Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 620 total plays 10.0 families/draw
Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 10.0 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.50 (10.0 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026
Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.
| Family | Type | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 078 | distinct | 1205 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (7.23x overdue) |
| 688 | double | 1912 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.74x overdue) |
| 127 | distinct | 917 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.50x overdue) |
| 011 | double | 1769 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.31x overdue) |
| 013 | distinct | 707 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.24x overdue) |
| 178 | distinct | 703 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.22x overdue) |
| 448 | double | 1390 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.17x overdue) |
| 148 | distinct | 669 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.01x overdue) |
| 577 | double | 1333 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.00x overdue) |
| 146 | distinct | 648 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.89x overdue) |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 62 drawings (2026-08-03 → 2026-09-02). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-442 (-7.1% ROI across 2,502 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$10
-100.0% ROI |
-$57.5
-18.0% ROI |
-$175
-22.6% ROI |
-$635
-37.7% ROI |
-$735
-20.9% ROI |
-$352.5
-6.6% ROI |
-$442.5
-7.1% ROI |
2 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $1,375 | $1,387.5 | +$12.5 | 33 | 0.9% |
| 2024 | $1,830 | $2,025 | +$195 | 41 | 10.7% |
| 2025 | $1,825 | $1,500 | -$325 | 32 | -17.8% |
| 2026 | $1,225 | $900 | -$325 | 18 | -26.5% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 2)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Evening | 143 | 134 | distinct | +$37.50 | 672 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.03x overdue) |
| 2026-08-07 | Midday | 046 | 046 | distinct | +$37.50 | 806 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.84x overdue) |