Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 366 archive drawings (2025-09-09 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 3 | 0.87% | $85.75 | $150 | $64.25 | 74.9% | $-23 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 366 | 1,077 | 5 | 0.46% | $269.25 | $187.5 | $-81.75 | -30.4% | $-151 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.7 | 366 | 244 | 0 | 0.00% | $61 | $0 | $-61 | -100.0% | $-61 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 366 | 498 | 0 | 0.00% | $124.5 | $0 | $-124.5 | -100.0% | $-124.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 366 | 644 | 0 | 0.00% | $161 | $0 | $-161 | -100.0% | $-161 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.6 | 366 | 3,160 | 11 | 0.35% | $790 | $487.5 | $-302.5 | -38.3% | $-340 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.5 | 366 | 173 | 0 | 0.00% | $43.25 | $0 | $-43.25 | -100.0% | $-43.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.6 | 366 | 212 | 1 | 0.47% | $53 | $75 | $22 | 41.5% | $-34.25 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 2 | 0.58% | $85.75 | $75 | $-10.75 | -12.5% | $-45.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 5 | 1.46% | $85.75 | $225 | $139.25 | 162.4% | $-38.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 366 | 1,029 | 4 | 0.39% | $257.25 | $225 | $-32.25 | -12.5% | $-106.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 5 | 0.18% | $686 | $225 | $-461 | -67.2% | $-461 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 14 | 0.51% | $686 | $712.5 | $26.5 | 3.9% | $-171 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 18 | 0.66% | $686 | $937.5 | $251.5 | 36.7% | $-71.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 14 | 0.51% | $686 | $712.5 | $26.5 | 3.9% | $-171 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.7 | 366 | 1,715 | 3 | 0.17% | $428.75 | $150 | $-278.75 | -65.0% | $-278.75 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 7 | 0.26% | $686 | $337.5 | $-348.5 | -50.8% | $-445 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 1 | 0.29% | $85.75 | $75 | $-10.75 | -12.5% | $-40.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 2 | 0.58% | $85.75 | $112.5 | $26.75 | 31.2% | $-37.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 366 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.0 | 366 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 366 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 366 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 366 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 366 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 2.8 | 366 | 1,023 | 7 | 0.68% | $255.75 | $300 | $44.25 | 17.3% | $-55.25 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 28 | 0.82% | $857.5 | $1,050 | $192.5 | 22.4% | $-77.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.9 | 366 | 6,174 | 20 | 0.32% | $1,543.5 | $1,500 | $-43.5 | -2.8% | $-354 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 4 | 0.12% | $857.5 | $900 | $42.5 | 5.0% | $-157.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 9 | 0.26% | $857.5 | $337.5 | $-520 | -60.6% | $-520 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.9 | 366 | 6,174 | 28 | 0.45% | $1,543.5 | $1,537.5 | $-6 | -0.4% | $-192 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 6 | 0.17% | $857.5 | $375 | $-482.5 | -56.3% | $-482.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 15 | 0.44% | $857.5 | $787.5 | $-70 | -8.2% | $-270 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 366 | 1,715 | 8 | 0.47% | $428.75 | $300 | $-128.75 | -30.0% | $-156.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 112.5 | 366 | 41,160 | 251 | 0.61% | $10,290 | $9,412.5 | $-877.5 | -8.5% | $-877.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine +$251.50 · Hot Families (top 10) +$192.50 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$139.25
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.