Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 25,020 total plays 10.0 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 10.0 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.50 (10.0 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

027 distinct 237 distinct 789 distinct 269 distinct 588 double 034 distinct 277 double 244 double 039 distinct 456 distinct

Family	Type	Selection Reason
027	distinct	945 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.67x overdue)
237	distinct	793 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.76x overdue)
789	distinct	773 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.64x overdue)
269	distinct	664 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.98x overdue)
588	double	1264 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.79x overdue)
034	distinct	626 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.76x overdue)
277	double	1154 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.46x overdue)
244	double	1044 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.13x overdue)
039	distinct	502 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.01x overdue)
456	distinct	499 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.99x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (All-Time walk-forward)

Full Archive History

Evaluated across 2,502 drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-02).

Net Profit +$307.5

Return on Investment 4.9%

Hit Rate 0.54%

Max Drawdown -$-297.5

Active Drawings 2,502

Total Plays Placed 25,020

Total Winning Hits 134

Gross Revenue $6,562.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $6,255

Total Payout (Gross) $6,562.5

Net Profit / Loss +$307.5

Final Bankroll $807.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-297.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-446.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$10 -100.0% ROI	-$20 -6.3% ROI	-$137.5 -17.7% ROI	-$35 -2.1% ROI	+$427.5 12.2% ROI	+$397.5 7.4% ROI	+$307.5 4.9% ROI	6 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,375	$1,387.5	+$12.5	34	0.9%
2024	$1,830	$1,987.5	+$157.5	39	8.6%
2025	$1,825	$2,100	+$275	38	15.1%
2026	$1,225	$1,087.5	-$137.5	23	-11.2%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-04 $38

23-05 $-5

23-06 $38

23-07 $-43

23-08 $-5

23-09 $-113

23-10 $-43

23-11 $113

23-12 $33

24-01 $-43

24-02 $43

24-03 $-43

24-04 $75

24-05 $-80

24-06 $-113

24-07 $-80

24-08 $70

24-09 $38

24-10 $145

24-11 $113

24-12 $33

25-01 $-5

25-02 $-28

25-03 $-43

25-04 $-75

25-05 $-80

25-06 $188

25-07 $70

25-08 $220

25-09 $-75

25-10 $-5

25-11 $75

25-12 $33

26-01 $33

26-02 $10

26-03 $-43

26-04 $-150

26-05 $145

26-06 $-113

26-07 $-43

26-08 $33

26-09 $-10

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

238 3 hits 018 2 hits 023 2 hits 029 2 hits 035 2 hits 036 2 hits 046 2 hits 048 2 hits 056 2 hits 078 2 hits 125 2 hits 127 2 hits 149 2 hits 156 2 hits 157 2 hits 168 2 hits 236 2 hits 268 2 hits 279 2 hits 289 2 hits 469 2 hits 489 2 hits 557 2 hits 589 2 hits 001 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-29	Midday	125	125	distinct	+$37.50	534 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.20x overdue)
2026-08-28	Midday	977	779	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1060 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.18x overdue)
2026-08-20	Evening	203	023	distinct	+$37.50	609 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.65x overdue)
2026-08-17	Midday	297	279	distinct	+$37.50	985 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.91x overdue)
2026-07-23	Evening	506	056	distinct	+$37.50	519 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.11x overdue)
2026-07-05	Evening	068	068	distinct	+$37.50	544 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.26x overdue)
2026-07-01	Midday	690	069	distinct	+$37.50	618 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.71x overdue)
2026-06-29	Midday	725	257	distinct	+$37.50	656 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.94x overdue)
2026-05-23	Evening	807	078	distinct	+$37.50	717 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.30x overdue)
2026-05-18	Evening	848	488	double 2x Double	+$75.00	901 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (2.70x overdue)
2026-05-14	Midday	113	113	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1831 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.49x overdue)
2026-05-11	Midday	484	448	double 2x Double	+$75.00	980 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (2.94x overdue)
2026-05-08	Midday	894	489	distinct	+$37.50	554 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.32x overdue)
2026-03-07	Evening	549	459	distinct	+$37.50	450 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.70x overdue)
2026-03-07	Midday	324	234	distinct	+$37.50	481 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.89x overdue)
2026-03-06	Midday	238	238	distinct	+$37.50	539 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.23x overdue)
2026-02-26	Evening	236	236	distinct	+$37.50	531 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.19x overdue)
2026-02-21	Evening	289	289	distinct	+$37.50	581 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.49x overdue)
2026-02-05	Evening	535	355	double 2x Double	+$75.00	950 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (2.85x overdue)
2026-01-31	Evening	209	029	distinct	+$37.50	576 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.46x overdue)
2026-01-28	Evening	575	557	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1242 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.73x overdue)
2026-01-24	Midday	534	345	distinct	+$37.50	663 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.98x overdue)
2026-01-22	Midday	154	145	distinct	+$37.50	615 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.69x overdue)
2025-12-27	Midday	564	456	distinct	+$37.50	454 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.72x overdue)
2025-12-16	Midday	515	155	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1136 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.41x overdue)