Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 314 archive drawings (2025-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle [Filtering only Day drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 314 drawings accumulates 298 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 314 298 1 0.34% $74.5 $37.5 $-37 -49.7% $-58.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.0 314 1,247 6 0.48% $311.75 $225 $-86.75 -27.8% $-126
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.9 314 298 3 1.01% $74.5 $112.5 $38 51.0% $-45.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 314 410 0 0.00% $102.5 $0 $-102.5 -100.0% $-102.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 314 550 1 0.18% $137.5 $37.5 $-100 -72.7% $-120.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.5 314 2,671 22 0.82% $667.75 $862.5 $194.75 29.2% $-62.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 314 298 1 0.34% $74.5 $37.5 $-37 -49.7% $-37
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 314 894 2 0.22% $223.5 $112.5 $-111 -49.7% $-111
Cici's Rules Engine 7.6 314 2,384 13 0.55% $596 $675 $79 13.3% $-74
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.6 314 2,384 11 0.46% $596 $562.5 $-33.5 -5.6% $-157
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.6 314 2,384 13 0.55% $596 $600 $4 0.7% $-142.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.6 314 2,384 11 0.46% $596 $562.5 $-33.5 -5.6% $-157
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.7 314 1,490 9 0.60% $372.5 $375 $2.5 0.7% $-107.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 314 298 1 0.34% $74.5 $37.5 $-37 -49.7% $-48
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.6 314 2,384 13 0.55% $596 $562.5 $-33.5 -5.6% $-246.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 314 298 1 0.34% $74.5 $37.5 $-37 -49.7% $-65.25
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 314 298 0 0.00% $74.5 $0 $-74.5 -100.0% $-74.5
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 3.9 314 1,236 8 0.65% $309 $337.5 $28.5 9.2% $-106.5
Hot Families (top 10) 9.5 314 2,980 23 0.77% $745 $862.5 $117.5 15.8% $-95
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.1 314 5,364 20 0.37% $1,341 $1,500 $159 11.9% $-159
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.5 314 2,980 6 0.20% $745 $1,350 $605 81.2% $-190
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.5 314 2,980 22 0.74% $745 $862.5 $117.5 15.8% $-65
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.1 314 5,364 24 0.45% $1,341 $1,612.5 $271.5 20.3% $-159
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.5 314 2,980 9 0.30% $745 $487.5 $-257.5 -34.6% $-315
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.5 314 2,980 9 0.30% $745 $712.5 $-32.5 -4.4% $-275
Calendar Year Top-5 4.7 314 1,490 6 0.40% $372.5 $225 $-147.5 -39.6% $-190
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 113.9 314 35,760 64 0.18% $8,940 $2,400 $-6,540 -73.2% $-6,540
Window summary. 11 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) (+81.2% ROI, net +$605.00)
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$605.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$271.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$194.75

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$48 -$85 -$55 -$33 +$310 +$428 +$303 6/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$48 -$10 -$130 -$258 +$310 +$278 +$190 5/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$28 +$290 +$320 +$605 +$273 +$390 +$153 5/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$26 -$63 +$36 +$159 +$326 +$42 +$110 7/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 +$35 -$44 +$84 0/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$22 +$22 +$16 +$79 +$128 -$236 +$70 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$28 +$103 +$133 +$118 +$48 +$128 +$60 7/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$37 +$110 +$32 +$27 1/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 +$38 -$40 -$44 +$12 2/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$22 -$128 -$247 -$34 +$16 -$198 -$6 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 -$37 -$115 -$44 -$15 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$119 -$24 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$119 -$52 0/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$22 +$2 -$37 -$40 -$44 -$90 1/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$37 -$78 -$156 -$127 1/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$12 -$30 -$74 -$87 +$36 -$67 -$140 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$22 -$49 -$103 -$98 -$93 -$150 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 +$8 -$28 -$100 -$132 -$89 -$156 1/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$14 -$80 -$103 +$3 -$14 -$330 -$186 6/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$78 -$156 -$202 0/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$22 -$91 -$97 -$34 -$97 -$423 -$231 4/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$22 -$91 -$97 -$34 -$97 -$423 -$231 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$22 -$128 -$22 +$4 +$16 -$311 -$268 5/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$16 -$36 -$75 -$153 -$231 -$283 0/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$28 -$48 +$58 +$118 -$178 -$173 -$298 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$25 +$44 +$169 +$195 +$56 -$158 -$311 7/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$14 -$5 -$65 -$148 -$276 -$293 -$374 5/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$50 -$26 +$36 +$272 -$12 -$71 -$378 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$8 -$48 -$107 -$111 -$158 -$281 -$419 2/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$12 +$84 +$78 +$29 -$34 -$283 -$470 6/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$143 -$233 -$1,860 -$6,540 -$15,930 -$25,320 -$4,020 1/12