Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,030 total plays 0.7 families/draw

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.7 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.18 (0.7 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/11/2026

📡

Hold Radar Active — Awaiting Trigger Drawing

No qualifying trigger condition was detected in the most recent drawing, or this strategy is resting outside its designated draw slot (all draws). As soon as the next qualifying number is drawn, the engine automatically initializes the 10-draw hold countdown.

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 93%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 805 114 -85.8% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 3 1 33.3% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.37% 0.88% +0.50%
Capital Invested $201.25 $37.50 +$166.75 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$173.75 +$56.25 -$117.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 86.3% 150.0% +63.7% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (2 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 1,462 drawings (2024-09-08 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$105 (38.9% ROI across 216 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$117.5
Return on Investment 45.6%
Hit Rate 0.29%
Max Drawdown -$-75
Active Drawings 1,462
Total Plays Placed 1,030
Total Winning Hits 3
Gross Revenue $375
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($187.50) · Triples pay 6× ($562.50)
distinct Base ($93.75)
2 hits
+$187.5
double 2x Double ($187.50)
1 hits
+$187.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $257.5
Total Payout (Gross) $375
Net Profit / Loss +$117.5
Final Bankroll $617.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-75.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-112.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$6.25
-100.0% ROI
-$62.5
-100.0% ROI
+$170
152.8% ROI
+$155
70.5% ROI
+$117.5
45.6% ROI
+$105
38.9% ROI
+$105
38.9% ROI
2 / 9

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $0 $0 +$0 0
2024 $12.5 $0 -$12.5 0 -100.0%
2025 $55 $0 -$55 0 -100.0%
2026 $202.5 $375 +$172.5 3 85.2%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

24-10 $0
24-11 $0
24-12 $0
25-01 $0
25-02 $0
25-03 $0
25-04 $0
25-05 $0
25-06 $-13
25-07 $0
25-08 $0
25-09 $-25
25-10 $0
25-11 $0
25-12 $-18
26-01 $-20
26-02 $55
26-03 $-33
26-04 $245
26-05 $-13
26-06 $0
26-07 $-38
26-08 $-19
26-09 $-6

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

3 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 8.7
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
0.0%
0 of 3 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 7
1 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7 ★ 1 drops (33.3%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 1 drops (33.3%)
Draw 10 1 drops (33.3%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

0056 1 hits 1249 1 hits 2456 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 3)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-04-13 Evening 6050 0056 double 2x Double +$187.50 followed family 2456 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 5624)
2026-04-08 Evening 5624 2456 distinct +$93.75 followed family 1468 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 8614)
2026-02-21 Midday 9241 1249 distinct +$93.75 followed family 3456 4/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4563)