Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 31 archive drawings (2026-08-05 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
0 families every drawing across
31 drawings accumulates
4 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 0.1 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | $1 | $0 | $-1 | -100.0% | $-1 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 0.1 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | $1 | $0 | $-1 | -100.0% | $-1 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | 1.0 | 31 | 32 | 0 | 0.00% | $8 | $0 | $-8 | -100.0% | $-8 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | 0.1 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | $1 | $0 | $-1 | -100.0% | $-1 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 0.1 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | $1 | $0 | $-1 | -100.0% | $-1 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.1 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | $1 | $0 | $-1 | -100.0% | $-1 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.9 | 31 | 28 | 0 | 0.00% | $7 | $0 | $-7 | -100.0% | $-7 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 1.0 | 31 | 32 | 1 | 3.13% | $8 | $75 | $67 | 837.5% | $0 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 0.1 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0.00% | $0.75 | $0 | $-0.75 | -100.0% | $-0.75 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 1 | 2.50% | $10 | $75 | $65 | 650.0% | $0 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 2.3 | 31 | 72 | 2 | 2.78% | $18 | $150 | $132 | 733.3% | $0 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 1 | 2.50% | $10 | $37.5 | $27.5 | 275.0% | $0 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 2.3 | 31 | 72 | 2 | 2.78% | $18 | $150 | $132 | 733.3% | $0 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 2.3 | 31 | 72 | 2 | 2.78% | $18 | $150 | $132 | 733.3% | $0 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 1 | 2.50% | $10 | $75 | $65 | 650.0% | $0 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 1.3 | 31 | 40 | 1 | 2.50% | $10 | $75 | $65 | 650.0% | $0 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 0.6 | 31 | 20 | 0 | 0.00% | $5 | $0 | $-5 | -100.0% | $-5 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 15.5 | 31 | 480 | 2 | 0.42% | $120 | $75 | $-45 | -37.5% | $-45 |
| Consensus Panel | 0.9 | 31 | 27 | 1 | 3.70% | $6.75 | $75 | $68.25 | 1011.1% | $0 |
Window summary.
9 of 23 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Consensus Panel (+1011.1% ROI, net +$68.25)
Top Net Dollars: Hot doubles (top 18) +$132.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$132.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) +$132.00
Top Net Dollars: Hot doubles (top 18) +$132.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$132.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) +$132.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$132 | +$303 | +$269 | +$500 | +$920 | +$1,260 | +$1,367 | 10/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$132 | +$3 | -$107 | +$50 | +$432 | +$1,035 | +$1,217 | 7/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | +$132 | +$78 | -$32 | +$200 | +$620 | +$960 | +$1,067 | 8/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$65 | +$173 | -$18 | +$278 | +$153 | +$700 | +$693 | 6/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$65 | +$98 | -$93 | +$203 | +$115 | +$625 | +$618 | 7/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$1 | -$28 | -$40 | -$27 | +$215 | +$190 | +$226 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$1 | -$25 | -$61 | -$55 | +$155 | +$136 | +$172 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$28 | +$23 | -$93 | -$98 | +$40 | +$63 | +$93 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$1 | -$16 | +$0 | -$7 | +$20 | +$23 | +$81 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$1 | -$16 | +$0 | -$7 | +$20 | +$23 | +$77 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$39 | +$28 | -$26 | -$5 | +$47 | 2/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$5 | +$30 | -$46 | -$11 | -$93 | +$13 | +$46 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | +$67 | +$135 | -$48 | -$71 | +$35 | +$96 | +$27 | 6/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$65 | +$23 | -$130 | -$248 | -$298 | +$25 | +$18 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$7 | -$100 | -$166 | +$25 | +$68 | -$31 | +$3 | 5/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$1 | -$11 | +$11 | -$20 | -$71 | -$103 | -$71 | 1/12 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | -$10 | -$90 | -$93 | +$53 | -$335 | +$25 | -$133 | 3/12 |
| Consensus Panel | +$68 | -$47 | -$235 | -$547 | -$466 | -$138 | -$145 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | -$8 | -$132 | -$314 | -$303 | -$228 | -$323 | -$396 | 4/12 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | -$10 | -$90 | -$130 | -$360 | -$335 | -$425 | -$470 | 2/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$10 | +$60 | -$168 | +$53 | -$635 | -$425 | -$658 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | -$10 | -$165 | -$205 | -$435 | -$560 | -$913 | -$958 | 2/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$45 | -$105 | -$360 | -$1,283 | -$2,558 | -$4,350 | -$4,590 | 1/12 |