 5,480 21 0.38% $1,370 $937.5 $-432.5 -31.6% $-563.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.5 730 5,480 32 0.58% $1,370 $1,387.5 $17.5 1.3% $-135
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.5 730 5,480 33 0.60% $1,370 $1,462.5 $92.5 6.8% $-98
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.5 730 5,480 32 0.58% $1,370 $1,387.5 $17.5 1.3% $-135
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.7 730 3,425 11 0.32% $856.25 $487.5 $-368.75 -43.1% $-368.75
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 730 675 2 0.30% $168.75 $75 $-93.75 -55.6% $-118.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.5 730 5,480 23 0.42% $1,370 $1,050 $-320 -23.4% $-353.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 730 685 2 0.29% $171.25 $112.5 $-58.75 -34.3% $-121.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 730 685 3 0.44% $171.25 $187.5 $16.25 9.5% $-61
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 730 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 730 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 730 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 730 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 730 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 730 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.5 730 3,292 18 0.55% $823 $750 $-73 -8.9% $-275.25
Hot Families (top 10) 9.4 730 6,850 44 0.64% $1,712.5 $1,650 $-62.5 -3.6% $-170
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.9 730 12,330 33 0.27% $3,082.5 $2,475 $-607.5 -19.7% $-733.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.4 730 6,850 11 0.16% $1,712.5 $2,475 $762.5 44.5% $-375
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.4 730 6,850 43 0.63% $1,712.5 $1,612.5 $-100 -5.8% $-202.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.9 730 12,330 51 0.41% $3,082.5 $2,925 $-157.5 -5.1% $-612
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.4 730 6,850 21 0.31% $1,712.5 $1,125 $-587.5 -34.3% $-587.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.4 730 6,850 22 0.32% $1,712.5 $1,125 $-587.5 -34.3% $-732.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.7 730 3,425 20 0.58% $856.25 $750 $-106.25 -12.4% $-190
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 112.6 730 82,200 483 0.59% $20,550 $18,112.5 $-2,437.5 -11.9% $-2,437.5
Window summary. 13 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) (+129.9% ROI, net +$169.50)
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$762.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$279.50 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) +$198.75

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$2 +$90 +$62 +$39 +$251 +$129 +$108 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$10 +$38 +$35 +$46 +$114 +$152 +$94 6/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$6 +$60 +$34 +$16 +$118 +$150 +$90 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$2 +$18 -$5 +$58 +$182 +$84 +$76 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$84 +$182 +$296 +$280 +$363 +$199 +$74 6/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$2 +$48 +$125 +$170 +$101 +$103 +$69 7/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$38 +$328 +$323 +$763 +$513 +$33 +$18 5/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$4 +$3 -$41 -$94 -$124 +$32 +$16 2/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$4 +$78 +$107 +$54 +$59 +$26 +$9 5/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$11 +$196 +$97 +$199 -$11 +$40 -$10 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$3 -$5 -$21 +$21 +$26 -$28 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$19 -$99 +$11 -$31 -$111 -$126 -$136 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$3 -$5 -$96 -$16 -$124 -$141 2/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$4 +$40 +$32 -$59 -$204 -$199 -$178 2/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$4 +$40 -$5 +$16 -$91 -$124 -$178 3/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$19 +$51 +$127 -$73 -$259 -$387 -$444 5/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$30 -$91 +$108 +$18 -$430 -$469 -$489 5/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$30 -$91 +$108 +$18 -$430 -$469 -$489 5/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$30 -$16 -$42 -$320 -$655 -$282 -$489 4/12
Calendar Year Top-5 +$19 +$51 +$11 -$106 -$381 -$584 -$516 3/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$38 +$103 -$15 -$63 -$88 -$493 -$545 4/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$19 -$99 -$176 -$369 -$681 -$659 -$741 2/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$30 -$91 -$5 +$93 -$205 -$507 -$751 6/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$0 -$48 -$203 -$100 -$538 -$568 -$770 2/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$30 -$128 -$342 -$433 -$843 -$957 -$1,014 4/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$38 -$123 -$465 -$588 -$650 -$793 -$1,183 2/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$68 -$251 -$470 -$608 -$1,118 -$1,037 -$1,334 6/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$8 +$200 -$95 -$158 -$818 -$1,449 -$1,709 5/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$0 -$123 -$465 -$588 -$1,325 -$1,655 -$1,820 1/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes +$0 -$420 -$968 -$2,438 -$4,988 -$7,260 -$8,115 1/12