Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 314 archive drawings (2025-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle [Filtering only Day drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 1 | 0.34% | $74.5 | $37.5 | $-37 | -49.7% | $-58.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.0 | 314 | 1,247 | 6 | 0.48% | $311.75 | $225 | $-86.75 | -27.8% | $-126 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 3 | 1.01% | $74.5 | $112.5 | $38 | 51.0% | $-45.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 314 | 410 | 0 | 0.00% | $102.5 | $0 | $-102.5 | -100.0% | $-102.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 314 | 550 | 1 | 0.18% | $137.5 | $37.5 | $-100 | -72.7% | $-120.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.5 | 314 | 2,671 | 22 | 0.82% | $667.75 | $862.5 | $194.75 | 29.2% | $-62.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 1 | 0.34% | $74.5 | $37.5 | $-37 | -49.7% | $-37 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 314 | 894 | 2 | 0.22% | $223.5 | $112.5 | $-111 | -49.7% | $-111 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.6 | 314 | 2,384 | 13 | 0.55% | $596 | $675 | $79 | 13.3% | $-74 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.6 | 314 | 2,384 | 11 | 0.46% | $596 | $562.5 | $-33.5 | -5.6% | $-157 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.6 | 314 | 2,384 | 13 | 0.55% | $596 | $600 | $4 | 0.7% | $-142.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.6 | 314 | 2,384 | 11 | 0.46% | $596 | $562.5 | $-33.5 | -5.6% | $-157 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.7 | 314 | 1,490 | 9 | 0.60% | $372.5 | $375 | $2.5 | 0.7% | $-107.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 1 | 0.34% | $74.5 | $37.5 | $-37 | -49.7% | $-48 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.6 | 314 | 2,384 | 13 | 0.55% | $596 | $562.5 | $-33.5 | -5.6% | $-246.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 1 | 0.34% | $74.5 | $37.5 | $-37 | -49.7% | $-65.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 314 | 298 | 0 | 0.00% | $74.5 | $0 | $-74.5 | -100.0% | $-74.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.9 | 314 | 1,236 | 8 | 0.65% | $309 | $337.5 | $28.5 | 9.2% | $-106.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.5 | 314 | 2,980 | 23 | 0.77% | $745 | $862.5 | $117.5 | 15.8% | $-95 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.1 | 314 | 5,364 | 20 | 0.37% | $1,341 | $1,500 | $159 | 11.9% | $-159 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.5 | 314 | 2,980 | 6 | 0.20% | $745 | $1,350 | $605 | 81.2% | $-190 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.5 | 314 | 2,980 | 22 | 0.74% | $745 | $862.5 | $117.5 | 15.8% | $-65 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.1 | 314 | 5,364 | 24 | 0.45% | $1,341 | $1,612.5 | $271.5 | 20.3% | $-159 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.5 | 314 | 2,980 | 9 | 0.30% | $745 | $487.5 | $-257.5 | -34.6% | $-315 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.5 | 314 | 2,980 | 9 | 0.30% | $745 | $712.5 | $-32.5 | -4.4% | $-275 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 314 | 1,490 | 6 | 0.40% | $372.5 | $225 | $-147.5 | -39.6% | $-190 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 113.9 | 314 | 35,760 | 64 | 0.18% | $8,940 | $2,400 | $-6,540 | -73.2% | $-6,540 |
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$605.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$271.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$194.75
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$48 | -$85 | -$55 | -$33 | +$310 | +$428 | +$303 | 6/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$48 | -$10 | -$130 | -$258 | +$310 | +$278 | +$190 | 5/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$28 | +$290 | +$320 | +$605 | +$273 | +$390 | +$153 | 5/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$26 | -$63 | +$36 | +$159 | +$326 | +$42 | +$110 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | +$35 | -$44 | +$84 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$22 | +$22 | +$16 | +$79 | +$128 | -$236 | +$70 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$28 | +$103 | +$133 | +$118 | +$48 | +$128 | +$60 | 7/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$37 | +$110 | +$32 | +$27 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | +$38 | -$40 | -$44 | +$12 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$22 | -$128 | -$247 | -$34 | +$16 | -$198 | -$6 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | -$37 | -$115 | -$44 | -$15 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$119 | -$24 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$119 | -$52 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$22 | +$2 | -$37 | -$40 | -$44 | -$90 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$37 | -$78 | -$156 | -$127 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$12 | -$30 | -$74 | -$87 | +$36 | -$67 | -$140 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$22 | -$49 | -$103 | -$98 | -$93 | -$150 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | +$8 | -$28 | -$100 | -$132 | -$89 | -$156 | 1/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$14 | -$80 | -$103 | +$3 | -$14 | -$330 | -$186 | 6/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$78 | -$156 | -$202 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$22 | -$91 | -$97 | -$34 | -$97 | -$423 | -$231 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$22 | -$91 | -$97 | -$34 | -$97 | -$423 | -$231 | 4/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$22 | -$128 | -$22 | +$4 | +$16 | -$311 | -$268 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$16 | -$36 | -$75 | -$153 | -$231 | -$283 | 0/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$28 | -$48 | +$58 | +$118 | -$178 | -$173 | -$298 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$25 | +$44 | +$169 | +$195 | +$56 | -$158 | -$311 | 7/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$14 | -$5 | -$65 | -$148 | -$276 | -$293 | -$374 | 5/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$50 | -$26 | +$36 | +$272 | -$12 | -$71 | -$378 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$48 | -$107 | -$111 | -$158 | -$281 | -$419 | 2/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$12 | +$84 | +$78 | +$29 | -$34 | -$283 | -$470 | 6/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$143 | -$233 | -$1,860 | -$6,540 | -$15,930 | -$25,320 | -$4,020 | 1/12 |