Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 157 archive drawings (2026-03-14 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ⚡ High-Frequency Recent Form: 6 Months [Filtering only Day drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 1 | 0.70% | $35.5 | $37.5 | $2 | 5.6% | $-19.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.8 | 157 | 595 | 2 | 0.34% | $148.75 | $75 | $-73.75 | -49.6% | $-73.75 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 1 | 0.70% | $35.5 | $37.5 | $2 | 5.6% | $-19.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.2 | 157 | 196 | 0 | 0.00% | $49 | $0 | $-49 | -100.0% | $-49 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.7 | 157 | 262 | 1 | 0.38% | $65.5 | $37.5 | $-28 | -42.8% | $-48.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.1 | 157 | 1,273 | 13 | 1.02% | $318.25 | $487.5 | $169.25 | 53.2% | $-24.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.7 | 157 | 426 | 0 | 0.00% | $106.5 | $0 | $-106.5 | -100.0% | $-106.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.2 | 157 | 1,136 | 5 | 0.44% | $284 | $300 | $16 | 5.6% | $-74 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.2 | 157 | 1,136 | 4 | 0.35% | $284 | $187.5 | $-96.5 | -34.0% | $-157 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.2 | 157 | 1,136 | 5 | 0.44% | $284 | $262.5 | $-21.5 | -7.6% | $-142.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.2 | 157 | 1,136 | 4 | 0.35% | $284 | $187.5 | $-96.5 | -34.0% | $-157 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.5 | 157 | 710 | 2 | 0.28% | $177.5 | $75 | $-102.5 | -57.8% | $-107.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.2 | 157 | 1,136 | 1 | 0.09% | $284 | $37.5 | $-246.5 | -86.8% | $-246.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 1 | 0.70% | $35.5 | $37.5 | $2 | 5.6% | $-26.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 157 | 142 | 0 | 0.00% | $35.5 | $0 | $-35.5 | -100.0% | $-35.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.8 | 157 | 590 | 6 | 1.02% | $147.5 | $225 | $77.5 | 52.5% | $-27 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.0 | 157 | 1,420 | 11 | 0.77% | $355 | $412.5 | $57.5 | 16.2% | $-95 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.3 | 157 | 2,556 | 9 | 0.35% | $639 | $675 | $36 | 5.6% | $-130.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.0 | 157 | 1,420 | 3 | 0.21% | $355 | $675 | $320 | 90.1% | $-65 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.0 | 157 | 1,420 | 13 | 0.92% | $355 | $487.5 | $132.5 | 37.3% | $-27.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.3 | 157 | 2,556 | 9 | 0.35% | $639 | $675 | $36 | 5.6% | $-126 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.0 | 157 | 1,420 | 4 | 0.28% | $355 | $225 | $-130 | -36.6% | $-187.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.0 | 157 | 1,420 | 5 | 0.35% | $355 | $300 | $-55 | -15.5% | $-132.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.5 | 157 | 710 | 3 | 0.42% | $177.5 | $112.5 | $-65 | -36.6% | $-93.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 108.5 | 157 | 17,040 | 64 | 0.38% | $4,260 | $2,400 | $-1,860 | -43.7% | $-1,860 |
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$320.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$169.25 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$132.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$48 | -$85 | -$55 | -$33 | +$310 | +$428 | +$303 | 6/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$48 | -$10 | -$130 | -$258 | +$310 | +$278 | +$190 | 5/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$28 | +$290 | +$320 | +$605 | +$273 | +$390 | +$153 | 5/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$26 | -$63 | +$36 | +$159 | +$326 | +$42 | +$110 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | +$35 | -$44 | +$84 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$22 | +$22 | +$16 | +$79 | +$128 | -$236 | +$70 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$28 | +$103 | +$133 | +$118 | +$48 | +$128 | +$60 | 7/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$37 | +$110 | +$32 | +$27 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | +$38 | -$40 | -$44 | +$12 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$22 | -$128 | -$247 | -$34 | +$16 | -$198 | -$6 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | -$37 | -$115 | -$44 | -$15 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$119 | -$24 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$119 | -$52 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | -$37 | -$40 | -$44 | -$90 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$37 | -$78 | -$156 | -$127 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$12 | -$30 | -$74 | -$87 | +$36 | -$67 | -$140 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$22 | -$49 | -$103 | -$98 | -$93 | -$150 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | +$8 | -$28 | -$100 | -$132 | -$89 | -$156 | 1/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$14 | -$80 | -$103 | +$3 | -$14 | -$330 | -$186 | 6/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$156 | -$202 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$22 | -$91 | -$97 | -$34 | -$97 | -$423 | -$231 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$22 | -$91 | -$97 | -$34 | -$97 | -$423 | -$231 | 4/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$22 | -$128 | -$22 | +$4 | +$16 | -$311 | -$268 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$28 | -$48 | +$58 | +$118 | -$178 | -$173 | -$298 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$25 | +$44 | +$169 | +$195 | +$56 | -$158 | -$311 | 7/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$14 | -$5 | -$65 | -$148 | -$276 | -$293 | -$374 | 5/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$50 | -$26 | +$36 | +$272 | -$12 | -$71 | -$378 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$48 | -$107 | -$111 | -$158 | -$281 | -$419 | 2/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$12 | +$84 | +$78 | +$29 | -$34 | -$283 | -$470 | 6/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$143 | -$233 | -$1,860 | -$6,540 | -$15,930 | -$25,320 | -$4,020 | 1/12 |