Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 680 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/07/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 056 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Book followed-by: 890 -> 560 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 206) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 175 | -65.0% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 6 | 1 | 16.7% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 1.20% | 0.57% | -0.63% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $58.50 | +$81.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$100.00 | -$21.00 | -$121.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 80.0% | -35.9% | -115.9% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 730 drawings (2025-09-06 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$312 (49.8% ROI across 2,504 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$3
-100.0% ROI |
+$78.5
230.9% ROI |
+$145.5
183.0% ROI |
+$92.5
54.4% ROI |
+$135.5
38.5% ROI |
+$178
33.3% ROI |
+$311.5
49.8% ROI |
6 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $137 | $300 | +$163 | 7 | 119.0% |
| 2024 | $182.5 | $225 | +$42.5 | 6 | 23.3% |
| 2025 | $182 | $187.5 | +$5.5 | 5 | 3.0% |
| 2026 | $124.5 | $225 | +$100.5 | 6 | 80.7% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
7 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 7)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Evening | 317 | 137 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 434 -> 137 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 434) |
| 2026-07-28 | Midday | 623 | 236 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 633 -> 362 · followed number 878 2/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 633) |
| 2026-07-13 | Evening | 014 | 014 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 139 6/20x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 913 -> 041 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 913) |
| 2026-06-16 | Midday | 251 | 125 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 760 -> 215 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 760) |
| 2026-05-05 | Midday | 169 | 169 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 622 -> 691 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 622) |
| 2026-04-09 | Evening | 947 | 479 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 451 -> 749 · followed family 089 1/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 451) |
| 2025-12-31 | Midday | 643 | 346 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 058 2/10x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 463 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 085) |