Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 5,110 total plays 4.7 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 4.7 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$1.16 (4.7 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10

🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY

Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)

Protocol: VELOCITY ATTACK TROUGH SKIP CONSERVATIVE BRAKE OPTIMIZED WAVE DYNAMIC BRAKE

1 ✓ Past

2 ✓ Past

3 ✓ Past

4 ✓ Past

5 ✓ Past

6 ✓ Past

7 ✓ Past

8 ✓ Past

9 ✓ Past

10 🛑 SIT OUT

Trigger Drawing

#2678

Night (2026-09-04)

Cumulative Stake Invested

$12.50

$1.25/draw × 10 draws

Payout if Dropped Now

$93.75 (Distinct) · $187.50 (Double)

Stops immediately on drop

Net Profit if Dropped Now

+$81.25

Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

0378 distinct 4468 double 1459 distinct 5799 double 0016 double

Family	Type	Current Status	Selection Reason
0378	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed family 2499 3/11x within 10 draws · followed family 0389 3/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2678)
4468	double	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed family 2499 1/11x within 10 draws · followed family 0389 3/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2678)
1459	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed family 2499 1/11x within 10 draws · followed family 0389 2/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2678)
5799	double	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed family 2499 1/11x within 10 draws · followed family 0389 2/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2678)
0016	double	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed family 2499 2/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2678)

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER

Ticket Waste Index: 101.4%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	2,485	1,341	-46.0% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	2	0	0.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.08%	0.00%	-0.08%
Capital Invested	$621.25	$447.75	+$211.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss	-$433.75	-$447.75	-$14.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	-69.8%	-100.0%	-30.2% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,098 drawings (2025-09-07 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-1,317 (-15.1% ROI across 6,979 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$433.75

Return on Investment -34.0%

Hit Rate 0.18%

Max Drawdown -$-471.25

Active Drawings 1,098

Total Plays Placed 5,110

Total Winning Hits 9

Gross Revenue $843.75

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($187.50) · Triples pay 6× ($562.50)

distinct Base ($93.75)

9 hits

+$843.75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $1,277.5

Total Payout (Gross) $843.75

Net Profit / Loss -$433.75

Final Bankroll $66.25

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-471.25. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-706.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$26.25 -100.0% ROI	+$25 9.8% ROI	-$128.75 -21.5% ROI	-$433.75 -34.0% ROI	-$571.25 -21.7% ROI	-$985 -24.7% ROI	-$1,317.5 -15.1% ROI	3 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2010	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2011	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2012	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2013	$0	$0	+$0	0	—
2014	$25	$0	-$25	0	-100.0%
2015	$12.5	$0	-$12.5	0	-100.0%
2016	$67.5	$0	-$67.5	0	-100.0%
2017	$152.5	$281.25	+$128.75	3	84.4%
2018	$297.5	$562.5	+$265	4	89.1%
2019	$337.5	$0	-$337.5	0	-100.0%
2020	$377.5	$93.75	-$283.75	1	-75.2%
2021	$1,167.5	$1,218.75	+$51.25	9	4.4%
2022	$1,293.75	$1,406.25	+$112.5	14	8.7%
2023	$1,342.5	$1,031.25	-$311.25	10	-23.2%
2024	$1,356.25	$1,031.25	-$325	11	-24.0%
2025	$1,360	$937.5	-$422.5	10	-31.1%
2026	$933.75	$843.75	-$90	9	-9.6%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-115

25-11 $-113

25-12 $-116

26-01 $-23

26-02 $-105

26-03 $166

26-04 $75

26-05 $-116

26-06 $-113

26-07 $165

26-08 $-114

26-09 $-26

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

9 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.6

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

33.3%

3 of 9 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 1

2 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 ★ 2 drops (22.2%)

Draw 2 1 drops (11.1%)

Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 6 1 drops (11.1%)

Draw 7 2 drops (22.2%)

Draw 8 2 drops (22.2%)

Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 10 1 drops (11.1%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

0149 1 hits 0247 1 hits 0346 1 hits 0369 1 hits 0469 1 hits 0479 1 hits 1258 1 hits 2345 1 hits 2356 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 9)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-07-27	Midday	6940	0469	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 1358 3/25x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 3888)
2026-07-14	Evening	1904	0149	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 0346 3/25x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0463)
2026-07-14	Midday	0463	0346	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 2346 3/25x within 10 draws · followed family 0779 1/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 3642)
2026-04-19	Evening	9063	0369	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 2577 2/14x within 10 draws · followed family 1338 1/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 5277)
2026-04-05	Evening	4325	2345	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 0489 4/23x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 8904)
2026-03-19	Evening	7904	0479	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 0366 1/16x within 10 draws · followed family 1599 2/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 6306)
2026-03-10	Midday	0472	0247	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 0556 2/21x within 10 draws · followed family 2577 2/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 5605)
2026-03-01	Evening	2356	2356	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 0799 1/14x within 10 draws · followed family 1123 3/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7099)
2026-01-16	Night	1582	1258	distinct	+$93.75	followed family 0112 1/10x within 10 draws · followed family 1237 2/24x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 1201)