Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 6,380 total plays 4.4 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 4.4 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$1.09 (4.4 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/11/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 4 of 10

⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 4/10) · $0.25 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)

Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 4 / 10)

Protocol: VELOCITY ATTACK TROUGH SKIP CONSERVATIVE BRAKE OPTIMIZED WAVE DYNAMIC BRAKE

1 ✓ Past

2 ✓ Past

3 ✓ Past

4 ▶ ACTIVE

5 $0.25

6 $0.25

7 $0.25

8 $0.25

9 $0.25

10 $0.00

Trigger Drawing

#140

Evening (2026-09-08)

Cumulative Stake Invested

$5.00

$1.25/draw × 4 draws

Payout if Dropped Now

$37.50 (Distinct) · $75.00 (Double)

Stops immediately on drop

Net Profit if Dropped Now

+$32.50

Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

588 double 389 distinct 078 distinct 058 distinct 168 distinct

Family	Type	Current Status	Selection Reason
588	double	Hold Draw 4 of 10	Book followed-by: 816 -> 588 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140)
389	distinct	Hold Draw 4 of 10	followed family 168 13/26x within 10 draws · followed family 138 3/20x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140)
078	distinct	Hold Draw 4 of 10	Pro-Zo relative: 780 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140)
058	distinct	Hold Draw 4 of 10	followed family 168 6/26x within 10 draws · followed family 138 2/20x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140)
168	distinct	Hold Draw 4 of 10	followed family 168 6/26x within 10 draws · followed family 138 2/20x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140)

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER

Ticket Waste Index: 87.7%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	2,430	294	-87.9% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	17	3	17.6% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.70%	1.02%	+0.32%
Capital Invested	$607.50	$99.75	+$516.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss	+$67.50	+$12.75	-$54.75 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	11.1%	12.8%	+1.7% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (2 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 1,457 drawings (2024-09-10 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-443 (-20.1% ROI across 2,508 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$320

Return on Investment -20.1%

Hit Rate 0.52%

Max Drawdown -$-482.5

Active Drawings 1,457

Total Plays Placed 6,380

Total Winning Hits 33

Gross Revenue $1,275

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

32 hits

+$1,200

double 2x Double ($75.00)

1 hits

+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $1,595

Total Payout (Gross) $1,275

Net Profit / Loss -$320

Final Bankroll $180

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-482.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-723.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
+$55 275.0% ROI	+$162.5 92.9% ROI	+$10 2.5% ROI	+$17.5 2.2% ROI	-$320 -20.1% ROI	-$465.5 -22.8% ROI	-$443.5 -20.1% ROI	6 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$251.5	$225	-$26.5	5	-10.5%
2024	$547	$412.5	-$134.5	11	-24.6%
2025	$797.5	$562.5	-$235	14	-29.5%
2026	$610	$562.5	-$47.5	15	-7.8%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

24-10 $-60

24-11 $11

24-12 $11

25-01 $-21

25-02 $-64

25-03 $-53

25-04 $-30

25-05 $-30

25-06 $-30

25-07 $-3

25-08 $-70

25-09 $0

25-10 $13

25-11 $-30

25-12 $83

26-01 $-40

26-02 $-25

26-03 $8

26-04 $-38

26-05 $-40

26-06 $-75

26-07 $73

26-08 $35

26-09 $55

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

33 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.8

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

27.3%

9 of 33 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 8

9 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 5 drops (15.2%)

Draw 2 1 drops (3.0%)

Draw 3 3 drops (9.1%)

Draw 4 1 drops (3.0%)

Draw 5 3 drops (9.1%)

Draw 6 4 drops (12.1%)

Draw 7 2 drops (6.1%)

Draw 8 ★ 9 drops (27.3%)

Draw 9 2 drops (6.1%)

Draw 10 3 drops (9.1%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

249 3 hits 014 2 hits 167 2 hits 236 2 hits 389 2 hits 012 1 hits 013 1 hits 015 1 hits 016 1 hits 017 1 hits 026 1 hits 079 1 hits 119 1 hits 135 1 hits 139 1 hits 168 1 hits 256 1 hits 258 1 hits 259 1 hits 347 1 hits 349 1 hits 359 1 hits 456 1 hits 467 1 hits 568 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-09-08	Evening	140	014	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 811 -> 410 · followed family 036 3/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 811)
2026-09-02	Midday	206	026	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 598 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 589 5/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 598)
2026-08-31	Evening	598	589	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 267 5/21x within 10 draws · followed number 068 2/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 627)
2026-08-22	Evening	786	678	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 067 6/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 551)
2026-08-07	Evening	701	017	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 101 2/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 101)
2026-07-24	Evening	513	135	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 211 2/6x within 10 draws · followed family 112 4/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 211)
2026-07-15	Evening	201	012	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 887 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 887)
2026-07-05	Midday	632	236	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 610 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 016 3/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 610)
2026-07-02	Midday	610	016	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 025 2/18x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 160 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 250)
2026-05-08	Evening	167	167	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 711 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 169 6/21x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 711)
2026-04-05	Evening	186	168	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 145 2/14x within 10 draws · followed number 980 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 451)
2026-03-16	Midday	493	349	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 169 3/19x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 439 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 691)
2026-03-01	Midday	176	167	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 583 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 358 2/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 583)
2026-02-14	Midday	592	259	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 278 1/12x within 10 draws · followed number 583 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 827)
2026-01-30	Evening	942	249	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 925 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 259 5/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 925)
2025-12-27	Evening	492	249	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 805 -> 249 · followed number 603 2/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 805)
2025-12-20	Midday	391	139	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 570 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 057 1/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 570)
2025-12-04	Evening	119	119	double 2x Double	+$75.00	followed family 268 3/12x within 10 draws · followed family 556 1/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 826)
2025-11-26	Evening	398	389	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 228 3/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 978)
2025-10-13	Evening	764	467	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 359 1/16x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 953 -> 764 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 953)
2025-10-11	Evening	953	359	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 508 -> 593 · followed number 681 1/6x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 508)
2025-09-16	Midday	263	236	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 013 1/14x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 301 -> 362 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 301)
2025-09-13	Evening	301	013	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 345 4/11x within 10 draws · followed family 127 1/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345)
2025-07-23	Midday	374	347	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 128 4/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 182)
2025-07-12	Evening	398	389	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 681 4/5x within 10 draws · followed family 168 11/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 681)