Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 143 total plays 0.2 families/draw
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.2 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.05 (0.2 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Day · 09/11/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0045 | double | Hold Draw 3 of 10 | followed family 0389 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4855) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 123 | 104 | -15.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 0 | 0 | 100% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.00% |
| Capital Invested | $30.75 | $34.75 | +$4.75 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$30.75 | -$34.75 | -$4.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -100.0% | -100.0% | +0.0% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 730 drawings (2025-09-08 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-38 (-100.0% ROI across 153 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$0.75
-100.0% ROI |
-$10.75
-100.0% ROI |
-$23.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$35.75
-100.0% ROI |
-$38.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$38.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$38.25
-100.0% ROI |
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2024 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2025 | $7.5 | $0 | -$7.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2026 | $30.75 | $0 | -$30.75 | 0 | -100.0% |