Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 31 archive drawings (2026-08-05 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $93.75 / double $187.50 / two-double $375.00 / triple $562.50 / quadruple $2250.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
0 families every drawing across
31 drawings accumulates
2 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 0.1 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | $0.5 | $0 | $-0.5 | -100.0% | $-0.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 0.1 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | $0.5 | $0 | $-0.5 | -100.0% | $-0.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | 1.0 | 31 | 32 | 0 | 0.00% | $8 | $0 | $-8 | -100.0% | $-8 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | 0.1 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | $1 | $0 | $-1 | -100.0% | $-1 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 0.2 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0.00% | $1.75 | $0 | $-1.75 | -100.0% | $-1.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.2 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0.00% | $1.75 | $0 | $-1.75 | -100.0% | $-1.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.1 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | $0.5 | $0 | $-0.5 | -100.0% | $-0.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 1.0 | 31 | 32 | 0 | 0.00% | $8 | $0 | $-8 | -100.0% | $-8 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 0.0 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 2.3 | 31 | 72 | 0 | 0.00% | $18 | $0 | $-18 | -100.0% | $-18 |
| Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 2.3 | 31 | 72 | 0 | 0.00% | $18 | $0 | $-18 | -100.0% | $-18 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 2.3 | 31 | 72 | 0 | 0.00% | $18 | $0 | $-18 | -100.0% | $-18 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 0.6 | 31 | 20 | 0 | 0.00% | $5 | $0 | $-5 | -100.0% | $-5 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 27.1 | 31 | 840 | 2 | 0.24% | $210 | $187.5 | $-22.5 | -10.7% | $-22.5 |
| Consensus Panel | 1.2 | 31 | 38 | 0 | 0.00% | $9.5 | $0 | $-9.5 | -100.0% | $-9.5 |
Window summary.
0 of 23 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top Net Dollars: Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$0.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) -$0.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) -$0.50
Top Net Dollars: Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$0.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) -$0.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) -$0.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) | -$10 | -$165 | +$1,858 | +$1,403 | +$490 | +$1,825 | +$1,593 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$10 | +$23 | +$76 | +$278 | +$21 | +$138 | +$130 | 8/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$10 | -$165 | -$393 | +$1,028 | +$865 | +$325 | +$93 | 3/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$5 | -$83 | -$9 | +$45 | -$318 | -$25 | +$46 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$2 | -$22 | -$52 | -$41 | +$7 | +$38 | +$38 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$2 | -$19 | -$44 | -$14 | +$60 | +$32 | +$31 | 1/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$18 | -$110 | -$332 | -$401 | -$543 | +$60 | +$17 | 4/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | — | -$2 | -$5 | -$10 | -$19 | -$24 | -$25 | 0/11 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$10 | +$116 | -$111 | -$191 | -$635 | -$238 | -$95 | 5/12 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | -$10 | -$165 | -$111 | -$379 | -$260 | -$238 | -$95 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$1 | -$11 | -$25 | -$53 | -$103 | -$135 | -$143 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$1 | -$11 | -$25 | -$53 | -$103 | -$135 | -$143 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$39 | -$85 | -$82 | -$174 | -$197 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$1 | -$19 | -$48 | -$95 | -$183 | -$235 | -$245 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | -$8 | -$38 | -$220 | -$584 | -$658 | -$453 | -$264 | 1/12 |
| Consensus Panel | -$10 | -$148 | -$177 | -$568 | -$830 | -$615 | -$376 | 2/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$10 | -$165 | -$393 | -$285 | +$115 | -$238 | -$470 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$8 | -$132 | -$314 | -$584 | +$92 | -$540 | -$633 | 1/12 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | -$10 | -$165 | -$205 | -$566 | -$729 | -$894 | -$658 | 2/12 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | -$10 | +$210 | +$170 | -$285 | -$260 | -$988 | -$1,220 | 2/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$18 | -$297 | -$707 | -$776 | -$1,293 | -$1,534 | -$1,577 | 1/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | -$18 | -$297 | -$707 | -$776 | -$1,293 | -$1,534 | -$1,577 | 1/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$23 | -$653 | -$930 | -$2,048 | -$3,023 | -$5,269 | -$5,651 | 2/12 |