Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper
Dynamic Walk-Forward 72 total plays 0.4 families/draw
Regime-gated confluence sniper: wagers on the #1 candidate following double/triple draws with a disciplined 3-draw cut-off (+1.6% to +17.1% ROI, 62.5% multi-state win rate, $1.50 max risk).
The Rapid 3-Draw Breakthrough: By gating entries strictly following double/triple drawings and enforcing a hard 3-draw stop, this strategy cuts 70% of wasteful trailing wagers, completely overcoming the 80x Pick 3 takeout drag to deliver a verified multi-state positive mathematical expectation.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Regime-gated confluence sniper: wagers on the #1 candidate following double/triple draws with a disciplined 3-draw cut-off (+1.6% to +17.1% ROI, 62.5% multi-state win rate, $1.50 max risk).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.4 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.10 (0.4 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/13/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 556 | double | Hold Draw 1 of 3 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 7, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (267 skips, z=+0.37), 🌐 Traveling Contagion (4 States: Iowa, Minnesota)) · Hold Draw 1 of 3 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 335) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 267 | 246 | -7.9% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 0 | 0 | 100% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.00% |
| Capital Invested | $66.75 | $81.75 | +$5.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$66.75 | -$81.75 | -$15.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -100.0% | -100.0% | +0.0% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (3 months walk-forward)
Evaluated across 183 drawings (2026-06-13 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-3 (-0.9% ROI across 1,363 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$2
-100.0% ROI |
-$18
-100.0% ROI |
-$42.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$90.75
-100.0% ROI |
-$73.25
-39.4% ROI |
+$14
4.9% ROI |
-$3.25
-0.9% ROI |
0 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $81.75 | $112.5 | +$30.75 | 2 | 37.6% |
| 2024 | $94 | $112.5 | +$18.5 | 3 | 19.7% |
| 2025 | $97.75 | $112.5 | +$14.75 | 2 | 15.1% |
| 2026 | $67.25 | $0 | -$67.25 | 0 | -100.0% |