Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 941 archive drawings (2023-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Day drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 941 drawings accumulates 924 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 941 924 5 0.54% $231 $187.5 $-43.5 -18.8% $-149.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.1 941 3,866 23 0.59% $966.5 $900 $-66.5 -6.9% $-147.5
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 941 924 5 0.54% $231 $187.5 $-43.5 -18.8% $-117.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 941 1,271 6 0.47% $317.75 $225 $-92.75 -29.2% $-163.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 941 1,706 9 0.53% $426.5 $337.5 $-89 -20.9% $-215
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.8 941 8,281 49 0.59% $2,070.25 $1,912.5 $-157.75 -7.6% $-431.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 941 924 2 0.22% $231 $112.5 $-118.5 -51.3% $-118.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 941 924 3 0.32% $231 $187.5 $-43.5 -18.8% $-98
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 941 924 2 0.22% $231 $75 $-156 -67.5% $-156
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 941 924 2 0.22% $231 $112.5 $-118.5 -51.3% $-123.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.9 941 2,772 8 0.29% $693 $412.5 $-280.5 -40.5% $-334.5
Cici's Rules Engine 7.9 941 7,392 30 0.41% $1,848 $1,612.5 $-235.5 -12.7% $-409
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.9 941 7,392 28 0.38% $1,848 $1,425 $-423 -22.9% $-443.5
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.9 941 7,392 31 0.42% $1,848 $1,537.5 $-310.5 -16.8% $-337.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.9 941 7,392 28 0.38% $1,848 $1,425 $-423 -22.9% $-443.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.9 941 4,620 17 0.37% $1,155 $825 $-330 -28.6% $-397.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 941 924 5 0.54% $231 $262.5 $31.5 13.6% $-85
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.9 941 7,392 32 0.43% $1,848 $1,650 $-198 -10.7% $-259.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 941 924 3 0.32% $231 $187.5 $-43.5 -18.8% $-120.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 941 924 1 0.11% $231 $75 $-156 -67.5% $-156
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 941 924 0 0.00% $231 $0 $-231 -100.0% $-231
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 1.0 941 924 0 0.00% $231 $0 $-231 -100.0% $-231
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 941 924 0 0.00% $231 $0 $-231 -100.0% $-231
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 941 924 0 0.00% $231 $0 $-231 -100.0% $-231
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 941 924 0 0.00% $231 $0 $-231 -100.0% $-231
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 941 924 0 0.00% $231 $0 $-231 -100.0% $-231
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.1 941 3,831 17 0.44% $957.75 $675 $-282.75 -29.5% $-408.25
Hot Families (top 10) 9.8 941 9,240 57 0.62% $2,310 $2,137.5 $-172.5 -7.5% $-402.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.7 941 16,632 56 0.34% $4,158 $4,200 $42 1.0% $-391.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.8 941 9,240 12 0.13% $2,310 $2,700 $390 16.9% $-490
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.8 941 9,240 64 0.69% $2,310 $2,437.5 $127.5 5.5% $-220
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.7 941 16,632 62 0.37% $4,158 $4,087.5 $-70.5 -1.7% $-747
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.8 941 9,240 38 0.41% $2,310 $2,587.5 $277.5 12.0% $-315
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.8 941 9,240 38 0.41% $2,310 $2,737.5 $427.5 18.5% $-275
Calendar Year Top-5 4.9 941 4,620 23 0.50% $1,155 $862.5 $-292.5 -25.3% $-368.75
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 117.8 941 110,880 64 0.06% $27,720 $2,400 $-25,320 -91.3% $-25,320
Window summary. 6 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) (+18.5% ROI, net +$427.50)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$427.50 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$390.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$277.50

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$48 -$85 -$55 -$33 +$310 +$428 +$303 6/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$48 -$10 -$130 -$258 +$310 +$278 +$190 5/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$28 +$290 +$320 +$605 +$273 +$390 +$153 5/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$26 -$63 +$36 +$159 +$326 +$42 +$110 7/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 +$35 -$44 +$84 0/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$22 +$22 +$16 +$79 +$128 -$236 +$70 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$28 +$103 +$133 +$118 +$48 +$128 +$60 7/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$37 +$110 +$32 +$27 1/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 +$38 -$40 -$44 +$12 2/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$22 -$128 -$247 -$34 +$16 -$198 -$6 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 -$37 -$115 -$44 -$15 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$119 -$24 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$119 -$52 0/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 -$37 -$40 -$44 -$90 1/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$37 -$78 -$156 -$127 1/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$12 -$30 -$74 -$87 +$36 -$67 -$140 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$22 -$49 -$103 -$98 -$93 -$150 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 +$8 -$28 -$100 -$132 -$89 -$156 1/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$14 -$80 -$103 +$3 -$14 -$330 -$186 6/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$156 -$202 0/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$22 -$91 -$97 -$34 -$97 -$423 -$231 4/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$22 -$91 -$97 -$34 -$97 -$423 -$231 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$22 -$128 -$22 +$4 +$16 -$311 -$268 5/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$28 -$48 +$58 +$118 -$178 -$173 -$298 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$25 +$44 +$169 +$195 +$56 -$158 -$311 7/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$14 -$5 -$65 -$148 -$276 -$293 -$374 5/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$50 -$26 +$36 +$272 -$12 -$71 -$378 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$8 -$48 -$107 -$111 -$158 -$281 -$419 2/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$12 +$84 +$78 +$29 -$34 -$283 -$470 6/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$143 -$233 -$1,860 -$6,540 -$15,930 -$25,320 -$4,020 1/12