Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,096 archive drawings (2023-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 8 | 0.74% | $269.25 | $300 | $30.75 | 11.4% | $-72 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 2.2 | 1,096 | 2,366 | 15 | 0.63% | $591.5 | $600 | $8.5 | 1.4% | $-143 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 5 | 0.46% | $269.25 | $187.5 | $-81.75 | -30.4% | $-107 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 1,096 | 1,534 | 10 | 0.65% | $383.5 | $375 | $-8.5 | -2.2% | $-120.25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 1,096 | 2,050 | 13 | 0.63% | $512.5 | $487.5 | $-25 | -4.9% | $-173.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 9.0 | 1,096 | 9,867 | 53 | 0.54% | $2,466.75 | $2,062.5 | $-404.25 | -16.4% | $-557.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 3 | 0.28% | $269.25 | $187.5 | $-81.75 | -30.4% | $-152.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 4 | 0.37% | $269.25 | $225 | $-44.25 | -16.4% | $-114.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 4 | 0.37% | $269.25 | $225 | $-44.25 | -16.4% | $-140 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 6 | 0.56% | $269.25 | $262.5 | $-6.75 | -2.5% | $-145.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 1,096 | 3,231 | 16 | 0.50% | $807.75 | $750 | $-57.75 | -7.1% | $-238.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.9 | 1,096 | 8,616 | 25 | 0.29% | $2,154 | $1,237.5 | $-916.5 | -42.5% | $-916.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.9 | 1,096 | 8,616 | 35 | 0.41% | $2,154 | $1,725 | $-429 | -19.9% | $-719 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.9 | 1,096 | 8,616 | 32 | 0.37% | $2,154 | $1,462.5 | $-691.5 | -32.1% | $-691.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.9 | 1,096 | 8,616 | 35 | 0.41% | $2,154 | $1,725 | $-429 | -19.9% | $-719 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.9 | 1,096 | 5,385 | 18 | 0.33% | $1,346.25 | $862.5 | $-483.75 | -35.9% | $-538.75 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 4 | 0.37% | $269.25 | $187.5 | $-81.75 | -30.4% | $-182.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.9 | 1,096 | 8,616 | 33 | 0.38% | $2,154 | $1,612.5 | $-541.5 | -25.1% | $-595.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 6 | 0.56% | $269.25 | $337.5 | $68.25 | 25.4% | $-122.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 6 | 0.56% | $269.25 | $225 | $-44.25 | -16.4% | $-125.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 0 | 0.00% | $269.25 | $0 | $-269.25 | -100.0% | $-269.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 0 | 0.00% | $269.25 | $0 | $-269.25 | -100.0% | $-269.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 0 | 0.00% | $269.25 | $0 | $-269.25 | -100.0% | $-269.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 0 | 0.00% | $269.25 | $0 | $-269.25 | -100.0% | $-269.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 0 | 0.00% | $269.25 | $0 | $-269.25 | -100.0% | $-269.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,096 | 1,077 | 0 | 0.00% | $269.25 | $0 | $-269.25 | -100.0% | $-269.25 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 2.3 | 1,096 | 2,506 | 9 | 0.36% | $626.5 | $375 | $-251.5 | -40.1% | $-294.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,096 | 10,770 | 78 | 0.72% | $2,692.5 | $3,112.5 | $420 | 15.6% | $-152.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.7 | 1,096 | 19,386 | 62 | 0.32% | $4,846.5 | $4,650 | $-196.5 | -4.0% | $-721.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.8 | 1,096 | 10,770 | 13 | 0.12% | $2,692.5 | $2,925 | $232.5 | 8.6% | $-567.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,096 | 10,770 | 69 | 0.64% | $2,692.5 | $2,587.5 | $-105 | -3.9% | $-352.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.7 | 1,096 | 19,386 | 82 | 0.42% | $4,846.5 | $4,762.5 | $-84 | -1.7% | $-607.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.8 | 1,096 | 10,770 | 33 | 0.31% | $2,692.5 | $2,400 | $-292.5 | -10.9% | $-585 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.8 | 1,096 | 10,770 | 46 | 0.43% | $2,692.5 | $2,737.5 | $45 | 1.7% | $-542.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.9 | 1,096 | 5,385 | 32 | 0.59% | $1,346.25 | $1,200 | $-146.25 | -10.9% | $-271.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 117.9 | 1,096 | 129,240 | 250 | 0.19% | $32,310 | $9,375 | $-22,935 | -71.0% | $-22,935 |
Top Net Dollars: Hot Families (top 10) +$420.00 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$232.50 · RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) +$68.25
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$28 | -$70 | -$73 | +$110 | +$98 | +$420 | +$570 | 4/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$28 | -$183 | -$410 | -$415 | +$248 | +$233 | +$233 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$4 | +$64 | +$160 | +$68 | +$83 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | +$19 | -$4 | +$26 | +$10 | -$44 | +$79 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$12 | -$65 | +$31 | +$46 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$6 | +$73 | +$60 | +$73 | +$22 | +$9 | +$33 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | +$19 | -$4 | -$49 | +$10 | -$82 | +$33 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$103 | -$44 | +$8 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$4 | -$49 | -$28 | -$82 | -$3 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$26 | +$17 | -$11 | -$66 | -$9 | -$7 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$35 | +$35 | -$15 | -$76 | -$25 | -$28 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | +$10 | -$44 | -$29 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | +$35 | +$19 | +$72 | +$26 | -$28 | -$7 | -$29 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$10 | +$5 | +$3 | -$40 | -$203 | -$105 | -$68 | 3/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$48 | +$343 | +$190 | -$40 | +$60 | +$45 | -$68 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | +$19 | -$4 | -$49 | -$140 | -$82 | -$101 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | +$29 | -$17 | -$48 | -$110 | -$121 | -$58 | -$125 | 3/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$14 | -$54 | -$55 | -$58 | -$64 | -$146 | -$184 | 3/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$7 | -$5 | -$21 | -$51 | -$226 | -$252 | -$270 | 4/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$300 | 0/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$50 | -$216 | -$251 | -$545 | -$162 | -$84 | -$302 | 3/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$48 | -$33 | -$110 | -$340 | +$23 | -$293 | -$405 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | +$50 | +$58 | +$112 | +$33 | -$129 | -$404 | -$420 | 8/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$26 | +$197 | +$87 | -$282 | -$200 | -$197 | -$452 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$22 | -$146 | -$178 | -$317 | -$635 | -$429 | -$497 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$22 | -$146 | -$178 | -$317 | -$635 | -$429 | -$497 | 2/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$14 | -$16 | -$18 | -$170 | -$476 | -$484 | -$521 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$22 | -$34 | -$103 | -$167 | -$485 | -$542 | -$684 | 5/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$22 | -$109 | -$141 | -$317 | -$522 | -$692 | -$759 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$22 | -$71 | -$141 | -$392 | -$785 | -$917 | -$947 | 2/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$105 | -$203 | -$345 | -$1,005 | -$11,955 | -$22,935 | -$2,948 | 2/12 |