Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 940 archive drawings (2023-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Night drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 940 drawings accumulates 923 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 940 923 6 0.65% $230.75 $225 $-5.75 -2.5% $-91.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.1 940 3,862 26 0.67% $965.5 $1,050 $84.5 8.8% $-106.25
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 940 923 2 0.22% $230.75 $75 $-155.75 -67.5% $-158.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 940 1,270 9 0.71% $317.5 $337.5 $20 6.3% $-117
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 940 1,704 9 0.53% $426 $337.5 $-88.5 -20.8% $-157.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.8 940 8,272 38 0.46% $2,068 $1,500 $-568 -27.5% $-568
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 940 923 1 0.11% $230.75 $75 $-155.75 -67.5% $-195.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 940 923 2 0.22% $230.75 $150 $-80.75 -35.0% $-169.25
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 940 923 4 0.43% $230.75 $150 $-80.75 -35.0% $-85.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 940 923 5 0.54% $230.75 $187.5 $-43.25 -18.7% $-67.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.9 940 2,769 14 0.51% $692.25 $637.5 $-54.75 -7.9% $-257.25
Cici's Rules Engine 7.9 940 7,384 31 0.42% $1,846 $1,500 $-346 -18.7% $-551.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.9 940 7,384 42 0.57% $1,846 $1,912.5 $66.5 3.6% $-438
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.9 940 7,384 35 0.47% $1,846 $1,462.5 $-383.5 -20.8% $-593.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.9 940 7,384 42 0.57% $1,846 $1,912.5 $66.5 3.6% $-438
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.9 940 4,615 16 0.35% $1,153.75 $825 $-328.75 -28.5% $-420
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 940 923 4 0.43% $230.75 $150 $-80.75 -35.0% $-102.5
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.9 940 7,384 42 0.57% $1,846 $1,875 $29 1.6% $-184.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 940 923 2 0.22% $230.75 $75 $-155.75 -67.5% $-208.75
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 940 923 4 0.43% $230.75 $150 $-80.75 -35.0% $-120
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 940 923 6 0.65% $230.75 $300 $69.25 30.0% $-126
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 1.0 940 923 2 0.22% $230.75 $150 $-80.75 -35.0% $-169.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 940 923 6 0.65% $230.75 $225 $-5.75 -2.5% $-56.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 940 923 0 0.00% $230.75 $0 $-230.75 -100.0% $-230.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 940 923 2 0.22% $230.75 $275 $44.25 19.2% $-169.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 940 923 0 0.00% $230.75 $0 $-230.75 -100.0% $-230.75
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.1 940 3,826 27 0.71% $956.5 $1,087.5 $131 13.7% $-188.75
Hot Families (top 10) 9.8 940 9,230 53 0.57% $2,307.5 $1,987.5 $-320 -13.9% $-380
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.7 940 16,614 44 0.26% $4,153.5 $3,300 $-853.5 -20.5% $-1,027.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.8 940 9,230 9 0.10% $2,307.5 $2,025 $-282.5 -12.2% $-845
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.8 940 9,230 58 0.63% $2,307.5 $2,175 $-132.5 -5.7% $-330
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.7 940 16,614 63 0.38% $4,153.5 $3,937.5 $-216 -5.2% $-448.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.8 940 9,230 22 0.24% $2,307.5 $1,275 $-1,032.5 -44.8% $-1,062.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.8 940 9,230 29 0.31% $2,307.5 $1,800 $-507.5 -22.0% $-752.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.9 940 4,615 30 0.65% $1,153.75 $1,125 $-28.75 -2.5% $-126.25
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 117.8 940 110,760 65 0.06% $27,690 $2,437.5 $-25,252.5 -91.2% $-25,252.5
Window summary. 8 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) (+30.0% ROI, net +$69.25)
Top Net Dollars: Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$131.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) +$84.50 · ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$69.25

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$35 +$126 +$48 +$44 +$261 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$3 -$16 -$35 +$1 -$78 -$81 +$218 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 +$2 +$113 +$73 +$69 +$173 3/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$20 +$24 -$132 -$107 -$170 +$67 +$70 3/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$20 +$24 -$132 -$107 -$170 +$67 +$70 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 -$16 +$40 +$1 +$73 -$6 +$60 1/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$10 -$65 -$71 -$120 +$80 +$131 +$12 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$22 -$11 -$27 +$53 +$20 +$4 2/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$37 -$78 -$81 -$15 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$37 -$40 -$6 -$15 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$16 +$40 +$1 -$78 -$81 -$33 1/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$13 -$41 -$101 -$71 -$13 -$29 -$36 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$11 +$122 +$152 +$139 +$112 +$85 -$37 7/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$74 -$40 -$81 -$52 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$16 +$40 +$1 -$78 -$156 -$75 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$74 -$153 -$231 -$77 0/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$20 -$51 -$132 -$32 +$93 +$29 -$81 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$37 -$3 -$43 -$90 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$25 -$120 -$128 -$330 -$213 -$133 -$93 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$8 -$10 +$7 +$2 +$68 -$55 -$119 4/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$3 +$22 +$2 +$1 -$3 -$81 -$124 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 -$29 -$28 -$62 -$19 -$89 -$128 2/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$74 -$153 -$156 -$146 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$74 -$153 -$231 -$154 0/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 -$37 -$115 -$156 -$165 1/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$13 +$30 +$23 -$105 -$63 -$320 -$298 6/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$13 +$71 -$26 +$4 -$50 -$329 -$336 4/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$8 +$17 +$41 +$164 -$195 -$216 -$491 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$20 -$51 -$95 -$182 -$470 -$384 -$493 3/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$25 -$158 -$128 -$68 -$400 -$283 -$523 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$20 -$14 -$132 -$32 -$245 -$346 -$531 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$23 -$29 -$54 -$328 -$504 -$568 -$609 2/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$25 -$158 -$128 -$293 -$588 -$508 -$673 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$25 -$158 -$315 -$480 -$775 -$1,033 -$1,235 1/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$45 -$59 -$260 -$287 -$795 -$854 -$1,391 2/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$113 -$203 -$1,793 -$6,473 -$15,863 -$25,253 -$2,108 1/12