Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 731 archive drawings (2025-09-10 → 2026-09-09) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 731 | 687 | 8 | 1.16% | $171.75 | $337.5 | $165.75 | 96.5% | $-31 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.6 | 731 | 3,395 | 21 | 0.62% | $848.75 | $787.5 | $-61.25 | -7.2% | $-243.75 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.7 | 731 | 538 | 3 | 0.56% | $134.5 | $112.5 | $-22 | -16.4% | $-71 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 731 | 984 | 6 | 0.61% | $246 | $225 | $-21 | -8.5% | $-94 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 731 | 1,339 | 7 | 0.52% | $334.75 | $262.5 | $-72.25 | -21.6% | $-152 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.6 | 731 | 6,293 | 41 | 0.65% | $1,573.25 | $1,612.5 | $39.25 | 2.5% | $-218.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.5 | 731 | 385 | 6 | 1.56% | $96.25 | $337.5 | $241.25 | 250.7% | $-29.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.6 | 731 | 468 | 4 | 0.85% | $117 | $225 | $108 | 92.3% | $-45 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 731 | 687 | 2 | 0.29% | $171.75 | $75 | $-96.75 | -56.3% | $-96.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 731 | 687 | 0 | 0.00% | $171.75 | $0 | $-171.75 | -100.0% | $-171.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 731 | 2,061 | 9 | 0.44% | $515.25 | $637.5 | $122.25 | 23.7% | $-154.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.5 | 731 | 5,496 | 24 | 0.44% | $1,374 | $1,162.5 | $-211.5 | -15.4% | $-447 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.5 | 731 | 5,496 | 24 | 0.44% | $1,374 | $1,200 | $-174 | -12.7% | $-391 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.5 | 731 | 5,496 | 17 | 0.31% | $1,374 | $787.5 | $-586.5 | -42.7% | $-586.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.5 | 731 | 5,496 | 24 | 0.44% | $1,374 | $1,200 | $-174 | -12.7% | $-391 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.7 | 731 | 3,435 | 12 | 0.35% | $858.75 | $600 | $-258.75 | -30.1% | $-312.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 731 | 685 | 4 | 0.58% | $171.25 | $225 | $53.75 | 31.4% | $-59.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.5 | 731 | 5,496 | 26 | 0.47% | $1,374 | $1,350 | $-24 | -1.8% | $-207 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 731 | 687 | 3 | 0.44% | $171.75 | $187.5 | $15.75 | 9.2% | $-45.5 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 731 | 687 | 2 | 0.29% | $171.75 | $150 | $-21.75 | -12.7% | $-91 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 731 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.0 | 731 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 731 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 731 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 731 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 731 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 4.5 | 731 | 3,301 | 22 | 0.67% | $825.25 | $862.5 | $37.25 | 4.5% | $-160.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.4 | 731 | 6,870 | 31 | 0.45% | $1,717.5 | $1,162.5 | $-555 | -32.3% | $-587.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.9 | 731 | 12,366 | 36 | 0.29% | $3,091.5 | $2,700 | $-391.5 | -12.7% | $-709.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.4 | 731 | 6,870 | 8 | 0.12% | $1,717.5 | $1,800 | $82.5 | 4.8% | $-680 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.4 | 731 | 6,870 | 38 | 0.55% | $1,717.5 | $1,462.5 | $-255 | -14.8% | $-422.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.9 | 731 | 12,366 | 40 | 0.32% | $3,091.5 | $3,075 | $-16.5 | -0.5% | $-675 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.4 | 731 | 6,870 | 22 | 0.32% | $1,717.5 | $1,800 | $82.5 | 4.8% | $-460 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.4 | 731 | 6,870 | 19 | 0.28% | $1,717.5 | $1,237.5 | $-480 | -28.0% | $-480 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 731 | 3,435 | 19 | 0.55% | $858.75 | $712.5 | $-146.25 | -17.0% | $-157.5 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 112.8 | 731 | 82,440 | 476 | 0.58% | $20,610 | $17,850 | $-2,760 | -13.4% | $-2,760 |
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper +$241.25 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$165.75 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) +$122.25
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.