Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 627 archive drawings (2024-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Day drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 627 drawings accumulates 611 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 627 611 1 0.16% $152.75 $37.5 $-115.25 -75.4% $-136.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.1 627 2,557 17 0.66% $639.25 $675 $35.75 5.6% $-132
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 627 611 3 0.49% $152.75 $112.5 $-40.25 -26.4% $-85
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 627 841 3 0.36% $210.25 $112.5 $-97.75 -46.5% $-163.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 627 1,128 4 0.35% $282 $150 $-132 -46.8% $-215
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.7 627 5,476 37 0.68% $1,369 $1,425 $56 4.1% $-219.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 627 611 1 0.16% $152.75 $75 $-77.75 -50.9% $-87.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 627 611 3 0.49% $152.75 $187.5 $34.75 22.8% $-87.5
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 627 611 2 0.33% $152.75 $75 $-77.75 -50.9% $-77.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 627 611 1 0.16% $152.75 $75 $-77.75 -50.9% $-87.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.9 627 1,833 5 0.27% $458.25 $300 $-158.25 -34.5% $-209.25
Cici's Rules Engine 7.8 627 4,888 25 0.51% $1,222 $1,350 $128 10.5% $-141
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.8 627 4,888 22 0.45% $1,222 $1,125 $-97 -7.9% $-311.5
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.8 627 4,888 24 0.49% $1,222 $1,237.5 $15.5 1.3% $-168
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.8 627 4,888 22 0.45% $1,222 $1,125 $-97 -7.9% $-311.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.9 627 3,055 16 0.52% $763.75 $750 $-13.75 -1.8% $-120
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 627 611 5 0.82% $152.75 $262.5 $109.75 71.9% $-69.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.8 627 4,888 25 0.51% $1,222 $1,237.5 $15.5 1.3% $-246.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 627 611 2 0.33% $152.75 $112.5 $-40.25 -26.4% $-71.75
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 627 611 1 0.16% $152.75 $75 $-77.75 -50.9% $-107.25
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 627 611 0 0.00% $152.75 $0 $-152.75 -100.0% $-152.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 1.0 627 611 0 0.00% $152.75 $0 $-152.75 -100.0% $-152.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 627 611 0 0.00% $152.75 $0 $-152.75 -100.0% $-152.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 627 611 0 0.00% $152.75 $0 $-152.75 -100.0% $-152.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 627 611 0 0.00% $152.75 $0 $-152.75 -100.0% $-152.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 627 611 0 0.00% $152.75 $0 $-152.75 -100.0% $-152.75
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.0 627 2,534 15 0.59% $633.5 $600 $-33.5 -5.3% $-159
Hot Families (top 10) 9.7 627 6,110 36 0.59% $1,527.5 $1,350 $-177.5 -11.6% $-350
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.5 627 10,998 41 0.37% $2,749.5 $3,075 $325.5 11.8% $-322.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.7 627 6,110 8 0.13% $1,527.5 $1,800 $272.5 17.8% $-360
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.7 627 6,110 41 0.67% $1,527.5 $1,575 $47.5 3.1% $-220
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.5 627 10,998 40 0.36% $2,749.5 $2,737.5 $-12 -0.4% $-519
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.7 627 6,110 27 0.44% $1,527.5 $1,837.5 $310 20.3% $-315
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.7 627 6,110 23 0.38% $1,527.5 $1,837.5 $310 20.3% $-275
Calendar Year Top-5 4.9 627 3,055 13 0.43% $763.75 $487.5 $-276.25 -36.2% $-322.5
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 116.9 627 73,320 64 0.09% $18,330 $2,400 $-15,930 -86.9% $-15,930
Window summary. 12 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) (+71.9% ROI, net +$109.75)
Top Net Dollars: Hot doubles (top 18) +$325.50 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$310.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$310.00

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$48 -$85 -$55 -$33 +$310 +$428 +$303 6/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$48 -$10 -$130 -$258 +$310 +$278 +$190 5/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$28 +$290 +$320 +$605 +$273 +$390 +$153 5/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$26 -$63 +$36 +$159 +$326 +$42 +$110 7/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 +$35 -$44 +$84 0/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$22 +$22 +$16 +$79 +$128 -$236 +$70 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$28 +$103 +$133 +$118 +$48 +$128 +$60 7/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$37 +$110 +$32 +$27 1/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 +$38 -$40 -$44 +$12 2/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$22 -$128 -$247 -$34 +$16 -$198 -$6 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 -$37 -$115 -$44 -$15 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$119 -$24 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$119 -$52 0/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 -$37 -$40 -$44 -$90 1/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$37 -$78 -$156 -$127 1/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$12 -$30 -$74 -$87 +$36 -$67 -$140 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$22 -$49 -$103 -$98 -$93 -$150 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 +$8 -$28 -$100 -$132 -$89 -$156 1/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$14 -$80 -$103 +$3 -$14 -$330 -$186 6/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$156 -$202 0/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$22 -$91 -$97 -$34 -$97 -$423 -$231 4/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$22 -$91 -$97 -$34 -$97 -$423 -$231 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$22 -$128 -$22 +$4 +$16 -$311 -$268 5/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$28 -$48 +$58 +$118 -$178 -$173 -$298 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$25 +$44 +$169 +$195 +$56 -$158 -$311 7/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$14 -$5 -$65 -$148 -$276 -$293 -$374 5/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$50 -$26 +$36 +$272 -$12 -$71 -$378 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$8 -$48 -$107 -$111 -$158 -$281 -$419 2/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$12 +$84 +$78 +$29 -$34 -$283 -$470 6/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$143 -$233 -$1,860 -$6,540 -$15,930 -$25,320 -$4,020 1/12