Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 3,660 total plays 10.0 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 10.0 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.50 (10.0 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

078 distinct 688 double 127 distinct 011 double 013 distinct 178 distinct 448 double 148 distinct 577 double 146 distinct

Family	Type	Selection Reason
078	distinct	1205 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (7.23x overdue)
688	double	1912 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.74x overdue)
127	distinct	917 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.50x overdue)
011	double	1769 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.31x overdue)
013	distinct	707 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.24x overdue)
178	distinct	703 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.22x overdue)
448	double	1390 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.17x overdue)
148	distinct	669 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.01x overdue)
577	double	1333 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.00x overdue)
146	distinct	648 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.89x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)

⚡ Recent Form Window

Evaluated across 366 drawings (2026-03-04 → 2026-09-02). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-442 (-7.1% ROI across 2,502 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$277.5

Return on Investment -30.3%

Hit Rate 0.38%

Max Drawdown -$-277.5

Active Drawings 366

Total Plays Placed 3,660

Total Winning Hits 14

Gross Revenue $637.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

11 hits

+$412.5

double 2x Double ($75.00)

3 hits

+$225

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $915

Total Payout (Gross) $637.5

Net Profit / Loss -$277.5

Final Bankroll $222.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-277.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-416.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$10 -100.0% ROI	-$57.5 -18.0% ROI	-$175 -22.6% ROI	-$635 -37.7% ROI	-$735 -20.9% ROI	-$352.5 -6.6% ROI	-$442.5 -7.1% ROI	2 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,375	$1,387.5	+$12.5	33	0.9%
2024	$1,830	$2,025	+$195	41	10.7%
2025	$1,825	$1,500	-$325	32	-17.8%
2026	$1,225	$900	-$325	18	-26.5%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-03 $-103

26-04 $-38

26-05 $-43

26-06 $-38

26-07 $33

26-08 $-80

26-09 $-10

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

012 1 hits 027 1 hits 029 1 hits 038 1 hits 046 1 hits 056 1 hits 099 1 hits 115 1 hits 134 1 hits 236 1 hits 256 1 hits 359 1 hits 378 1 hits 399 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 14)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-28	Evening	143	134	distinct	+$37.50	672 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.03x overdue)
2026-08-07	Midday	046	046	distinct	+$37.50	806 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.84x overdue)
2026-07-28	Evening	909	099	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1268 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.80x overdue)
2026-07-21	Evening	539	359	distinct	+$37.50	880 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.28x overdue)
2026-07-10	Midday	092	029	distinct	+$37.50	770 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.62x overdue)
2026-07-09	Midday	625	256	distinct	+$37.50	691 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.15x overdue)
2026-06-23	Midday	065	056	distinct	+$37.50	709 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.25x overdue)
2026-06-20	Evening	263	236	distinct	+$37.50	643 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.86x overdue)
2026-06-10	Evening	120	012	distinct	+$37.50	1047 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (6.28x overdue)
2026-05-13	Midday	720	027	distinct	+$37.50	607 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.64x overdue)
2026-05-04	Evening	115	115	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1680 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.04x overdue)
2026-04-23	Midday	993	399	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1850 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.55x overdue)
2026-04-11	Midday	378	378	distinct	+$37.50	618 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.71x overdue)
2026-03-18	Midday	083	038	distinct	+$37.50	613 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.68x overdue)