Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 182 archive drawings (2026-03-14 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ⚡ High-Frequency Recent Form: 6 Months [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 2.0 | 182 | 360 | 4 | 1.11% | $90 | $150 | $60 | 66.7% | $-33.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 1 | 0.61% | $41 | $37.5 | $-3.5 | -8.5% | $-33.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 182 | 234 | 2 | 0.85% | $58.5 | $75 | $16.5 | 28.2% | $-26 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.7 | 182 | 312 | 3 | 0.96% | $78 | $112.5 | $34.5 | 44.2% | $-34.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.3 | 182 | 1,503 | 12 | 0.80% | $375.75 | $487.5 | $111.75 | 29.7% | $0 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 1 | 0.61% | $41 | $37.5 | $-3.5 | -8.5% | $-30.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 1 | 0.61% | $41 | $37.5 | $-3.5 | -8.5% | $-30.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 3 | 1.83% | $41 | $112.5 | $71.5 | 174.4% | $-15.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.7 | 182 | 492 | 2 | 0.41% | $123 | $75 | $-48 | -39.0% | $-77.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.2 | 182 | 1,312 | 3 | 0.23% | $328 | $187.5 | $-140.5 | -42.8% | $-140.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.2 | 182 | 1,312 | 3 | 0.23% | $328 | $150 | $-178 | -54.3% | $-178 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.2 | 182 | 1,312 | 4 | 0.30% | $328 | $187.5 | $-140.5 | -42.8% | $-193 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.2 | 182 | 1,312 | 3 | 0.23% | $328 | $150 | $-178 | -54.3% | $-178 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.5 | 182 | 820 | 3 | 0.37% | $205 | $187.5 | $-17.5 | -8.5% | $-40 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 1 | 0.61% | $41 | $37.5 | $-3.5 | -8.5% | $-22.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.2 | 182 | 1,312 | 5 | 0.38% | $328 | $225 | $-103 | -31.4% | $-103 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 1 | 0.61% | $41 | $37.5 | $-3.5 | -8.5% | $-18.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 182 | 164 | 0 | 0.00% | $41 | $0 | $-41 | -100.0% | $-41 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 2.1 | 182 | 382 | 2 | 0.52% | $95.5 | $75 | $-20.5 | -21.5% | $-35.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.0 | 182 | 1,640 | 9 | 0.55% | $410 | $337.5 | $-72.5 | -17.7% | $-115 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.2 | 182 | 2,952 | 11 | 0.37% | $738 | $825 | $87 | 11.8% | $-124.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.0 | 182 | 1,640 | 0 | 0.00% | $410 | $0 | $-410 | -100.0% | $-410 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.0 | 182 | 1,640 | 11 | 0.67% | $410 | $412.5 | $2.5 | 0.6% | $-40 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.2 | 182 | 2,952 | 9 | 0.30% | $738 | $487.5 | $-250.5 | -33.9% | $-265.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.0 | 182 | 1,640 | 5 | 0.30% | $410 | $300 | $-110 | -26.8% | $-157.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.0 | 182 | 1,640 | 9 | 0.55% | $410 | $600 | $190 | 46.3% | $-152.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.5 | 182 | 820 | 4 | 0.49% | $205 | $150 | $-55 | -26.8% | $-55 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 108.1 | 182 | 19,680 | 122 | 0.62% | $4,920 | $4,575 | $-345 | -7.0% | $-345 |
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$190.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$111.75 · Hot doubles (top 18) +$87.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$28 | -$70 | -$73 | +$110 | +$98 | +$420 | +$570 | 4/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$28 | -$183 | -$410 | -$415 | +$248 | +$233 | +$233 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$4 | +$64 | +$160 | +$68 | +$83 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | +$19 | -$4 | +$26 | +$10 | -$44 | +$79 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$12 | -$65 | +$31 | +$46 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$6 | +$73 | +$60 | +$73 | +$22 | +$9 | +$33 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | +$19 | -$4 | -$49 | +$10 | -$82 | +$33 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$103 | -$44 | +$8 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$4 | -$49 | -$28 | -$82 | -$3 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$26 | +$17 | -$11 | -$66 | -$9 | -$7 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$35 | +$35 | -$15 | -$76 | -$25 | -$28 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | +$10 | -$44 | -$29 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | +$35 | +$19 | +$72 | +$26 | -$28 | -$7 | -$29 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$10 | +$5 | +$3 | -$40 | -$203 | -$105 | -$68 | 3/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$48 | +$343 | +$190 | -$40 | +$60 | +$45 | -$68 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | +$19 | -$4 | -$49 | -$140 | -$82 | -$101 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | +$29 | -$17 | -$48 | -$110 | -$121 | -$58 | -$125 | 3/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$14 | -$54 | -$55 | -$58 | -$64 | -$146 | -$184 | 3/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$7 | -$5 | -$21 | -$51 | -$226 | -$252 | -$270 | 4/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$50 | -$216 | -$251 | -$545 | -$162 | -$84 | -$302 | 3/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$48 | -$33 | -$110 | -$340 | +$23 | -$293 | -$405 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | +$50 | +$58 | +$112 | +$33 | -$129 | -$404 | -$420 | 8/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$26 | +$197 | +$87 | -$282 | -$200 | -$197 | -$452 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$22 | -$146 | -$178 | -$317 | -$635 | -$429 | -$497 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$22 | -$146 | -$178 | -$317 | -$635 | -$429 | -$497 | 2/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$14 | -$16 | -$18 | -$170 | -$476 | -$484 | -$521 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$22 | -$34 | -$103 | -$167 | -$485 | -$542 | -$684 | 5/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$22 | -$109 | -$141 | -$317 | -$522 | -$692 | -$759 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$22 | -$71 | -$141 | -$392 | -$785 | -$917 | -$947 | 2/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$105 | -$203 | -$345 | -$1,005 | -$11,955 | -$22,935 | -$2,948 | 2/12 |