Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 3,660 total plays 10.0 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 10.0 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.50 (10.0 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

568 distinct 344 double 269 distinct 067 distinct 019 distinct 333 triple 899 double 166 double 226 double 199 double

Family	Type	Selection Reason
568	distinct	1163 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (6.98x overdue)
344	double	2150 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (6.45x overdue)
269	distinct	827 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.96x overdue)
067	distinct	697 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.18x overdue)
019	distinct	635 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.81x overdue)
333	triple	3686 draws since last hit — expected ~1000 (3.69x overdue)
899	double	1218 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.65x overdue)
166	double	1137 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.41x overdue)
226	double	1113 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.34x overdue)
199	double	956 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (2.87x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)

⚡ Recent Form Window

Evaluated across 366 drawings (2026-03-06 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-715 (-11.4% ROI across 2,506 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$240

Return on Investment -26.2%

Hit Rate 0.36%

Max Drawdown -$-240

Active Drawings 366

Total Plays Placed 3,660

Total Winning Hits 13

Gross Revenue $675

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

8 hits

+$300

double 2x Double ($75.00)

5 hits

+$375

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $915

Total Payout (Gross) $675

Net Profit / Loss -$240

Final Bankroll $260

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-240.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-360.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$20 -100.0% ROI	-$67.5 -20.5% ROI	-$147.5 -18.8% ROI	-$345 -20.4% ROI	-$370 -10.5% ROI	-$512.5 -9.6% ROI	-$715 -11.4% ROI	1 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,375	$1,350	-$25	32	-1.8%
2024	$1,830	$1,725	-$105	38	-5.7%
2025	$1,825	$1,500	-$325	30	-17.8%
2026	$1,235	$975	-$260	20	-21.1%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-03 $-93

26-04 $0

26-05 $-5

26-06 $-75

26-07 $-43

26-08 $-5

26-09 $-20

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

033 1 hits 045 1 hits 088 1 hits 099 1 hits 134 1 hits 158 1 hits 239 1 hits 278 1 hits 378 1 hits 455 1 hits 459 1 hits 466 1 hits 468 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 13)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-27	Midday	466	466	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1071 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.21x overdue)
2026-08-09	Midday	808	088	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1195 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.59x overdue)
2026-07-26	Evening	990	099	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1318 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.95x overdue)
2026-07-11	Evening	486	468	distinct	+$37.50	968 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.81x overdue)
2026-06-10	Midday	455	455	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1173 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.52x overdue)
2026-05-10	Midday	873	378	distinct	+$37.50	588 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.53x overdue)
2026-05-07	Evening	581	158	distinct	+$37.50	537 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.22x overdue)
2026-05-07	Midday	549	459	distinct	+$37.50	530 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.18x overdue)
2026-05-06	Evening	827	278	distinct	+$37.50	588 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.53x overdue)
2026-04-29	Evening	330	033	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1664 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.99x overdue)
2026-04-15	Evening	329	239	distinct	+$37.50	600 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.60x overdue)
2026-04-07	Evening	540	045	distinct	+$37.50	669 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.01x overdue)
2026-03-07	Evening	143	134	distinct	+$37.50	646 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.88x overdue)