Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 366 archive drawings (2025-09-08 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 2 | 0.58% | $85.75 | $75 | $-10.75 | -12.5% | $-37.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.4 | 366 | 1,238 | 13 | 1.05% | $309.5 | $487.5 | $178 | 57.5% | $-51.75 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 3 | 0.87% | $85.75 | $112.5 | $26.75 | 31.2% | $-37.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 366 | 474 | 3 | 0.63% | $118.5 | $112.5 | $-6 | -5.1% | $-52.25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.7 | 366 | 634 | 4 | 0.63% | $158.5 | $150 | $-8.5 | -5.4% | $-69.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.5 | 366 | 3,098 | 18 | 0.58% | $774.5 | $712.5 | $-62 | -8.0% | $-129 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 1 | 0.29% | $85.75 | $37.5 | $-48.25 | -56.3% | $-78 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 2 | 0.58% | $85.75 | $112.5 | $26.75 | 31.2% | $-55 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 3 | 0.87% | $85.75 | $187.5 | $101.75 | 118.7% | $-30.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 366 | 1,029 | 4 | 0.39% | $257.25 | $225 | $-32.25 | -12.5% | $-98.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 13 | 0.47% | $686 | $675 | $-11 | -1.6% | $-189.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 14 | 0.51% | $686 | $675 | $-11 | -1.6% | $-152 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 9 | 0.33% | $686 | $450 | $-236 | -34.4% | $-247 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 14 | 0.51% | $686 | $675 | $-11 | -1.6% | $-152 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.7 | 366 | 1,715 | 11 | 0.64% | $428.75 | $637.5 | $208.75 | 48.7% | $-115 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.5 | 366 | 2,744 | 11 | 0.40% | $686 | $637.5 | $-48.5 | -7.1% | $-186 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 1 | 0.29% | $85.75 | $75 | $-10.75 | -12.5% | $-70.5 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 2 | 0.58% | $85.75 | $112.5 | $26.75 | 31.2% | $-55 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 366 | 343 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.75 | $0 | $-85.75 | -100.0% | $-85.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.3 | 366 | 1,193 | 6 | 0.50% | $298.25 | $225 | $-73.25 | -24.6% | $-87.25 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 29 | 0.85% | $857.5 | $1,087.5 | $230 | 26.8% | $-117.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.9 | 366 | 6,174 | 21 | 0.34% | $1,543.5 | $1,575 | $31.5 | 2.0% | $-169.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 2 | 0.06% | $857.5 | $450 | $-407.5 | -47.5% | $-407.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 22 | 0.64% | $857.5 | $862.5 | $5 | 0.6% | $-152.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.9 | 366 | 6,174 | 34 | 0.55% | $1,543.5 | $1,837.5 | $294 | 19.1% | $-199.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 13 | 0.38% | $857.5 | $712.5 | $-145 | -16.9% | $-305 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.4 | 366 | 3,430 | 14 | 0.41% | $857.5 | $712.5 | $-145 | -16.9% | $-235 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 366 | 1,715 | 15 | 0.87% | $428.75 | $562.5 | $133.75 | 31.2% | $-113.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 112.5 | 366 | 41,160 | 122 | 0.30% | $10,290 | $4,575 | $-5,715 | -55.5% | $-5,715 |
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$294.00 · Hot Families (top 10) +$230.00 · Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$208.75
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$7 | +$87 | +$117 | +$178 | +$299 | +$456 | +$479 | 8/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$55 | +$88 | +$160 | +$230 | +$555 | +$540 | +$458 | 7/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | +$28 | +$138 | +$211 | +$134 | +$353 | +$420 | +$304 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$6 | -$53 | -$8 | -$32 | +$219 | +$245 | +$295 | 3/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$39 | +$60 | +$213 | +$294 | +$639 | +$117 | +$156 | 8/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | +$43 | +$38 | -$9 | +$160 | +$179 | +$150 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | +$110 | +$102 | +$11 | +$144 | +$136 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | +$13 | +$20 | -$6 | +$93 | +$79 | +$69 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$18 | +$125 | -$28 | +$5 | +$218 | +$53 | +$45 | 5/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$11 | +$48 | +$32 | +$23 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | +$20 | +$35 | +$27 | +$86 | -$6 | +$17 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | +$27 | -$27 | -$6 | -$14 | 2/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | +$65 | +$100 | +$136 | +$209 | +$128 | -$30 | -$34 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$3 | -$11 | +$11 | -$6 | -$52 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | +$27 | -$65 | -$6 | -$52 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | +$48 | -$44 | -$86 | 0/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$7 | +$14 | -$28 | -$73 | +$22 | +$4 | -$122 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$48 | -$140 | -$231 | -$132 | 1/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$18 | -$63 | -$103 | -$145 | -$8 | -$285 | -$143 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$166 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$134 | +$48 | +$16 | -$49 | -$179 | -$198 | -$227 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$18 | -$8 | -$26 | -$62 | -$24 | -$138 | -$366 | 7/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$16 | +$10 | +$16 | -$11 | -$291 | -$311 | -$377 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$16 | +$10 | +$16 | -$11 | -$291 | -$311 | -$377 | 4/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$36 | +$60 | +$101 | +$32 | +$39 | -$408 | -$482 | 8/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$16 | -$28 | +$53 | -$11 | -$141 | -$386 | -$489 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$20 | +$13 | +$123 | -$145 | -$233 | -$698 | -$555 | 4/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$16 | -$103 | -$247 | -$236 | -$591 | -$723 | -$1,052 | 3/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$20 | -$175 | -$178 | -$408 | -$645 | -$1,110 | -$1,343 | 2/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$128 | -$225 | -$593 | -$5,715 | -$16,665 | -$27,645 | -$3,398 | 1/12 |