Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,351 archive drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 9 | 0.72% | $314.25 | $337.5 | $23.25 | 7.4% | $-91.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.5 | 1,257 | 4,415 | 23 | 0.52% | $1,103.75 | $937.5 | $-166.25 | -15.1% | $-305.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,020 | 1,020 | 5 | 0.49% | $255 | $187.5 | $-67.5 | -26.5% | $-127.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 1,212 | 1,700 | 8 | 0.47% | $425 | $300 | $-125 | -29.4% | $-226 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 1,212 | 2,270 | 10 | 0.44% | $567.5 | $375 | $-192.5 | -33.9% | $-229 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 9.1 | 1,257 | 11,427 | 59 | 0.52% | $2,856.75 | $2,287.5 | $-569.25 | -19.9% | $-625 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 716 | 716 | 3 | 0.42% | $179 | $112.5 | $-66.5 | -37.1% | $-202.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 865 | 865 | 1 | 0.12% | $216.25 | $37.5 | $-178.75 | -82.7% | $-277.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 12 | 0.95% | $314.25 | $600 | $285.75 | 90.9% | $-84.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 5 | 0.40% | $314.25 | $412.5 | $98.25 | 31.3% | $-195.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 3.0 | 1,257 | 3,771 | 23 | 0.61% | $942.75 | $1,350 | $407.25 | 43.2% | $-176.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 49 | 0.49% | $2,514 | $2,437.5 | $-76.5 | -3.0% | $-470.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 68 | 0.68% | $2,514 | $3,262.5 | $748.5 | 29.8% | $-176.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,055 | 64 | 0.64% | $2,513.75 | $2,887.5 | $373.75 | 14.9% | $-144.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 68 | 0.68% | $2,514 | $3,262.5 | $748.5 | 29.8% | $-176.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 1,257 | 6,285 | 30 | 0.48% | $1,571.25 | $1,500 | $-71.25 | -4.5% | $-356.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,250 | 1,250 | 9 | 0.72% | $312.5 | $412.5 | $100 | 32.0% | $-45.25 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 54 | 0.54% | $2,514 | $2,512.5 | $-1.5 | -0.1% | $-339 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 4 | 0.32% | $314.25 | $187.5 | $-126.75 | -40.3% | $-198.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 5 | 0.40% | $314.25 | $300 | $-14.25 | -4.5% | $-98.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.5 | 1,257 | 4,386 | 23 | 0.52% | $1,096.5 | $1,012.5 | $-84 | -7.7% | $-374.25 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 62 | 0.49% | $3,142.5 | $2,325 | $-817.5 | -26.0% | $-835 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 1,257 | 22,626 | 75 | 0.33% | $5,656.5 | $5,625 | $-31.5 | -0.6% | $-660 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 7 | 0.06% | $3,142.5 | $1,575 | $-1,567.5 | -49.9% | $-1,952.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,212 | 12,120 | 69 | 0.57% | $3,030 | $2,737.5 | $-292.5 | -9.7% | $-617.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 1,257 | 22,626 | 82 | 0.36% | $5,656.5 | $4,912.5 | $-744 | -13.2% | $-847.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 44 | 0.35% | $3,142.5 | $2,475 | $-667.5 | -21.2% | $-715 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 48 | 0.38% | $3,142.5 | $3,037.5 | $-105 | -3.3% | $-437.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 1,257 | 6,285 | 28 | 0.45% | $1,571.25 | $1,050 | $-521.25 | -33.2% | $-526.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 1,257 | 150,840 | 897 | 0.59% | $37,710 | $33,637.5 | $-4,072.5 | -10.8% | $-32,880 |
Top Net Dollars: Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$748.50 · Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$748.50 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) +$407.25
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$24 | +$77 | +$83 | +$169 | +$264 | +$544 | +$749 | 8/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$24 | +$77 | +$83 | +$169 | +$264 | +$544 | +$749 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$9 | +$20 | -$11 | -$73 | -$9 | -$59 | +$407 | 4/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$24 | +$77 | +$83 | +$94 | +$226 | +$319 | +$374 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | +$19 | +$71 | +$63 | +$10 | +$293 | +$286 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | +$19 | -$4 | -$12 | +$122 | +$106 | +$100 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$49 | -$66 | -$157 | +$98 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$19 | -$4 | +$26 | +$10 | -$7 | +$23 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$14 | +$2 | +$83 | -$19 | -$74 | -$206 | -$2 | 8/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$57 | +$34 | +$63 | -$28 | +$31 | -$14 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$54 | -$33 | -$68 | -$287 | -$279 | -$51 | -$32 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$103 | -$157 | -$67 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$12 | -$66 | -$82 | -$68 | 2/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$15 | +$20 | -$56 | +$54 | -$140 | -$298 | -$71 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$24 | +$77 | +$8 | -$94 | -$149 | -$281 | -$77 | 4/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$11 | +$48 | +$118 | +$146 | +$163 | -$46 | -$84 | 7/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$30 | -$110 | +$188 | +$33 | +$208 | +$43 | -$105 | 5/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$26 | -$58 | -$83 | -$173 | -$75 | -$125 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | +$34 | -$12 | -$103 | -$120 | -$127 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$11 | +$10 | -$32 | -$42 | +$50 | -$46 | -$166 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$232 | -$179 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$6 | -$35 | -$77 | -$87 | -$145 | -$129 | -$193 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$30 | +$153 | +$38 | -$155 | -$355 | -$258 | -$293 | 2/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$15 | -$18 | -$94 | -$59 | -$328 | -$410 | -$521 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$27 | -$56 | -$113 | -$227 | -$457 | -$577 | -$569 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$30 | -$73 | +$0 | -$305 | -$580 | -$520 | -$668 | 3/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$54 | -$71 | -$105 | -$399 | -$617 | -$539 | -$744 | 4/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$8 | -$35 | -$225 | -$343 | -$393 | -$558 | -$818 | 1/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$30 | -$185 | -$413 | -$643 | -$1,330 | -$1,795 | -$1,568 | 1/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$60 | -$233 | -$413 | -$5,460 | -$16,410 | -$27,390 | -$4,073 | 0/12 |