Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 2,194 archive drawings (2023-09-08 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 2,194 drawings accumulates 2,148 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 2,194 2,148 10 0.47% $537 $412.5 $-124.5 -23.2% $-238
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 3.8 2,194 8,329 52 0.62% $2,082.25 $2,137.5 $55.25 2.6% $-404.25
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.8 2,194 1,672 9 0.54% $418 $375 $-43 -10.3% $-145.25
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 2,194 2,955 21 0.71% $738.75 $787.5 $48.75 6.6% $-154.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 2,194 3,955 32 0.81% $988.75 $1,200 $211.25 21.4% $-173.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.9 2,194 19,449 110 0.57% $4,862.25 $4,425 $-437.25 -9.0% $-602.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.5 2,194 1,134 3 0.26% $283.5 $150 $-133.5 -47.1% $-151.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.6 2,194 1,408 3 0.21% $352 $150 $-202 -57.4% $-235
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 2,194 2,148 8 0.37% $537 $375 $-162 -30.2% $-164.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 2,194 2,148 15 0.70% $537 $712.5 $175.5 32.7% $-221.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.9 2,194 6,444 36 0.56% $1,611 $1,912.5 $301.5 18.7% $-192
Cici's Rules Engine 7.8 2,194 17,184 63 0.37% $4,296 $3,300 $-996 -23.2% $-1,046
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.8 2,194 17,184 72 0.42% $4,296 $3,300 $-996 -23.2% $-996
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.8 2,194 17,184 63 0.37% $4,296 $3,150 $-1,146 -26.7% $-1,146
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.8 2,194 17,184 72 0.42% $4,296 $3,300 $-996 -23.2% $-996
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.9 2,194 10,740 41 0.38% $2,685 $2,100 $-585 -21.8% $-710
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 2,194 2,127 7 0.33% $531.75 $375 $-156.75 -29.5% $-214.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.8 2,194 17,184 72 0.42% $4,296 $3,525 $-771 -17.9% $-1,020
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 2,194 2,148 11 0.51% $537 $562.5 $25.5 4.8% $-141
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 2,194 2,148 12 0.56% $537 $600 $63 11.7% $-109.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 2,194 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 2,194 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 2,194 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 2,194 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 2,194 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 2,194 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 3.7 2,194 8,046 47 0.58% $2,011.5 $1,837.5 $-174 -8.6% $-421.5
Hot Families (top 10) 9.8 2,194 21,480 145 0.68% $5,370 $5,437.5 $67.5 1.3% $-390
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.6 2,194 38,664 114 0.29% $9,666 $8,550 $-1,116 -11.6% $-1,248
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.8 2,194 21,480 18 0.08% $5,370 $4,050 $-1,320 -24.6% $-1,350
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.8 2,194 21,480 147 0.68% $5,370 $5,625 $255 4.8% $-250
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.6 2,194 38,664 184 0.48% $9,666 $9,787.5 $121.5 1.3% $-543
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.8 2,194 21,480 77 0.36% $5,370 $4,312.5 $-1,057.5 -19.7% $-1,152.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.8 2,194 21,480 86 0.40% $5,370 $4,575 $-795 -14.8% $-795
Calendar Year Top-5 4.9 2,194 10,740 76 0.71% $2,685 $2,850 $165 6.2% $-272.5
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 117.5 2,194 257,760 1,566 0.61% $64,440 $58,725 $-5,715 -8.9% $-5,715
Window summary. 11 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+32.7% ROI, net +$175.50)
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) +$301.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$255.00 · Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$211.25

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$41 -$30 +$89 +$63 +$491 +$122 +$575 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$12 -$105 -$92 -$65 +$363 +$302 +$215 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 -$35 +$182 +$204 +$59 +$176 +$122 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$6 +$50 +$51 -$88 +$126 +$211 +$115 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$20 +$88 -$28 -$90 -$286 +$55 +$97 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$3 +$213 +$58 +$123 +$248 +$255 +$90 4/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 +$32 +$91 +$59 +$63 +$84 5/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 -$81 -$22 +$59 +$26 +$9 2/12
Calendar Year Top-5 +$18 +$125 +$235 +$155 +$180 +$165 +$8 6/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 +$27 +$41 -$53 +$70 +$49 -$11 3/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$73 -$13 +$95 +$48 -$53 +$68 -$23 4/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$4 +$8 +$9 +$10 +$90 -$43 -$79 4/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$4 +$3 -$43 -$22 -$92 -$162 -$141 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$40 +$32 -$22 -$54 -$125 -$179 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$21 -$43 +$18 -$44 -$134 -$184 2/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$23 -$53 +$33 -$91 -$202 -$190 2/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$19 -$98 -$128 -$331 -$318 -$174 -$239 4/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$4 -$35 -$80 -$133 -$51 -$157 -$247 1/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$3 -$200 -$318 -$365 -$203 -$795 -$510 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$40 -$125 -$18 -$215 -$315 -$1,058 -$585 4/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$55 +$50 +$48 +$5 -$120 -$585 -$593 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$38 +$57 +$55 -$210 -$217 -$437 -$731 5/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$156 +$58 -$119 -$172 -$507 -$771 -$828 4/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$40 -$125 -$130 -$815 -$615 -$1,320 -$885 4/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$32 -$55 -$119 -$360 -$657 -$996 -$1,016 3/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$32 -$55 -$119 -$360 -$657 -$996 -$1,016 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$32 -$93 -$7 -$60 -$207 -$996 -$1,166 5/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$72 +$45 -$99 -$87 +$3 -$1,116 -$1,338 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$32 -$168 -$269 -$397 -$845 -$1,146 -$1,391 4/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$105 -$563 -$998 -$2,168 -$4,493 -$5,715 -$6,533 1/12