Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,158 archive drawings (2023-01-02 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Day drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 6 | 0.53% | $283 | $262.5 | $-20.5 | -7.2% | $-149.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.1 | 1,158 | 4,736 | 26 | 0.55% | $1,184 | $1,012.5 | $-171.5 | -14.5% | $-252.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 6 | 0.53% | $283 | $225 | $-58 | -20.5% | $-117.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 1,158 | 1,557 | 6 | 0.39% | $389.25 | $225 | $-164.25 | -42.2% | $-164.25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 1,158 | 2,090 | 9 | 0.43% | $522.5 | $337.5 | $-185 | -35.4% | $-215 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.8 | 1,158 | 10,145 | 55 | 0.54% | $2,536.25 | $2,175 | $-361.25 | -14.2% | $-584.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 2 | 0.18% | $283 | $112.5 | $-170.5 | -60.3% | $-170.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 4 | 0.35% | $283 | $262.5 | $-20.5 | -7.2% | $-124.25 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 3 | 0.27% | $283 | $150 | $-133 | -47.0% | $-195.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 4 | 0.35% | $283 | $225 | $-58 | -20.5% | $-138.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 1,158 | 3,396 | 8 | 0.24% | $849 | $412.5 | $-436.5 | -51.4% | $-436.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,158 | 9,056 | 43 | 0.47% | $2,264 | $2,287.5 | $23.5 | 1.0% | $-409 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.8 | 1,158 | 9,056 | 38 | 0.42% | $2,264 | $1,987.5 | $-276.5 | -12.2% | $-443.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,158 | 9,056 | 38 | 0.42% | $2,264 | $1,950 | $-314 | -13.9% | $-345.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,158 | 9,056 | 38 | 0.42% | $2,264 | $1,987.5 | $-276.5 | -12.2% | $-443.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.9 | 1,158 | 5,660 | 25 | 0.44% | $1,415 | $1,200 | $-215 | -15.2% | $-397.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 6 | 0.53% | $283 | $300 | $17 | 6.0% | $-99.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.8 | 1,158 | 9,056 | 41 | 0.45% | $2,264 | $2,212.5 | $-51.5 | -2.3% | $-259.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 3 | 0.27% | $283 | $187.5 | $-95.5 | -33.8% | $-123.75 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 1 | 0.09% | $283 | $75 | $-208 | -73.5% | $-208 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 0 | 0.00% | $283 | $0 | $-283 | -100.0% | $-283 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 0 | 0.00% | $283 | $0 | $-283 | -100.0% | $-283 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 0 | 0.00% | $283 | $0 | $-283 | -100.0% | $-283 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 0 | 0.00% | $283 | $0 | $-283 | -100.0% | $-283 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 0 | 0.00% | $283 | $0 | $-283 | -100.0% | $-283 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,158 | 1,132 | 0 | 0.00% | $283 | $0 | $-283 | -100.0% | $-283 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 4.1 | 1,158 | 4,693 | 17 | 0.36% | $1,173.25 | $675 | $-498.25 | -42.5% | $-623.75 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,158 | 11,320 | 66 | 0.58% | $2,830 | $2,475 | $-355 | -12.5% | $-527.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.6 | 1,158 | 20,376 | 68 | 0.33% | $5,094 | $5,100 | $6 | 0.1% | $-564 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.8 | 1,158 | 11,320 | 13 | 0.11% | $2,830 | $2,925 | $95 | 3.4% | $-635 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,158 | 11,320 | 68 | 0.60% | $2,830 | $2,587.5 | $-242.5 | -8.6% | $-442.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.6 | 1,158 | 20,376 | 65 | 0.32% | $5,094 | $4,200 | $-894 | -17.5% | $-1,372.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.8 | 1,158 | 11,320 | 43 | 0.38% | $2,830 | $2,962.5 | $132.5 | 4.7% | $-315 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.8 | 1,158 | 11,320 | 44 | 0.39% | $2,830 | $3,075 | $245 | 8.7% | $-275 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.9 | 1,158 | 5,660 | 27 | 0.48% | $1,415 | $1,012.5 | $-402.5 | -28.4% | $-431.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 117.3 | 1,158 | 135,840 | 64 | 0.05% | $33,960 | $2,400 | $-31,560 | -92.9% | $-31,560 |
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$245.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$132.50 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$95.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$48 | -$85 | -$55 | -$33 | +$310 | +$428 | +$303 | 6/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$48 | -$10 | -$130 | -$258 | +$310 | +$278 | +$190 | 5/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$28 | +$290 | +$320 | +$605 | +$273 | +$390 | +$153 | 5/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$26 | -$63 | +$36 | +$159 | +$326 | +$42 | +$110 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | +$35 | -$44 | +$84 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$22 | +$22 | +$16 | +$79 | +$128 | -$236 | +$70 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$28 | +$103 | +$133 | +$118 | +$48 | +$128 | +$60 | 7/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$37 | +$110 | +$32 | +$27 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | +$38 | -$40 | -$44 | +$12 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$22 | -$128 | -$247 | -$34 | +$16 | -$198 | -$6 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | -$37 | -$115 | -$44 | -$15 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$119 | -$24 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$119 | -$52 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | -$37 | -$40 | -$44 | -$90 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$37 | -$78 | -$156 | -$127 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$12 | -$30 | -$74 | -$87 | +$36 | -$67 | -$140 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$22 | -$49 | -$103 | -$98 | -$93 | -$150 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | +$8 | -$28 | -$100 | -$132 | -$89 | -$156 | 1/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$14 | -$80 | -$103 | +$3 | -$14 | -$330 | -$186 | 6/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$156 | -$202 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$22 | -$91 | -$97 | -$34 | -$97 | -$423 | -$231 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$22 | -$91 | -$97 | -$34 | -$97 | -$423 | -$231 | 4/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$22 | -$128 | -$22 | +$4 | +$16 | -$311 | -$268 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$28 | -$48 | +$58 | +$118 | -$178 | -$173 | -$298 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$25 | +$44 | +$169 | +$195 | +$56 | -$158 | -$311 | 7/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$14 | -$5 | -$65 | -$148 | -$276 | -$293 | -$374 | 5/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$50 | -$26 | +$36 | +$272 | -$12 | -$71 | -$378 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$48 | -$107 | -$111 | -$158 | -$281 | -$419 | 2/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$12 | +$84 | +$78 | +$29 | -$34 | -$283 | -$470 | 6/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$143 | -$233 | -$1,860 | -$6,540 | -$15,930 | -$25,320 | -$4,020 | 1/12 |