Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 80 total plays 1.3 families/draw
Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 1.3 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.33 (1.3 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/11/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 588 | double | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | Book followed-by: 816 -> 588 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140) |
| 389 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | followed family 168 13/26x within 10 draws · followed family 138 3/20x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140) |
| 078 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | Pro-Zo relative: 780 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140) |
| 058 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | followed family 168 6/26x within 10 draws · followed family 138 2/20x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140) |
| 168 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | followed family 168 6/26x within 10 draws · followed family 138 2/20x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 2,430 | 294 | -87.9% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 17 | 3 | 17.6% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.70% | 1.02% | +0.32% |
| Capital Invested | $607.50 | $99.75 | +$516.50 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$67.50 | +$12.75 | -$54.75 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 11.1% | 12.8% | +1.7% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 61 drawings (2026-08-11 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-443 (-20.1% ROI across 2,508 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
+$55
275.0% ROI |
+$162.5
92.9% ROI |
+$10
2.5% ROI |
+$17.5
2.2% ROI |
-$320
-20.1% ROI |
-$465.5
-22.8% ROI |
-$443.5
-20.1% ROI |
6 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $251.5 | $225 | -$26.5 | 5 | -10.5% |
| 2024 | $547 | $412.5 | -$134.5 | 11 | -24.6% |
| 2025 | $797.5 | $562.5 | -$235 | 14 | -29.5% |
| 2026 | $610 | $562.5 | -$47.5 | 15 | -7.8% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
4 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Evening | 140 | 014 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 811 -> 410 · followed family 036 3/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 811) |
| 2026-09-02 | Midday | 206 | 026 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 598 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 589 5/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 598) |
| 2026-08-31 | Evening | 598 | 589 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 267 5/21x within 10 draws · followed number 068 2/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 627) |
| 2026-08-22 | Evening | 786 | 678 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 067 6/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 551) |