Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 904 total plays 0.8 families/draw
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.8 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.21 (0.8 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/07/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0378 | distinct | Hold Draw 6 of 10 | followed family 2499 3/11x within 10 draws · followed family 0389 3/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2678) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 436 | 373 | -14.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 0 | 0 | 100% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.00% |
| Capital Invested | $109.00 | $124.50 | +$15.75 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$109.00 | -$124.50 | -$15.50 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -100.0% | -100.0% | +0.0% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 1,097 drawings (2025-09-06 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-617 (-42.3% ROI across 5,844 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$4
-100.0% ROI |
-$45.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$103
-100.0% ROI |
-$132.25
-58.5% ROI |
-$277.25
-59.7% ROI |
-$328.5
-46.7% ROI |
-$617.25
-42.3% ROI |
1 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2011 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2013 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2015 | $2.5 | $0 | -$2.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2016 | $5.75 | $0 | -$5.75 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2017 | $24.25 | $0 | -$24.25 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2018 | $30 | $0 | -$30 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2019 | $45 | $93.75 | +$48.75 | 1 | 108.3% |
| 2020 | $51 | $0 | -$51 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2021 | $194 | $93.75 | -$100.25 | 1 | -51.7% |
| 2022 | $228.75 | $281.25 | +$52.5 | 3 | 23.0% |
| 2023 | $233.75 | $0 | -$233.75 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2024 | $241 | $187.5 | -$53.5 | 2 | -22.2% |
| 2025 | $242.25 | $187.5 | -$54.75 | 2 | -22.6% |
| 2026 | $162.75 | $0 | -$162.75 | 0 | -100.0% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
1 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | Evening | 6892 | 2689 | distinct | +$93.75 | followed family 0139 4/33x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 6946) |