Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 25,060 total plays 9.3 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws Day 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 9.3 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.33 (9.3 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Night · 09/05/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

3789 distinct 2367 distinct 0378 distinct 2346 distinct 3589 distinct 0019 double 0069 double 0114 double 1123 double 1149 double

Family	Type	Selection Reason
3789	distinct	2679 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (6.43x overdue)
2367	distinct	1930 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.63x overdue)
0378	distinct	1904 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.57x overdue)
2346	distinct	1861 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.47x overdue)
3589	distinct	1770 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.25x overdue)
0019	double	3519.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.22x overdue)
0069	double	3519.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.22x overdue)
0114	double	3519.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.22x overdue)
1123	double	3519.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.22x overdue)
1149	double	3519.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.22x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (5 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 2,686 drawings (2023-01-01 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$298 (4.8% ROI across 2,506 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$297.5

Return on Investment 4.8%

Hit Rate 0.25%

Max Drawdown -$-948.75

Active Drawings 2,686

Total Plays Placed 25,060

Total Winning Hits 63

Gross Revenue $6,562.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($187.50) · Triples pay 6× ($562.50)

distinct Base ($93.75)

63 hits

+$6,562.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $6,265

Total Payout (Gross) $6,562.5

Net Profit / Loss +$297.5

Final Bankroll $797.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-948.75. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-1423.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$20 -100.0% ROI	+$45 13.6% ROI	-$410 -52.2% ROI	-$382.5 -22.6% ROI	-$520 -14.8% ROI	+$368.75 6.9% ROI	+$297.5 4.8% ROI	5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,375	$1,687.5	+$312.5	18	22.7%
2024	$1,830	$2,718.75	+$888.75	27	48.6%
2025	$1,825	$1,218.75	-$606.25	10	-33.2%
2026	$1,235	$937.5	-$297.5	8	-24.1%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-04 $-56

23-05 $220

23-06 $38

23-07 $33

23-08 $-155

23-09 $-150

23-10 $-61

23-11 $225

23-12 $220

24-01 $33

24-02 $43

24-03 $-61

24-04 $-56

24-05 $126

24-06 $38

24-07 $220

24-08 $-61

24-09 $225

24-10 $314

24-11 $38

24-12 $33

25-01 $-155

25-02 $141

25-03 $-155

25-04 $38

25-05 $33

25-06 $-150

25-07 $33

25-08 $-155

25-09 $-150

25-10 $126

25-11 $-56

25-12 $-155

26-01 $33

26-02 $141

26-03 $-61

26-04 $-150

26-05 $-155

26-06 $-150

26-07 $33

26-08 $33

26-09 $-20

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

0147 2 hits 0156 2 hits 0012 1 hits 0015 1 hits 0027 1 hits 0035 1 hits 0067 1 hits 0089 1 hits 0124 1 hits 0125 1 hits 0126 1 hits 0128 1 hits 0134 1 hits 0135 1 hits 0136 1 hits 0137 1 hits 0139 1 hits 0146 1 hits 0158 1 hits 0168 1 hits 0169 1 hits 0178 1 hits 0179 1 hits 0236 1 hits 0237 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-02	Day	8900	0089	double 2x Double	+$187.50	3451.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.14x overdue)
2026-07-06	Night	8476	4678	distinct	+$93.75	2981.6666666666665 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (7.16x overdue)
2026-07-01	Day	5087	0578	distinct	+$93.75	2275 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (5.46x overdue)
2026-03-11	Day	8594	4589	distinct	+$93.75	1943 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.66x overdue)
2026-02-17	Day	9096	0699	double 2x Double	+$187.50	3119.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (3.74x overdue)
2026-02-14	Day	2843	2348	distinct	+$93.75	1597 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (3.83x overdue)
2026-01-06	Night	1056	0156	distinct	+$93.75	1654 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (3.97x overdue)
2026-01-02	Day	1740	0147	distinct	+$93.75	1734 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.16x overdue)
2025-11-09	Night	7036	0367	distinct	+$93.75	1615 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (3.88x overdue)
2025-10-22	Day	0503	0035	double 2x Double	+$187.50	2883.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (3.46x overdue)
2025-10-21	Night	4681	1468	distinct	+$93.75	1494 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (3.59x overdue)
2025-07-04	Night	0270	0027	double 2x Double	+$187.50	2664.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (3.20x overdue)
2025-05-17	Night	0076	0067	double 2x Double	+$187.50	2568.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (3.08x overdue)
2025-04-30	Day	6840	0468	distinct	+$93.75	2116.6666666666665 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (5.08x overdue)
2025-04-05	Night	0843	0348	distinct	+$93.75	1553 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (3.73x overdue)
2025-02-17	Day	8294	2489	distinct	+$93.75	1347 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (3.23x overdue)
2025-02-11	Day	0692	0269	distinct	+$93.75	1960.6666666666667 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.71x overdue)
2025-02-06	Day	8169	1689	distinct	+$93.75	1950.6666666666667 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.68x overdue)
2024-12-28	Day	4927	2479	distinct	+$93.75	1870.6666666666667 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.49x overdue)
2024-12-15	Day	1984	1489	distinct	+$93.75	1341 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (3.22x overdue)
2024-11-09	Night	1500	0015	double 2x Double	+$187.50	2190.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (2.63x overdue)
2024-10-21	Night	1020	0012	double 2x Double	+$187.50	2152.3333333333335 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (2.58x overdue)
2024-10-17	Day	0598	0589	distinct	+$93.75	1726.6666666666667 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.14x overdue)
2024-10-12	Night	8326	2368	distinct	+$93.75	1102 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (2.64x overdue)
2024-10-07	Night	0512	0125	distinct	+$93.75	1247 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (2.99x overdue)