Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 732 archive drawings (2025-09-08 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 686 | 4 | 0.58% | $171.5 | $150 | $-21.5 | -12.5% | $-84 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.6 | 732 | 3,360 | 19 | 0.57% | $840 | $750 | $-90 | -10.7% | $-212.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.8 | 732 | 559 | 4 | 0.72% | $139.75 | $150 | $10.25 | 7.3% | $-52 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 732 | 960 | 5 | 0.52% | $240 | $187.5 | $-52.5 | -21.9% | $-115.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.7 | 732 | 1,250 | 6 | 0.48% | $312.5 | $225 | $-87.5 | -28.0% | $-164.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.5 | 732 | 6,238 | 34 | 0.55% | $1,559.5 | $1,350 | $-209.5 | -13.4% | $-334.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.5 | 732 | 377 | 2 | 0.53% | $94.25 | $112.5 | $18.25 | 19.4% | $-50 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.6 | 732 | 468 | 3 | 0.64% | $117 | $150 | $33 | 28.2% | $-70.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 732 | 686 | 3 | 0.44% | $171.5 | $150 | $-21.5 | -12.5% | $-75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 686 | 7 | 1.02% | $171.5 | $375 | $203.5 | 118.7% | $-61.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 732 | 2,058 | 9 | 0.44% | $514.5 | $450 | $-64.5 | -12.5% | $-159 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.5 | 732 | 5,488 | 24 | 0.44% | $1,372 | $1,312.5 | $-59.5 | -4.3% | $-229 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.5 | 732 | 5,488 | 22 | 0.40% | $1,372 | $1,012.5 | $-359.5 | -26.2% | $-359.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.5 | 732 | 5,488 | 20 | 0.36% | $1,372 | $975 | $-397 | -28.9% | $-397 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.5 | 732 | 5,488 | 22 | 0.40% | $1,372 | $1,012.5 | $-359.5 | -26.2% | $-359.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.7 | 732 | 3,430 | 15 | 0.44% | $857.5 | $862.5 | $5 | 0.6% | $-155 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 732 | 682 | 1 | 0.15% | $170.5 | $37.5 | $-133 | -78.0% | $-133 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.5 | 732 | 5,488 | 24 | 0.44% | $1,372 | $1,200 | $-172 | -12.5% | $-346 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 686 | 2 | 0.29% | $171.5 | $150 | $-21.5 | -12.5% | $-141 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 686 | 5 | 0.73% | $171.5 | $262.5 | $91 | 53.1% | $-50 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 732 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.0 | 732 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 732 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 732 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 732 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.0 | 732 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 4.5 | 732 | 3,272 | 13 | 0.40% | $818 | $487.5 | $-330.5 | -40.4% | $-330.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.4 | 732 | 6,860 | 47 | 0.69% | $1,715 | $1,762.5 | $47.5 | 2.8% | $-225 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.9 | 732 | 12,348 | 40 | 0.32% | $3,087 | $3,000 | $-87 | -2.8% | $-408 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.4 | 732 | 6,860 | 4 | 0.06% | $1,715 | $900 | $-815 | -47.5% | $-845 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.4 | 732 | 6,860 | 47 | 0.69% | $1,715 | $1,837.5 | $122.5 | 7.1% | $-155 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.9 | 732 | 12,348 | 57 | 0.46% | $3,087 | $3,150 | $63 | 2.0% | $-174 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.4 | 732 | 6,860 | 26 | 0.38% | $1,715 | $1,500 | $-215 | -12.5% | $-380 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.4 | 732 | 6,860 | 26 | 0.38% | $1,715 | $1,350 | $-365 | -21.3% | $-472.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 732 | 3,430 | 27 | 0.79% | $857.5 | $1,012.5 | $155 | 18.1% | $-225 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 112.5 | 732 | 82,320 | 491 | 0.60% | $20,580 | $18,412.5 | $-2,167.5 | -10.5% | $-2,167.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$203.50 · Calendar Year Top-5 +$155.00 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$122.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.