Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,818 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.21 (0.9 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 8 of 10

⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 8/10) · $0.25 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)

Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 8 / 10)

Protocol: VELOCITY ATTACK TROUGH SKIP CONSERVATIVE BRAKE OPTIMIZED WAVE DYNAMIC BRAKE

1 ✓ Past

2 ✓ Past

3 ✓ Past

4 ✓ Past

5 ✓ Past

6 ✓ Past

7 ✓ Past

8 ▶ ACTIVE

9 $0.25

10 $0.00

Trigger Drawing

#4442

Evening (2026-09-05)

Cumulative Stake Invested

$2.00

$0.25/draw × 8 draws

Payout if Dropped Now

$93.75

Stops immediately on drop

Net Profit if Dropped Now

+$91.75

Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

1457 distinct

Family	Type	Current Status	Selection Reason
1457	distinct	Hold Draw 8 of 10	followed family 2678 6/28x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4442)

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: REGIME SPECIALIST

Ticket Waste Index: 106.3%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	441	371	-15.9% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	0	0	100% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.00%	0.00%	+0.00%
Capital Invested	$110.25	$123.25	+$17.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss	-$110.25	-$123.25	-$13.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	-100.0%	-100.0%	+0.0% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (3 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 3,291 drawings (2023-09-07 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-618 (-42.3% ROI across 5,848 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$329.5

Return on Investment -46.8%

Hit Rate 0.14%

Max Drawdown -$-329.5

Active Drawings 3,291

Total Plays Placed 2,818

Total Winning Hits 4

Gross Revenue $375

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($187.50) · Triples pay 6× ($562.50)

distinct Base ($93.75)

4 hits

+$375

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $704.5

Total Payout (Gross) $375

Net Profit / Loss -$329.5

Final Bankroll $170.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-329.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-494.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$5 -100.0% ROI	-$46.5 -100.0% ROI	-$104 -100.0% ROI	-$133.25 -58.7% ROI	-$278.25 -59.7% ROI	-$329.5 -46.8% ROI	-$618.25 -42.3% ROI	1 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2010	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2011	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2012	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2013	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2014	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2015	$2.5	$0	-$2.5	0	-100.0%
2016	$5.75	$0	-$5.75	0	-100.0%
2017	$24.25	$0	-$24.25	0	-100.0%
2018	$30	$0	-$30	0	-100.0%
2019	$45	$93.75	+$48.75	1	108.3%
2020	$51	$0	-$51	0	-100.0%
2021	$194	$93.75	-$100.25	1	-51.7%
2022	$228.75	$281.25	+$52.5	3	23.0%
2023	$233.75	$0	-$233.75	0	-100.0%
2024	$241	$187.5	-$53.5	2	-22.2%
2025	$242.25	$187.5	-$54.75	2	-22.6%
2026	$163.75	$0	-$163.75	0	-100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-10 $-19

23-11 $-20

23-12 $-19

24-01 $-21

24-02 $-20

24-03 $-22

24-04 $-18

24-05 $-22

24-06 $-19

24-07 $-20

24-08 $-22

24-09 $169

24-10 $-21

24-11 $-20

24-12 $-19

25-01 $-20

25-02 $-18

25-03 $-20

25-04 $75

25-05 $-22

25-06 $-20

25-07 $-20

25-08 $-21

25-09 $-21

25-10 $-22

25-11 $-21

25-12 $73

26-01 $-20

26-02 $-19

26-03 $-21

26-04 $-18

26-05 $-20

26-06 $-21

26-07 $-20

26-08 $-21

26-09 $-5

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

4 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 6.5

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

25.0%

1 of 4 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 9

2 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 1 drops (25.0%)

Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 7 1 drops (25.0%)

Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 9 ★ 2 drops (50.0%)

Draw 10 0 drops (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

0148 1 hits 1569 1 hits 2678 1 hits 2689 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2025-12-31	Evening	6892	2689	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 0139 4/33x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 6946)
2025-04-05	Evening	2768	2678	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 0159 5/21x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 8113)
2024-09-13	Midday	0814	0148	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 2589 3/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 1103)
2024-09-03	Midday	6159	1569	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 3566 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 2379 2/21x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 5663)