Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 940 archive drawings (2023-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 4 | 0.43% | $230.75 | $187.5 | $-43.25 | -18.7% | $-108.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.1 | 940 | 3,862 | 22 | 0.57% | $965.5 | $825 | $-140.5 | -14.5% | $-347 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 9 | 0.98% | $230.75 | $337.5 | $106.75 | 46.3% | $-68.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 940 | 1,270 | 8 | 0.63% | $317.5 | $300 | $-17.5 | -5.5% | $-89.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 940 | 1,704 | 10 | 0.59% | $426 | $375 | $-51 | -12.0% | $-121 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.8 | 940 | 8,272 | 53 | 0.64% | $2,068 | $2,025 | $-43 | -2.1% | $-257 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 0 | 0.00% | $230.75 | $0 | $-230.75 | -100.0% | $-230.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 0 | 0.00% | $230.75 | $0 | $-230.75 | -100.0% | $-230.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 7 | 0.76% | $230.75 | $300 | $69.25 | 30.0% | $-104.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 6 | 0.65% | $230.75 | $225 | $-5.75 | -2.5% | $-66 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 940 | 2,769 | 15 | 0.54% | $692.25 | $750 | $57.75 | 8.3% | $-204.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.9 | 940 | 7,384 | 34 | 0.46% | $1,846 | $1,575 | $-271 | -14.7% | $-333 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.9 | 940 | 7,384 | 34 | 0.46% | $1,846 | $1,612.5 | $-233.5 | -12.7% | $-286 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.9 | 940 | 7,384 | 41 | 0.56% | $1,846 | $1,875 | $29 | 1.6% | $-192.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.9 | 940 | 7,384 | 34 | 0.46% | $1,846 | $1,612.5 | $-233.5 | -12.7% | $-286 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.9 | 940 | 4,615 | 18 | 0.39% | $1,153.75 | $862.5 | $-291.25 | -25.2% | $-296.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 5 | 0.54% | $230.75 | $225 | $-5.75 | -2.5% | $-80.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.9 | 940 | 7,384 | 38 | 0.51% | $1,846 | $1,987.5 | $141.5 | 7.7% | $-230.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 1 | 0.11% | $230.75 | $37.5 | $-193.25 | -83.8% | $-193.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 4 | 0.43% | $230.75 | $187.5 | $-43.25 | -18.7% | $-137 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 0 | 0.00% | $230.75 | $0 | $-230.75 | -100.0% | $-230.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 0 | 0.00% | $230.75 | $0 | $-230.75 | -100.0% | $-230.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 0 | 0.00% | $230.75 | $0 | $-230.75 | -100.0% | $-230.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 0 | 0.00% | $230.75 | $0 | $-230.75 | -100.0% | $-230.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 0 | 0.00% | $230.75 | $0 | $-230.75 | -100.0% | $-230.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 940 | 923 | 0 | 0.00% | $230.75 | $0 | $-230.75 | -100.0% | $-230.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 4.1 | 940 | 3,826 | 21 | 0.55% | $956.5 | $787.5 | $-169 | -17.7% | $-317 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.8 | 940 | 9,230 | 48 | 0.52% | $2,307.5 | $1,800 | $-507.5 | -22.0% | $-535 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.7 | 940 | 16,614 | 57 | 0.34% | $4,153.5 | $4,275 | $121.5 | 2.9% | $-261 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.8 | 940 | 9,230 | 10 | 0.11% | $2,307.5 | $2,250 | $-57.5 | -2.5% | $-850 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.8 | 940 | 9,230 | 65 | 0.70% | $2,307.5 | $2,475 | $167.5 | 7.3% | $-210 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.7 | 940 | 16,614 | 56 | 0.34% | $4,153.5 | $3,637.5 | $-516 | -12.4% | $-781.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.8 | 940 | 9,230 | 25 | 0.27% | $2,307.5 | $1,950 | $-357.5 | -15.5% | $-475 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.8 | 940 | 9,230 | 31 | 0.34% | $2,307.5 | $1,762.5 | $-545 | -23.6% | $-607.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.9 | 940 | 4,615 | 21 | 0.46% | $1,153.75 | $787.5 | $-366.25 | -31.7% | $-441.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 117.8 | 940 | 110,760 | 57 | 0.05% | $27,690 | $2,137.5 | $-25,552.5 | -92.3% | $-25,552.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$167.50 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$141.50 · Hot doubles (top 18) +$121.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$55 | +$174 | +$168 | +$81 | +$168 | +$142 | +$257 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$25 | -$83 | +$23 | +$158 | +$275 | +$168 | +$170 | 9/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$59 | +$115 | +$151 | +$110 | +$107 | +$155 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | +$76 | -$3 | +$69 | +$135 | 3/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$45 | +$17 | +$116 | +$14 | +$30 | +$122 | +$110 | 6/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$20 | -$51 | -$132 | -$144 | +$205 | +$29 | +$32 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$47 | -$68 | -$185 | +$68 | +$58 | -$7 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$40 | -$6 | -$12 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | +$40 | +$1 | -$78 | -$43 | -$15 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$40 | -$43 | -$52 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | +$15 | +$84 | +$59 | +$10 | -$129 | -$43 | -$52 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$37 | -$40 | -$6 | -$52 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$22 | -$49 | +$10 | +$53 | -$18 | -$67 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$69 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$72 | 0/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$25 | +$68 | -$128 | -$68 | -$625 | -$58 | -$73 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$29 | -$65 | +$13 | +$56 | -$51 | -$83 | 4/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$115 | -$193 | -$165 | 0/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | +$27 | -$28 | -$109 | -$158 | -$182 | -$169 | -$211 | 3/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$35 | -$74 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$11 | +$9 | -$35 | +$139 | +$112 | -$141 | -$295 | 7/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$25 | +$30 | -$165 | -$293 | -$400 | -$545 | -$298 | 4/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$13 | -$79 | -$101 | -$109 | -$125 | -$366 | -$299 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$20 | -$126 | -$245 | -$182 | -$133 | -$234 | -$306 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$20 | -$126 | -$245 | -$182 | -$133 | -$234 | -$306 | 3/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$45 | +$204 | +$153 | -$137 | -$458 | -$516 | -$341 | 4/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$25 | -$45 | -$128 | -$180 | -$138 | -$508 | -$373 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$25 | -$8 | -$128 | -$105 | -$325 | -$358 | -$373 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$20 | -$126 | -$282 | -$219 | -$245 | -$271 | -$381 | 4/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$13 | -$79 | -$176 | -$184 | -$275 | -$291 | -$449 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$150 | -$353 | -$2,093 | -$6,773 | -$16,163 | -$25,553 | -$3,195 | 0/12 |