Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 730 archive drawings (2024-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 730 drawings accumulates 711 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 730 711 3 0.42% $177.75 $112.5 $-65.25 -36.7% $-72
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 2.1 730 1,562 10 0.64% $390.5 $412.5 $22 5.6% $-129.5
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 730 711 4 0.56% $177.75 $150 $-27.75 -15.6% $-57.25
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 730 1,013 5 0.49% $253.25 $187.5 $-65.75 -26.0% $-108.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.9 730 1,354 7 0.52% $338.5 $262.5 $-76 -22.4% $-133.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.9 730 6,514 38 0.58% $1,628.5 $1,500 $-128.5 -7.9% $-281.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 730 711 3 0.42% $177.75 $187.5 $9.75 5.5% $-91.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 730 711 3 0.42% $177.75 $187.5 $9.75 5.5% $-60.75
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 730 711 3 0.42% $177.75 $187.5 $9.75 5.5% $-140
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 730 711 4 0.56% $177.75 $150 $-27.75 -15.6% $-106
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.9 730 2,133 10 0.47% $533.25 $412.5 $-120.75 -22.6% $-238.5
Cici's Rules Engine 7.8 730 5,688 12 0.21% $1,422 $637.5 $-784.5 -55.2% $-788
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.8 730 5,688 16 0.28% $1,422 $787.5 $-634.5 -44.6% $-675.5
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.8 730 5,688 18 0.32% $1,422 $900 $-522 -36.7% $-525.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.8 730 5,688 16 0.28% $1,422 $787.5 $-634.5 -44.6% $-675.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.9 730 3,555 8 0.23% $888.75 $412.5 $-476.25 -53.6% $-535
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 730 711 1 0.14% $177.75 $37.5 $-140.25 -78.9% $-159.5
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.8 730 5,688 18 0.32% $1,422 $937.5 $-484.5 -34.1% $-520
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 730 711 6 0.84% $177.75 $337.5 $159.75 89.9% $-45.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 730 711 2 0.28% $177.75 $75 $-102.75 -57.8% $-117.25
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 730 711 0 0.00% $177.75 $0 $-177.75 -100.0% $-177.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 1.0 730 711 0 0.00% $177.75 $0 $-177.75 -100.0% $-177.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 730 711 0 0.00% $177.75 $0 $-177.75 -100.0% $-177.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 730 711 0 0.00% $177.75 $0 $-177.75 -100.0% $-177.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 730 711 0 0.00% $177.75 $0 $-177.75 -100.0% $-177.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 730 711 0 0.00% $177.75 $0 $-177.75 -100.0% $-177.75
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 2.3 730 1,654 5 0.30% $413.5 $187.5 $-226 -54.7% $-243
Hot Families (top 10) 9.7 730 7,110 49 0.69% $1,777.5 $1,875 $97.5 5.5% $-152.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.5 730 12,798 40 0.31% $3,199.5 $3,000 $-199.5 -6.2% $-721.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.7 730 7,110 9 0.13% $1,777.5 $2,025 $247.5 13.9% $-567.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.7 730 7,110 42 0.59% $1,777.5 $1,575 $-202.5 -11.4% $-277.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.5 730 12,798 52 0.41% $3,199.5 $3,037.5 $-162 -5.1% $-607.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.7 730 7,110 21 0.30% $1,777.5 $1,800 $22.5 1.3% $-387.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.7 730 7,110 30 0.42% $1,777.5 $1,837.5 $60 3.4% $-542.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.9 730 3,555 22 0.62% $888.75 $825 $-63.75 -7.2% $-116.25
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 116.9 730 85,320 250 0.29% $21,330 $9,375 $-11,955 -56.0% $-11,955
Window summary. 9 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) (+89.9% ROI, net +$159.75)
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$247.50 · RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) +$159.75 · Hot Families (top 10) +$97.50

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Hot Families (top 10) -$28 -$70 -$73 +$110 +$98 +$420 +$570 4/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$28 -$183 -$410 -$415 +$248 +$233 +$233 1/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$18 -$4 +$64 +$160 +$68 +$83 2/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 +$19 -$4 +$26 +$10 -$44 +$79 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$12 -$65 +$31 +$46 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$6 +$73 +$60 +$73 +$22 +$9 +$33 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 +$19 -$4 -$49 +$10 -$82 +$33 1/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$87 -$103 -$44 +$8 0/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$18 -$4 -$49 -$28 -$82 -$3 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$26 +$17 -$11 -$66 -$9 -$7 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 -$35 +$35 -$15 -$76 -$25 -$28 3/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$87 +$10 -$44 -$29 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$35 +$19 +$72 +$26 -$28 -$7 -$29 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$10 +$5 +$3 -$40 -$203 -$105 -$68 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$48 +$343 +$190 -$40 +$60 +$45 -$68 4/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$3 +$19 -$4 -$49 -$140 -$82 -$101 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) +$29 -$17 -$48 -$110 -$121 -$58 -$125 3/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$14 -$54 -$55 -$58 -$64 -$146 -$184 3/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$7 -$5 -$21 -$51 -$226 -$252 -$270 4/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$300 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$300 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$300 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$300 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$300 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$18 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$300 0/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$50 -$216 -$251 -$545 -$162 -$84 -$302 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$48 -$33 -$110 -$340 +$23 -$293 -$405 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$50 +$58 +$112 +$33 -$129 -$404 -$420 8/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$26 +$197 +$87 -$282 -$200 -$197 -$452 6/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$22 -$146 -$178 -$317 -$635 -$429 -$497 2/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$22 -$146 -$178 -$317 -$635 -$429 -$497 2/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$14 -$16 -$18 -$170 -$476 -$484 -$521 3/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$22 -$34 -$103 -$167 -$485 -$542 -$684 5/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$22 -$109 -$141 -$317 -$522 -$692 -$759 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$22 -$71 -$141 -$392 -$785 -$917 -$947 2/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$105 -$203 -$345 -$1,005 -$11,955 -$22,935 -$2,948 2/12