Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 620 total plays 10.0 families/draw
Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 10.0 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.50 (10.0 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026
Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.
| Family | Type | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 027 | distinct | 945 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.67x overdue) |
| 237 | distinct | 793 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.76x overdue) |
| 789 | distinct | 773 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.64x overdue) |
| 269 | distinct | 664 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.98x overdue) |
| 588 | double | 1264 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.79x overdue) |
| 034 | distinct | 626 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.76x overdue) |
| 277 | double | 1154 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.46x overdue) |
| 244 | double | 1044 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.13x overdue) |
| 039 | distinct | 502 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.01x overdue) |
| 456 | distinct | 499 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.99x overdue) |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 62 drawings (2026-08-03 → 2026-09-02). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$308 (4.9% ROI across 2,502 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$10
-100.0% ROI |
-$20
-6.3% ROI |
-$137.5
-17.7% ROI |
-$35
-2.1% ROI |
+$427.5
12.2% ROI |
+$397.5
7.4% ROI |
+$307.5
4.9% ROI |
6 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $1,375 | $1,387.5 | +$12.5 | 34 | 0.9% |
| 2024 | $1,830 | $1,987.5 | +$157.5 | 39 | 8.6% |
| 2025 | $1,825 | $2,100 | +$275 | 38 | 15.1% |
| 2026 | $1,225 | $1,087.5 | -$137.5 | 23 | -11.2% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Midday | 125 | 125 | distinct | +$37.50 | 534 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.20x overdue) |
| 2026-08-28 | Midday | 977 | 779 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | 1060 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.18x overdue) |
| 2026-08-20 | Evening | 203 | 023 | distinct | +$37.50 | 609 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.65x overdue) |
| 2026-08-17 | Midday | 297 | 279 | distinct | +$37.50 | 985 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.91x overdue) |