Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder

Dynamic Walk-Forward 5,990 total plays 8.2 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws Day 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 8.2 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.05 (8.2 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Night · 09/06/2026

🪜 ROLLING HOLD LADDER 7 Active Numbers on Ladder

Staggered 10-Draw Individual Clocks

Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.

Family	Pattern	Hold Draw & Progress Meter	Trigger Origin	Invested	Net if Dropped	Trigger Rationale
228	double	Hold Draw 10/10 Final Draw 0 left	#103 2026-08-31 · Day	$2.50	+$72.50	Book followed-by: 479 -> 228
348	distinct	Hold Draw 8/10 Late Stage 2 left	#403 2026-09-01 · Day	$2.00	+$35.50	followed number 974 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 479 2/11x within 10 draws
189	distinct	Hold Draw 7/10 Mid Stage 3 left	#667 2026-09-01 · Night	$1.75	+$35.75	followed number 403 2/6x within 10 draws · followed family 034 2/18x within 10 draws
125	distinct	Hold Draw 4/10 Mid Stage 6 left	#128 2026-09-03 · Day	$1.00	+$36.50	followed number 359 3/4x within 10 draws · followed family 359 3/19x within 10 draws
168	distinct	Hold Draw 3/10 Early Stage 7 left	#096 2026-09-03 · Night	$0.75	+$36.75	Book followed-by: 128 -> 861 · followed number 359 1/4x within 10 draws
249	distinct	Hold Draw 2/10 Early Stage 8 left	#929 2026-09-04 · Day	$0.50	+$37.00	followed family 069 1/13x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 294
357	distinct	Hold Draw 1/10 Early Stage 9 left	#840 2026-09-04 · Night	$0.25	+$37.25	Book followed-by: 929 -> 753

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: CONVEYOR BELT

Ticket Waste Index: 82%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	4,372	1,000	-77.1% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	27	3	11.1% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.62%	0.30%	-0.32%
Capital Invested	$1093.00	$250.00	+$843.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss	-$43.00	-$137.50	-$94.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	-3.9%	-55.0%	-51.1% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 730 drawings (2025-09-04 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-486 (-8.8% ROI across 2,460 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$185

Return on Investment -12.3%

Hit Rate 0.57%

Max Drawdown -$-297

Active Drawings 730

Total Plays Placed 5,990

Total Winning Hits 34

Gross Revenue $1,312.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

34 hits

+$1,275

double 2x Double ($75.00)

1 hits

+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $1,497.5

Total Payout (Gross) $1,312.5

Net Profit / Loss -$185

Final Bankroll $315

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-297.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-445.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
+$54.75 270.4% ROI	-$38.25 -12.7% ROI	-$56.25 -8.1% ROI	-$185 -12.4% ROI	-$209.25 -6.7% ROI	-$331.5 -6.9% ROI	-$486 -8.8% ROI	3 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,156.25	$1,125	-$31.25	29	-2.7%
2024	$1,666	$1,575	-$91	41	-5.5%
2025	$1,640.25	$1,312.5	-$327.75	34	-20.0%
2026	$1,086	$1,050	-$36	27	-3.3%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-26

25-11 $-62

25-12 $-61

26-01 $-60

26-02 $-88

26-03 $168

26-04 $-20

26-05 $-17

26-06 $19

26-07 $-35

26-08 $-59

26-09 $55

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

35 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.3

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

31.4%

11 of 35 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 7

7 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 2 drops (5.7%)

Draw 2 3 drops (8.6%)

Draw 3 6 drops (17.1%)

Draw 4 5 drops (14.3%)

Draw 5 3 drops (8.6%)

Draw 6 2 drops (5.7%)

Draw 7 ★ 7 drops (20.0%)

Draw 8 2 drops (5.7%)

Draw 9 3 drops (8.6%)

Draw 10 2 drops (5.7%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

248 3 hits 014 2 hits 048 2 hits 058 2 hits 067 2 hits 568 2 hits 012 1 hits 013 1 hits 046 1 hits 068 1 hits 135 1 hits 137 1 hits 146 1 hits 157 1 hits 158 1 hits 159 1 hits 167 1 hits 247 1 hits 249 1 hits 259 1 hits 345 1 hits 367 1 hits 378 1 hits 448 1 hits 468 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-09-04	Night	840	048	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 667: Book followed-by: 667 -> 480 · followed family 034 2/18x within 10 draws
2026-09-02	Day	406	046	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 103: followed number 103 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 013 4/18x within 10 draws
2026-08-30	Night	479	479	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 314: Book followed-by: 314 -> 749 · followed number 624 1/3x within 10 draws
2026-08-05	Night	315	135	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 862: followed number 862 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 268 1/14x within 10 draws
2026-07-31	Night	984	489	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 680: Book followed-by: 680 -> 489 · followed family 057 2/21x within 10 draws
2026-07-17	Night	924	249	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 925: followed family 259 3/14x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 925 -> 429
2026-07-15	Night	925	259	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 060: Book followed-by: 060 -> 952 · followed number 114 1/3x within 10 draws
2026-06-17	Night	865	568	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 573: followed family 357 2/12x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 573 -> 658
2026-06-17	Day	210	012	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 871: followed family 178 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 871 -> 201
2026-06-06	Night	508	058	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 753: followed number 753 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 357 2/11x within 10 draws
2026-06-02	Day	580	058	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 753: followed family 357 1/10x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 753 -> 058
2026-05-18	Night	416	146	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 077: Book followed-by: 077 -> 461
2026-05-10	Night	951	159	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 390: followed number 390 1/5x within 10 draws · followed family 039 1/12x within 10 draws
2026-05-04	Night	157	157	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 247: followed family 247 3/16x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 517
2026-04-20	Night	482	248	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 336: Book followed-by: 336 -> 284
2026-04-10	Night	013	013	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 435: Book followed-by: 435 -> 301
2026-04-08	Night	435	345	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 669: followed number 669 1/6x within 10 draws · followed family 669 1/11x within 10 draws
2026-03-27	Day	486	468	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 059: followed number 059 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 059 2/12x within 10 draws
2026-03-25	Day	581	158	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 056: followed number 056 3/6x within 10 draws · followed family 056 5/15x within 10 draws
2026-03-22	Night	844	448	double 2x Double	+$75.00	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 286: Pro-Zo relative: 484 · followed family 348 3/10x within 10 draws
2026-03-15	Night	873	378	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 675: followed family 567 1/14x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 387
2026-03-12	Night	763	367	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 754: followed family 457 1/14x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 754 -> 637
2026-03-10	Night	068	068	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 356: Pro-Zo relative: 608 · followed number 754 1/5x within 10 draws
2026-03-05	Night	014	014	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 312: followed family 123 1/10x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 312 -> 401
2026-02-24	Night	408	048	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 381: followed family 138 3/13x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 408