Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,157 archive drawings (2023-02-23 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,109 | 1,109 | 5 | 0.45% | $277.25 | $225 | $-52.25 | -18.9% | $-108.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.2 | 1,109 | 4,628 | 23 | 0.50% | $1,157 | $862.5 | $-294.5 | -25.4% | $-527 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 881 | 881 | 10 | 1.14% | $220.25 | $375 | $154.75 | 70.3% | $-68.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 1,087 | 1,466 | 8 | 0.55% | $366.5 | $300 | $-66.5 | -18.1% | $-150.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 1,087 | 1,983 | 11 | 0.55% | $495.75 | $412.5 | $-83.25 | -16.8% | $-178 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 9.0 | 1,109 | 9,959 | 64 | 0.64% | $2,489.75 | $2,437.5 | $-52.25 | -2.1% | $-257 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 575 | 575 | 2 | 0.35% | $143.75 | $75 | $-68.75 | -47.8% | $-244 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 736 | 736 | 3 | 0.41% | $184 | $112.5 | $-71.5 | -38.9% | $-237.25 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,109 | 1,109 | 9 | 0.81% | $277.25 | $412.5 | $135.25 | 48.8% | $-104.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,109 | 1,109 | 6 | 0.54% | $277.25 | $225 | $-52.25 | -18.9% | $-66 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 3.0 | 1,109 | 3,327 | 17 | 0.51% | $831.75 | $825 | $-6.75 | -0.8% | $-204.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,109 | 8,872 | 39 | 0.44% | $2,218 | $1,837.5 | $-380.5 | -17.2% | $-424.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 8.0 | 1,109 | 8,872 | 41 | 0.46% | $2,218 | $1,912.5 | $-305.5 | -13.8% | $-349.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,109 | 8,872 | 48 | 0.54% | $2,218 | $2,250 | $32 | 1.4% | $-238 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,109 | 8,872 | 41 | 0.46% | $2,218 | $1,912.5 | $-305.5 | -13.8% | $-349.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 1,109 | 5,545 | 20 | 0.36% | $1,386.25 | $937.5 | $-448.75 | -32.4% | $-476.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,096 | 6 | 0.55% | $274 | $262.5 | $-11.5 | -4.2% | $-80.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 1,109 | 8,872 | 48 | 0.54% | $2,218 | $2,475 | $257 | 11.6% | $-230.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,109 | 1,109 | 3 | 0.27% | $277.25 | $112.5 | $-164.75 | -59.4% | $-213 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,109 | 1,109 | 5 | 0.45% | $277.25 | $262.5 | $-14.75 | -5.3% | $-137 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,157 | 1,131 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.75 | $0 | $-282.75 | -100.0% | $-282.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 1.0 | 1,157 | 1,131 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.75 | $0 | $-282.75 | -100.0% | $-282.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,157 | 1,131 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.75 | $0 | $-282.75 | -100.0% | $-282.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,157 | 1,131 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.75 | $0 | $-282.75 | -100.0% | $-282.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,157 | 1,131 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.75 | $0 | $-282.75 | -100.0% | $-282.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,157 | 1,131 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.75 | $0 | $-282.75 | -100.0% | $-282.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 4.1 | 1,109 | 4,595 | 25 | 0.54% | $1,148.75 | $937.5 | $-211.25 | -18.4% | $-317 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,109 | 11,090 | 64 | 0.58% | $2,772.5 | $2,400 | $-372.5 | -13.4% | $-592.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 1,109 | 19,962 | 68 | 0.34% | $4,990.5 | $5,100 | $109.5 | 2.2% | $-322.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 1,109 | 11,090 | 12 | 0.11% | $2,772.5 | $2,700 | $-72.5 | -2.6% | $-850 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,087 | 10,870 | 76 | 0.70% | $2,717.5 | $2,887.5 | $170 | 6.3% | $-580 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 1,109 | 19,962 | 72 | 0.36% | $4,990.5 | $4,650 | $-340.5 | -6.8% | $-1,393.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 1,109 | 11,090 | 31 | 0.28% | $2,772.5 | $2,400 | $-372.5 | -13.4% | $-622.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 1,109 | 11,090 | 39 | 0.35% | $2,772.5 | $2,475 | $-297.5 | -10.7% | $-640 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 1,109 | 5,545 | 29 | 0.52% | $1,386.25 | $1,087.5 | $-298.75 | -21.6% | $-502.5 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 1,109 | 133,080 | 802 | 0.60% | $33,270 | $30,075 | $-3,195 | -9.6% | $-31,792.5 |
Top Net Dollars: RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$257.00 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$170.00 · Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) +$154.75
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$55 | +$174 | +$168 | +$81 | +$168 | +$142 | +$257 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$25 | -$83 | +$23 | +$158 | +$275 | +$168 | +$170 | 9/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$59 | +$115 | +$151 | +$110 | +$107 | +$155 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | +$76 | -$3 | +$69 | +$135 | 3/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$45 | +$17 | +$116 | +$14 | +$30 | +$122 | +$110 | 6/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$20 | -$51 | -$132 | -$144 | +$205 | +$29 | +$32 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$47 | -$68 | -$185 | +$68 | +$58 | -$7 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$40 | -$6 | -$12 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | +$40 | +$1 | -$78 | -$43 | -$15 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$40 | -$43 | -$52 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | +$15 | +$84 | +$59 | +$10 | -$129 | -$43 | -$52 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$37 | -$40 | -$6 | -$52 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$22 | -$49 | +$10 | +$53 | -$18 | -$67 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$69 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$72 | 0/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$25 | +$68 | -$128 | -$68 | -$625 | -$58 | -$73 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$29 | -$65 | +$13 | +$56 | -$51 | -$83 | 4/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$115 | -$193 | -$165 | 0/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | +$27 | -$28 | -$109 | -$158 | -$182 | -$169 | -$211 | 3/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$11 | +$9 | -$35 | +$139 | +$112 | -$141 | -$295 | 7/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$25 | +$30 | -$165 | -$293 | -$400 | -$545 | -$298 | 4/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$13 | -$79 | -$101 | -$109 | -$125 | -$366 | -$299 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$20 | -$126 | -$245 | -$182 | -$133 | -$234 | -$306 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$20 | -$126 | -$245 | -$182 | -$133 | -$234 | -$306 | 3/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$45 | +$204 | +$153 | -$137 | -$458 | -$516 | -$341 | 4/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$25 | -$45 | -$128 | -$180 | -$138 | -$508 | -$373 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$25 | -$8 | -$128 | -$105 | -$325 | -$358 | -$373 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$20 | -$126 | -$282 | -$219 | -$245 | -$271 | -$381 | 4/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$13 | -$79 | -$176 | -$184 | -$275 | -$291 | -$449 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$150 | -$353 | -$2,093 | -$6,773 | -$16,163 | -$25,553 | -$3,195 | 0/12 |