Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 732 archive drawings (2025-09-08 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 732 drawings accumulates 686 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 732 686 4 0.58% $171.5 $150 $-21.5 -12.5% $-84
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.6 732 3,360 19 0.57% $840 $750 $-90 -10.7% $-212.5
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.8 732 559 4 0.72% $139.75 $150 $10.25 7.3% $-52
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 732 960 5 0.52% $240 $187.5 $-52.5 -21.9% $-115.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.7 732 1,250 6 0.48% $312.5 $225 $-87.5 -28.0% $-164.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.5 732 6,238 34 0.55% $1,559.5 $1,350 $-209.5 -13.4% $-334.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.5 732 377 2 0.53% $94.25 $112.5 $18.25 19.4% $-50
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.6 732 468 3 0.64% $117 $150 $33 28.2% $-70.5
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 732 686 3 0.44% $171.5 $150 $-21.5 -12.5% $-75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 732 686 7 1.02% $171.5 $375 $203.5 118.7% $-61.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 732 2,058 9 0.44% $514.5 $450 $-64.5 -12.5% $-159
Cici's Rules Engine 7.5 732 5,488 24 0.44% $1,372 $1,312.5 $-59.5 -4.3% $-229
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.5 732 5,488 22 0.40% $1,372 $1,012.5 $-359.5 -26.2% $-359.5
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.5 732 5,488 20 0.36% $1,372 $975 $-397 -28.9% $-397
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.5 732 5,488 22 0.40% $1,372 $1,012.5 $-359.5 -26.2% $-359.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.7 732 3,430 15 0.44% $857.5 $862.5 $5 0.6% $-155
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 732 682 1 0.15% $170.5 $37.5 $-133 -78.0% $-133
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.5 732 5,488 24 0.44% $1,372 $1,200 $-172 -12.5% $-346
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 732 686 2 0.29% $171.5 $150 $-21.5 -12.5% $-141
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 732 686 5 0.73% $171.5 $262.5 $91 53.1% $-50
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.5 732 3,272 13 0.40% $818 $487.5 $-330.5 -40.4% $-330.5
Hot Families (top 10) 9.4 732 6,860 47 0.69% $1,715 $1,762.5 $47.5 2.8% $-225
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.9 732 12,348 40 0.32% $3,087 $3,000 $-87 -2.8% $-408
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.4 732 6,860 4 0.06% $1,715 $900 $-815 -47.5% $-845
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.4 732 6,860 47 0.69% $1,715 $1,837.5 $122.5 7.1% $-155
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.9 732 12,348 57 0.46% $3,087 $3,150 $63 2.0% $-174
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.4 732 6,860 26 0.38% $1,715 $1,500 $-215 -12.5% $-380
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.4 732 6,860 26 0.38% $1,715 $1,350 $-365 -21.3% $-472.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.7 732 3,430 27 0.79% $857.5 $1,012.5 $155 18.1% $-225
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 112.5 732 82,320 491 0.60% $20,580 $18,412.5 $-2,167.5 -10.5% $-2,167.5
Window summary. 10 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+118.7% ROI, net +$203.50)
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$203.50 · Calendar Year Top-5 +$155.00 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$122.50

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$41 -$30 +$89 +$63 +$491 +$122 +$575 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$12 -$105 -$92 -$65 +$363 +$302 +$215 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 -$35 +$182 +$204 +$59 +$176 +$122 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$6 +$50 +$51 -$88 +$126 +$211 +$115 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$20 +$88 -$28 -$90 -$286 +$55 +$97 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$3 +$213 +$58 +$123 +$248 +$255 +$90 4/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 +$32 +$91 +$59 +$63 +$84 5/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 -$81 -$22 +$59 +$26 +$9 2/12
Calendar Year Top-5 +$18 +$125 +$235 +$155 +$180 +$165 +$8 6/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 +$27 +$41 -$53 +$70 +$49 -$11 3/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$73 -$13 +$95 +$48 -$53 +$68 -$23 4/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$4 +$8 +$9 +$10 +$90 -$43 -$79 4/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$4 +$3 -$43 -$22 -$92 -$162 -$141 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$40 +$32 -$22 -$54 -$125 -$179 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$21 -$43 +$18 -$44 -$134 -$184 2/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$23 -$53 +$33 -$91 -$202 -$190 2/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$19 -$98 -$128 -$331 -$318 -$174 -$239 4/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$4 -$35 -$80 -$133 -$51 -$157 -$247 1/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$3 -$200 -$318 -$365 -$203 -$795 -$510 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$40 -$125 -$18 -$215 -$315 -$1,058 -$585 4/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$55 +$50 +$48 +$5 -$120 -$585 -$593 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$38 +$57 +$55 -$210 -$217 -$437 -$731 5/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$156 +$58 -$119 -$172 -$507 -$771 -$828 4/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$40 -$125 -$130 -$815 -$615 -$1,320 -$885 4/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$32 -$55 -$119 -$360 -$657 -$996 -$1,016 3/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$32 -$55 -$119 -$360 -$657 -$996 -$1,016 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$32 -$93 -$7 -$60 -$207 -$996 -$1,166 5/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$72 +$45 -$99 -$87 +$3 -$1,116 -$1,338 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$32 -$168 -$269 -$397 -$845 -$1,146 -$1,391 4/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$105 -$563 -$998 -$2,168 -$4,493 -$5,715 -$6,533 1/12