Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 626 archive drawings (2024-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Night drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 626 drawings accumulates 610 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 626 610 6 0.98% $152.5 $225 $72.5 47.5% $-71.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.1 626 2,553 19 0.74% $638.25 $750 $111.75 17.5% $-92
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 626 610 0 0.00% $152.5 $0 $-152.5 -100.0% $-152.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 626 840 7 0.83% $210 $262.5 $52.5 25.0% $-43
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 626 1,126 7 0.62% $281.5 $262.5 $-19 -6.8% $-74
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.7 626 5,467 23 0.42% $1,366.75 $862.5 $-504.25 -36.9% $-509
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 626 610 1 0.16% $152.5 $75 $-77.5 -50.8% $-117.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 626 610 1 0.16% $152.5 $75 $-77.5 -50.8% $-117.25
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 626 610 2 0.33% $152.5 $75 $-77.5 -50.8% $-77.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 626 610 4 0.66% $152.5 $150 $-2.5 -1.6% $-67.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.9 626 1,830 12 0.66% $457.5 $525 $67.5 14.8% $-96.75
Cici's Rules Engine 7.8 626 4,880 19 0.39% $1,220 $975 $-245 -20.1% $-325.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.8 626 4,880 23 0.47% $1,220 $1,050 $-170 -13.9% $-438
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.8 626 4,880 20 0.41% $1,220 $750 $-470 -38.5% $-494
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.8 626 4,880 23 0.47% $1,220 $1,050 $-170 -13.9% $-438
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.9 626 3,050 13 0.43% $762.5 $712.5 $-50 -6.6% $-316.25
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 626 610 4 0.66% $152.5 $150 $-2.5 -1.6% $-66.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.8 626 4,880 29 0.59% $1,220 $1,312.5 $92.5 7.6% $-135
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 626 610 1 0.16% $152.5 $37.5 $-115 -75.4% $-143.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 626 610 3 0.49% $152.5 $112.5 $-40 -26.2% $-120
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 626 610 5 0.82% $152.5 $225 $72.5 47.5% $-67.25
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 1.0 626 610 1 0.16% $152.5 $75 $-77.5 -50.8% $-110.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 626 610 3 0.49% $152.5 $112.5 $-40 -26.2% $-56.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 626 610 0 0.00% $152.5 $0 $-152.5 -100.0% $-152.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 626 610 1 0.16% $152.5 $200 $47.5 31.1% $-110.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 626 610 0 0.00% $152.5 $0 $-152.5 -100.0% $-152.5
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.0 626 2,529 19 0.75% $632.25 $712.5 $80.25 12.7% $-153
Hot Families (top 10) 9.7 626 6,100 39 0.64% $1,525 $1,462.5 $-62.5 -4.1% $-195
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.5 626 10,980 26 0.24% $2,745 $1,950 $-795 -29.0% $-795
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.7 626 6,100 5 0.08% $1,525 $1,125 $-400 -26.2% $-585
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.7 626 6,100 35 0.57% $1,525 $1,312.5 $-212.5 -13.9% $-330
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.5 626 10,980 40 0.36% $2,745 $2,550 $-195 -7.1% $-448.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.7 626 6,100 12 0.20% $1,525 $750 $-775 -50.8% $-775
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.7 626 6,100 15 0.25% $1,525 $937.5 $-587.5 -38.5% $-605
Calendar Year Top-5 4.9 626 3,050 20 0.66% $762.5 $750 $-12.5 -1.6% $-126.25
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 116.9 626 73,200 65 0.09% $18,300 $2,437.5 $-15,862.5 -86.7% $-15,862.5
Window summary. 8 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+47.5% ROI, net +$72.50)
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) +$111.75 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$92.50 · Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$80.25

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$35 +$126 +$48 +$44 +$261 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$3 -$16 -$35 +$1 -$78 -$81 +$218 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 +$2 +$113 +$73 +$69 +$173 3/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$20 +$24 -$132 -$107 -$170 +$67 +$70 3/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$20 +$24 -$132 -$107 -$170 +$67 +$70 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 -$16 +$40 +$1 +$73 -$6 +$60 1/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$10 -$65 -$71 -$120 +$80 +$131 +$12 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$22 -$11 -$27 +$53 +$20 +$4 2/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$37 -$78 -$81 -$15 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$37 -$40 -$6 -$15 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$16 +$40 +$1 -$78 -$81 -$33 1/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$13 -$41 -$101 -$71 -$13 -$29 -$36 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$11 +$122 +$152 +$139 +$112 +$85 -$37 7/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$74 -$40 -$81 -$52 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$16 +$40 +$1 -$78 -$156 -$75 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$74 -$153 -$231 -$77 0/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$20 -$51 -$132 -$32 +$93 +$29 -$81 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$37 -$3 -$43 -$90 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$25 -$120 -$128 -$330 -$213 -$133 -$93 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$8 -$10 +$7 +$2 +$68 -$55 -$119 4/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$3 +$22 +$2 +$1 -$3 -$81 -$124 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 -$29 -$28 -$62 -$19 -$89 -$128 2/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$74 -$153 -$156 -$146 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$35 -$74 -$153 -$231 -$154 0/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 -$37 -$115 -$156 -$165 1/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$13 +$30 +$23 -$105 -$63 -$320 -$298 6/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$13 +$71 -$26 +$4 -$50 -$329 -$336 4/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$8 +$17 +$41 +$164 -$195 -$216 -$491 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$20 -$51 -$95 -$182 -$470 -$384 -$493 3/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$25 -$158 -$128 -$68 -$400 -$283 -$523 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$20 -$14 -$132 -$32 -$245 -$346 -$531 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$23 -$29 -$54 -$328 -$504 -$568 -$609 2/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$25 -$158 -$128 -$293 -$588 -$508 -$673 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$25 -$158 -$315 -$480 -$775 -$1,033 -$1,235 1/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$45 -$59 -$260 -$287 -$795 -$854 -$1,391 2/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$113 -$203 -$1,793 -$6,473 -$15,863 -$25,253 -$2,108 1/12