Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,347 archive drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 6 | 0.48% | $314.25 | $225 | $-89.25 | -28.4% | $-152.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.5 | 1,257 | 4,379 | 24 | 0.55% | $1,094.75 | $900 | $-194.75 | -17.8% | $-284.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 987 | 987 | 4 | 0.41% | $246.75 | $150 | $-96.75 | -39.2% | $-199 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 1,212 | 1,685 | 12 | 0.71% | $421.25 | $487.5 | $66.25 | 15.7% | $-63.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 1,212 | 2,280 | 19 | 0.83% | $570 | $787.5 | $217.5 | 38.2% | $-90.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.9 | 1,257 | 11,158 | 63 | 0.56% | $2,789.5 | $2,475 | $-314.5 | -11.3% | $-548 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 662 | 662 | 2 | 0.30% | $165.5 | $150 | $-15.5 | -9.4% | $-260.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 790 | 790 | 5 | 0.63% | $197.5 | $337.5 | $140 | 70.9% | $-130 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 6 | 0.48% | $314.25 | $225 | $-89.25 | -28.4% | $-101 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 4 | 0.32% | $314.25 | $262.5 | $-51.75 | -16.5% | $-175 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 3.0 | 1,257 | 3,771 | 16 | 0.42% | $942.75 | $750 | $-192.75 | -20.4% | $-325.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 53 | 0.53% | $2,514 | $2,625 | $111 | 4.4% | $-430.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 53 | 0.53% | $2,514 | $2,325 | $-189 | -7.5% | $-397.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 64 | 0.64% | $2,514 | $2,962.5 | $448.5 | 17.8% | $-236.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 53 | 0.53% | $2,514 | $2,325 | $-189 | -7.5% | $-397.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 1,257 | 6,285 | 25 | 0.40% | $1,571.25 | $1,237.5 | $-333.75 | -21.2% | $-467.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,249 | 1,249 | 7 | 0.56% | $312.25 | $300 | $-12.25 | -3.9% | $-145 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 53 | 0.53% | $2,514 | $2,700 | $186 | 7.4% | $-374 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 6 | 0.48% | $314.25 | $262.5 | $-51.75 | -16.5% | $-139.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 4 | 0.32% | $314.25 | $262.5 | $-51.75 | -16.5% | $-228.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,347 | 1,257 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.25 | $0 | $-314.25 | -100.0% | $-314.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 1,347 | 1,257 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.25 | $0 | $-314.25 | -100.0% | $-314.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,347 | 1,257 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.25 | $0 | $-314.25 | -100.0% | $-314.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,347 | 1,257 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.25 | $0 | $-314.25 | -100.0% | $-314.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,347 | 1,257 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.25 | $0 | $-314.25 | -100.0% | $-314.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,347 | 1,257 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.25 | $0 | $-314.25 | -100.0% | $-314.25 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.4 | 1,257 | 4,327 | 19 | 0.44% | $1,081.75 | $787.5 | $-294.25 | -27.2% | $-403.75 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 82 | 0.65% | $3,142.5 | $3,075 | $-67.5 | -2.1% | $-485 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 1,257 | 22,626 | 56 | 0.25% | $5,656.5 | $4,200 | $-1,456.5 | -25.8% | $-1,456.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 11 | 0.09% | $3,142.5 | $2,475 | $-667.5 | -21.2% | $-1,310 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,212 | 12,120 | 70 | 0.58% | $3,030 | $2,700 | $-330 | -10.9% | $-442.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 1,257 | 22,626 | 82 | 0.36% | $5,656.5 | $4,687.5 | $-969 | -17.1% | $-1,368 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 42 | 0.33% | $3,142.5 | $2,625 | $-517.5 | -16.5% | $-887.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 49 | 0.39% | $3,142.5 | $2,887.5 | $-255 | -8.1% | $-747.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 1,257 | 6,285 | 39 | 0.62% | $1,571.25 | $1,462.5 | $-108.75 | -6.9% | $-387.5 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 1,257 | 150,840 | 912 | 0.60% | $37,710 | $34,200 | $-3,510 | -9.3% | $-33,097.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine +$448.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$217.50 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$186.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | +$134 | +$48 | -$22 | -$11 | +$47 | +$327 | +$449 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | +$5 | -$0 | +$140 | +$194 | +$173 | +$218 | 5/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$59 | +$48 | +$16 | +$139 | +$197 | +$65 | +$186 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$2 | -$18 | +$35 | -$11 | -$27 | -$6 | +$140 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$16 | +$10 | +$91 | +$139 | +$122 | -$11 | +$111 | 6/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | -$24 | -$56 | -$7 | +$91 | +$76 | +$66 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$2 | -$18 | -$3 | -$48 | +$123 | +$32 | -$12 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$194 | -$16 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | +$35 | -$11 | -$102 | -$81 | -$52 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | +$58 | +$35 | -$11 | +$11 | -$44 | -$52 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | +$35 | +$64 | -$27 | -$119 | -$52 | 2/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$20 | -$63 | +$123 | +$118 | +$180 | -$60 | -$68 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$11 | -$65 | -$81 | -$89 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$65 | -$44 | -$89 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | +$20 | -$3 | -$48 | -$102 | -$156 | -$97 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$10 | -$50 | +$24 | +$96 | +$53 | -$180 | -$109 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | +$59 | -$28 | -$60 | -$236 | -$179 | -$236 | -$189 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | +$59 | -$28 | -$60 | -$236 | -$179 | -$236 | -$189 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$6 | -$53 | -$121 | +$5 | -$119 | -$243 | -$193 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$7 | -$61 | -$66 | -$74 | -$55 | -$150 | -$195 | 6/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$20 | +$200 | +$48 | +$380 | +$330 | -$23 | -$255 | 5/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$7 | -$60 | +$87 | +$82 | -$81 | -$207 | -$294 | 6/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$269 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$18 | -$5 | -$57 | -$236 | -$483 | -$282 | -$315 | 5/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$20 | -$100 | -$253 | -$70 | -$120 | -$323 | -$330 | 3/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$10 | +$25 | -$51 | -$91 | -$135 | -$405 | -$334 | 2/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$20 | +$125 | +$85 | +$193 | +$68 | -$285 | -$518 | 5/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$20 | +$50 | -$178 | -$183 | -$870 | -$1,110 | -$668 | 2/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$36 | +$98 | +$101 | +$144 | -$299 | -$858 | -$969 | 5/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$36 | -$165 | -$125 | -$119 | -$936 | -$1,158 | -$1,457 | 8/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$128 | -$338 | -$705 | -$5,678 | -$16,628 | -$27,608 | -$3,510 | 0/12 |