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Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 66 total plays 1.1 families/draw

Wide coverage portfolio chase: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio chase: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.1 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.27 (1.1 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026

Playing 5 families for $1.25 total stake.

049 distinct 359 distinct 014 distinct 017 distinct 026 distinct
FamilyTypeSelection Reason
049 distinct followed 954 2x in 10 draws across 2 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 734)
359 distinct followed 954 2x in 10 draws across 2 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 734)
014 distinct followed 954 1x in 10 draws across 2 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 734)
017 distinct followed 954 1x in 10 draws across 2 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 734)
026 distinct followed 954 1x in 10 draws across 2 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 734)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 62 drawings (2026-08-03 → 2026-09-02). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-16 (-100.0% ROI across 62 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$16.5
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-16.5
Active Drawings 62
Total Plays Placed 66
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $16.5
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$16.5
Final Bankroll $483.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-16.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-24.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2026 $16.5 $0 -$16.5 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-08 $-16
26-09 $-1