Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 366 archive drawings (2025-09-08 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 366 drawings accumulates 343 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 366 343 2 0.58% $85.75 $75 $-10.75 -12.5% $-37.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 3.4 366 1,238 13 1.05% $309.5 $487.5 $178 57.5% $-51.75
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.9 366 343 3 0.87% $85.75 $112.5 $26.75 31.2% $-37.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 366 474 3 0.63% $118.5 $112.5 $-6 -5.1% $-52.25
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.7 366 634 4 0.63% $158.5 $150 $-8.5 -5.4% $-69.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.5 366 3,098 18 0.58% $774.5 $712.5 $-62 -8.0% $-129
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.9 366 343 1 0.29% $85.75 $37.5 $-48.25 -56.3% $-78
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 366 343 2 0.58% $85.75 $112.5 $26.75 31.2% $-55
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 366 343 3 0.87% $85.75 $187.5 $101.75 118.7% $-30.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 366 1,029 4 0.39% $257.25 $225 $-32.25 -12.5% $-98.25
Cici's Rules Engine 7.5 366 2,744 13 0.47% $686 $675 $-11 -1.6% $-189.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.5 366 2,744 14 0.51% $686 $675 $-11 -1.6% $-152
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.5 366 2,744 9 0.33% $686 $450 $-236 -34.4% $-247
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.5 366 2,744 14 0.51% $686 $675 $-11 -1.6% $-152
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.7 366 1,715 11 0.64% $428.75 $637.5 $208.75 48.7% $-115
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.5 366 2,744 11 0.40% $686 $637.5 $-48.5 -7.1% $-186
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 366 343 1 0.29% $85.75 $75 $-10.75 -12.5% $-70.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 366 343 2 0.58% $85.75 $112.5 $26.75 31.2% $-55
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 366 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 3.3 366 1,193 6 0.50% $298.25 $225 $-73.25 -24.6% $-87.25
Hot Families (top 10) 9.4 366 3,430 29 0.85% $857.5 $1,087.5 $230 26.8% $-117.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.9 366 6,174 21 0.34% $1,543.5 $1,575 $31.5 2.0% $-169.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.4 366 3,430 2 0.06% $857.5 $450 $-407.5 -47.5% $-407.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.4 366 3,430 22 0.64% $857.5 $862.5 $5 0.6% $-152.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.9 366 6,174 34 0.55% $1,543.5 $1,837.5 $294 19.1% $-199.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.4 366 3,430 13 0.38% $857.5 $712.5 $-145 -16.9% $-305
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.4 366 3,430 14 0.41% $857.5 $712.5 $-145 -16.9% $-235
Calendar Year Top-5 4.7 366 1,715 15 0.87% $428.75 $562.5 $133.75 31.2% $-113.75
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 112.5 366 41,160 122 0.30% $10,290 $4,575 $-5,715 -55.5% $-5,715
Window summary. 11 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+118.7% ROI, net +$101.75)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$294.00 · Hot Families (top 10) +$230.00 · Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$208.75

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$7 +$87 +$117 +$178 +$299 +$456 +$479 8/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$55 +$88 +$160 +$230 +$555 +$540 +$458 7/12
Calendar Year Top-5 +$28 +$138 +$211 +$134 +$353 +$420 +$304 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$6 -$53 -$8 -$32 +$219 +$245 +$295 3/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$39 +$60 +$213 +$294 +$639 +$117 +$156 8/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 +$43 +$38 -$9 +$160 +$179 +$150 4/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 -$18 +$110 +$102 +$11 +$144 +$136 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$3 +$13 +$20 -$6 +$93 +$79 +$69 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$18 +$125 -$28 +$5 +$218 +$53 +$45 5/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$11 +$48 +$32 +$23 1/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$2 +$20 +$35 +$27 +$86 -$6 +$17 3/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$2 -$18 -$40 +$27 -$27 -$6 -$14 2/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$65 +$100 +$136 +$209 +$128 -$30 -$34 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$3 -$11 +$11 -$6 -$52 2/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$40 +$27 -$65 -$6 -$52 2/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 +$48 -$44 -$86 0/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$7 +$14 -$28 -$73 +$22 +$4 -$122 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$2 -$18 -$40 -$48 -$140 -$231 -$132 1/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$18 -$63 -$103 -$145 -$8 -$285 -$143 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$166 0/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$134 +$48 +$16 -$49 -$179 -$198 -$227 5/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$314 0/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$18 -$8 -$26 -$62 -$24 -$138 -$366 7/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$16 +$10 +$16 -$11 -$291 -$311 -$377 4/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$16 +$10 +$16 -$11 -$291 -$311 -$377 4/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$36 +$60 +$101 +$32 +$39 -$408 -$482 8/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$16 -$28 +$53 -$11 -$141 -$386 -$489 5/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$20 +$13 +$123 -$145 -$233 -$698 -$555 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$16 -$103 -$247 -$236 -$591 -$723 -$1,052 3/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$20 -$175 -$178 -$408 -$645 -$1,110 -$1,343 2/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$128 -$225 -$593 -$5,715 -$16,665 -$27,645 -$3,398 1/12