Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,156 archive drawings (2023-01-02 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Morning drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 9 | 0.80% | $282.5 | $375 | $92.5 | 32.7% | $-51.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.1 | 1,156 | 4,728 | 30 | 0.63% | $1,182 | $1,162.5 | $-19.5 | -1.7% | $-203.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 5 | 0.44% | $282.5 | $187.5 | $-95 | -33.6% | $-129.25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 1,156 | 1,554 | 12 | 0.77% | $388.5 | $487.5 | $99 | 25.5% | $-80.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 1,156 | 2,087 | 15 | 0.72% | $521.75 | $562.5 | $40.75 | 7.8% | $-94.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.8 | 1,156 | 10,127 | 67 | 0.66% | $2,531.75 | $2,700 | $168.25 | 6.7% | $-122.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 2 | 0.18% | $282.5 | $150 | $-132.5 | -46.9% | $-194.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 2 | 0.18% | $282.5 | $150 | $-132.5 | -46.9% | $-194.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 5 | 0.44% | $282.5 | $187.5 | $-95 | -33.6% | $-136 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 5 | 0.44% | $282.5 | $262.5 | $-20 | -7.1% | $-121 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 1,156 | 3,390 | 18 | 0.53% | $847.5 | $937.5 | $90 | 10.6% | $-124.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,156 | 9,040 | 50 | 0.55% | $2,260 | $2,475 | $215 | 9.5% | $-264 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.8 | 1,156 | 9,040 | 51 | 0.56% | $2,260 | $2,362.5 | $102.5 | 4.5% | $-189 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,156 | 9,040 | 45 | 0.50% | $2,260 | $2,175 | $-85 | -3.8% | $-315 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,156 | 9,040 | 51 | 0.56% | $2,260 | $2,362.5 | $102.5 | 4.5% | $-189 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.9 | 1,156 | 5,650 | 29 | 0.51% | $1,412.5 | $1,612.5 | $200 | 14.2% | $-255 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 4 | 0.35% | $282.5 | $225 | $-57.5 | -20.3% | $-156.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.8 | 1,156 | 9,040 | 49 | 0.54% | $2,260 | $2,287.5 | $27.5 | 1.2% | $-337.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 2 | 0.18% | $282.5 | $75 | $-207.5 | -73.5% | $-229.5 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 5 | 0.44% | $282.5 | $187.5 | $-95 | -33.6% | $-127 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.5 | $0 | $-282.5 | -100.0% | $-282.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.5 | $0 | $-282.5 | -100.0% | $-282.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.5 | $0 | $-282.5 | -100.0% | $-282.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.5 | $0 | $-282.5 | -100.0% | $-282.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.5 | $0 | $-282.5 | -100.0% | $-282.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,130 | 0 | 0.00% | $282.5 | $0 | $-282.5 | -100.0% | $-282.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 4.1 | 1,156 | 4,684 | 29 | 0.62% | $1,171 | $1,087.5 | $-83.5 | -7.1% | $-294.75 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,156 | 11,300 | 56 | 0.50% | $2,825 | $2,100 | $-725 | -25.7% | $-825 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.6 | 1,156 | 20,340 | 59 | 0.29% | $5,085 | $4,425 | $-660 | -13.0% | $-720 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.8 | 1,156 | 11,300 | 12 | 0.11% | $2,825 | $2,700 | $-125 | -4.4% | $-652.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,156 | 11,300 | 53 | 0.47% | $2,825 | $2,062.5 | $-762.5 | -27.0% | $-787.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.6 | 1,156 | 20,340 | 53 | 0.26% | $5,085 | $3,262.5 | $-1,822.5 | -35.8% | $-1,822.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.8 | 1,156 | 11,300 | 40 | 0.35% | $2,825 | $2,587.5 | $-237.5 | -8.4% | $-545 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.8 | 1,156 | 11,300 | 42 | 0.37% | $2,825 | $2,325 | $-500 | -17.7% | $-557.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.9 | 1,156 | 5,650 | 32 | 0.57% | $1,412.5 | $1,200 | $-212.5 | -15.0% | $-278.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 117.3 | 1,156 | 135,600 | 64 | 0.05% | $33,900 | $2,400 | $-31,500 | -92.9% | $-31,500 |
Top Net Dollars: Cici's Rules Engine +$215.00 · Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$200.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$168.25
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$18 | +$64 | -$18 | -$180 | +$20 | +$144 | +$257 | 3/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$11 | +$110 | +$50 | -$145 | +$101 | +$85 | +$226 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$20 | -$102 | -$51 | -$26 | +$23 | +$34 | +$216 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$18 | +$101 | -$18 | -$67 | +$57 | +$31 | +$145 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$18 | +$101 | -$18 | -$67 | +$57 | +$31 | +$145 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | +$16 | -$11 | -$27 | +$53 | +$58 | +$110 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | +$31 | +$29 | +$45 | +$41 | +$143 | +$96 | +$106 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | +$39 | -$2 | +$107 | +$98 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$57 | +$101 | +$58 | +$46 | -$18 | -$119 | +$70 | 6/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | +$46 | +$10 | +$51 | +$56 | +$24 | +$63 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$10 | +$10 | +$3 | +$28 | +$113 | +$86 | +$6 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$152 | -$156 | +$2 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$115 | -$43 | -$15 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$115 | -$118 | -$29 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$152 | -$156 | -$31 | 0/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$18 | -$12 | -$93 | -$217 | -$281 | -$82 | -$42 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | +$39 | -$40 | -$118 | -$49 | 2/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$9 | +$11 | +$80 | -$7 | +$194 | +$57 | -$58 | 6/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$23 | +$70 | -$125 | -$290 | -$173 | -$280 | -$73 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$115 | -$118 | -$90 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$16 | +$3 | +$1 | -$40 | -$43 | -$90 | 2/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$23 | +$33 | -$125 | -$140 | -$60 | +$20 | -$185 | 4/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$11 | +$35 | -$25 | -$145 | -$86 | -$178 | -$186 | 5/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | +$22 | +$3 | -$37 | -$77 | -$156 | -$202 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$23 | -$43 | -$125 | -$178 | -$285 | -$243 | -$203 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$152 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$152 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$152 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$152 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$152 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$152 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$23 | +$33 | -$88 | -$290 | -$398 | -$355 | -$448 | 4/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$41 | -$54 | -$30 | +$18 | -$266 | -$399 | -$566 | 6/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$23 | +$70 | +$25 | -$140 | -$248 | -$580 | -$598 | 4/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$41 | -$17 | -$143 | -$432 | -$378 | -$962 | -$1,241 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$120 | -$173 | -$1,800 | -$6,480 | -$15,870 | -$25,260 | -$2,070 | 1/12 |