Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 366 archive drawings (2025-09-09 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 366 drawings accumulates 343 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 366 343 3 0.87% $85.75 $150 $64.25 74.9% $-23
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 2.9 366 1,077 5 0.46% $269.25 $187.5 $-81.75 -30.4% $-151
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.7 366 244 0 0.00% $61 $0 $-61 -100.0% $-61
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 366 498 0 0.00% $124.5 $0 $-124.5 -100.0% $-124.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 366 644 0 0.00% $161 $0 $-161 -100.0% $-161
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.6 366 3,160 11 0.35% $790 $487.5 $-302.5 -38.3% $-340
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.5 366 173 0 0.00% $43.25 $0 $-43.25 -100.0% $-43.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.6 366 212 1 0.47% $53 $75 $22 41.5% $-34.25
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 366 343 2 0.58% $85.75 $75 $-10.75 -12.5% $-45.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 366 343 5 1.46% $85.75 $225 $139.25 162.4% $-38.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 366 1,029 4 0.39% $257.25 $225 $-32.25 -12.5% $-106.5
Cici's Rules Engine 7.5 366 2,744 5 0.18% $686 $225 $-461 -67.2% $-461
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.5 366 2,744 14 0.51% $686 $712.5 $26.5 3.9% $-171
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.5 366 2,744 18 0.66% $686 $937.5 $251.5 36.7% $-71.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.5 366 2,744 14 0.51% $686 $712.5 $26.5 3.9% $-171
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.7 366 1,715 3 0.17% $428.75 $150 $-278.75 -65.0% $-278.75
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.5 366 2,744 7 0.26% $686 $337.5 $-348.5 -50.8% $-445
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 366 343 1 0.29% $85.75 $75 $-10.75 -12.5% $-40.25
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 366 343 2 0.58% $85.75 $112.5 $26.75 31.2% $-37.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 366 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 366 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 366 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 366 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 366 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 366 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 2.8 366 1,023 7 0.68% $255.75 $300 $44.25 17.3% $-55.25
Hot Families (top 10) 9.4 366 3,430 28 0.82% $857.5 $1,050 $192.5 22.4% $-77.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.9 366 6,174 20 0.32% $1,543.5 $1,500 $-43.5 -2.8% $-354
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.4 366 3,430 4 0.12% $857.5 $900 $42.5 5.0% $-157.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.4 366 3,430 9 0.26% $857.5 $337.5 $-520 -60.6% $-520
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.9 366 6,174 28 0.45% $1,543.5 $1,537.5 $-6 -0.4% $-192
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.4 366 3,430 6 0.17% $857.5 $375 $-482.5 -56.3% $-482.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.4 366 3,430 15 0.44% $857.5 $787.5 $-70 -8.2% $-270
Calendar Year Top-5 4.7 366 1,715 8 0.47% $428.75 $300 $-128.75 -30.0% $-156.25
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 112.5 366 41,160 251 0.61% $10,290 $9,412.5 $-877.5 -8.5% $-877.5
Window summary. 10 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+162.4% ROI, net +$139.25)
Top Net Dollars: Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine +$251.50 · Hot Families (top 10) +$192.50 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$139.25

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$6 -$53 -$83 -$32 +$294 +$357 +$325 4/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$22 +$48 +$53 +$27 +$459 +$327 +$291 7/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$22 +$48 +$53 +$27 +$459 +$327 +$291 7/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$11 +$161 +$144 +$121 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$2 -$11 -$26 +$22 +$77 +$127 +$113 1/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine +$22 +$198 +$166 +$252 +$234 +$65 +$104 7/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 +$20 -$3 +$139 +$123 +$107 +$83 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$2 -$9 -$21 -$43 +$25 +$48 +$39 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 +$58 +$72 +$64 +$48 -$6 -$29 3/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$18 -$25 +$160 +$193 +$143 -$23 -$68 8/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$3 +$27 -$27 -$81 -$104 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$2 -$55 -$47 -$82 -$93 -$76 -$120 4/12
Calendar Year Top-5 +$28 -$50 -$126 -$129 -$173 -$143 -$146 2/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$64 -$154 -$177 0/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$2 -$18 -$3 -$11 -$102 -$194 -$179 2/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$13 -$29 -$61 -$136 -$171 -$188 0/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$9 -$54 +$63 +$44 -$51 -$189 -$195 6/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$3 -$29 -$64 -$125 -$174 -$225 -$226 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$39 -$80 -$161 -$177 -$226 -$227 0/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$97 -$28 -$135 -$349 -$291 -$423 -$384 2/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$16 -$103 -$247 -$461 -$254 -$423 -$422 1/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$10 -$88 -$89 -$279 -$173 -$368 -$446 1/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$55 -$100 -$215 -$70 -$45 -$435 -$630 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$19 -$52 -$181 -$303 -$504 -$736 -$685 3/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$20 +$50 +$48 +$43 -$420 -$660 -$893 4/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$36 +$60 +$101 -$44 -$186 -$633 -$902 5/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$20 -$25 -$140 -$483 -$645 -$960 -$1,155 1/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$2 -$90 -$87 -$6 -$486 -$933 -$1,239 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$20 -$175 -$215 -$520 -$795 -$1,335 -$1,343 1/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$53 -$150 -$293 -$878 -$1,778 -$2,708 -$2,723 4/12