Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,018 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/07/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#0241
Evening (2026-09-03)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$93.75
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$91.25
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

1267 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
1267 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed family 1359 2/30x within 10 draws · followed family 1559 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0241)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 102.6%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 499 437 -12.4% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 0 0 100% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.00% 0.00% +0.00%
Capital Invested $124.75 $145.25 +$15.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$124.75 -$145.25 -$20.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -100.0% -100.0% +0.0% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,097 drawings (2025-09-06 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-432 (-24.8% ROI across 6,978 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$254.5
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-254.5
Active Drawings 1,097
Total Plays Placed 1,018
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $254.5
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$254.5
Final Bankroll $245.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-254.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-381.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$4.25
-100.0% ROI
-$50.25
-100.0% ROI
-$118.25
-100.0% ROI
-$254.5
-100.0% ROI
-$433
-82.2% ROI
-$327.25
-41.1% ROI
-$432
-24.8% ROI
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $0 $0 +$0 0
2011 $0 $0 +$0 0
2012 $0 $0 +$0 0
2013 $0 $0 +$0 0
2014 $5 $0 -$5 0 -100.0%
2015 $2.5 $0 -$2.5 0 -100.0%
2016 $13.5 $0 -$13.5 0 -100.0%
2017 $32 $187.5 +$155.5 2 485.9%
2018 $59.25 $93.75 +$34.5 1 58.2%
2019 $67.5 $0 -$67.5 0 -100.0%
2020 $75.5 $93.75 +$18.25 1 24.2%
2021 $236 $93.75 -$142.25 1 -60.3%
2022 $257.25 $187.5 -$69.75 2 -27.1%
2023 $266 $375 +$109 3 41.0%
2024 $271.75 $187.5 -$84.25 2 -31.0%
2025 $272.5 $93.75 -$178.75 1 -65.6%
2026 $185.75 $0 -$185.75 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-23
25-11 $-23
25-12 $-23
26-01 $-23
26-02 $-21
26-03 $-23
26-04 $-22
26-05 $-23
26-06 $-23
26-07 $-23
26-08 $-23
26-09 $-4