Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,351 archive drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 12 | 0.95% | $314.25 | $450 | $135.75 | 43.2% | $-79 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.5 | 1,257 | 4,424 | 29 | 0.66% | $1,106 | $1,312.5 | $206.5 | 18.7% | $-118 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,022 | 1,022 | 7 | 0.68% | $255.5 | $262.5 | $7 | 2.7% | $-106.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 1,212 | 1,682 | 7 | 0.42% | $420.5 | $262.5 | $-158 | -37.6% | $-198 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 1,212 | 2,266 | 10 | 0.44% | $566.5 | $375 | $-191.5 | -33.8% | $-217.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 9.1 | 1,257 | 11,441 | 68 | 0.59% | $2,860.25 | $2,625 | $-235.25 | -8.2% | $-472.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 690 | 690 | 3 | 0.43% | $172.5 | $150 | $-22.5 | -13.0% | $-206.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 864 | 864 | 3 | 0.35% | $216 | $187.5 | $-28.5 | -13.2% | $-201 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 5 | 0.40% | $314.25 | $187.5 | $-126.75 | -40.3% | $-142.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 5 | 0.40% | $314.25 | $487.5 | $173.25 | 55.1% | $-122 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 3.0 | 1,257 | 3,771 | 18 | 0.48% | $942.75 | $1,012.5 | $69.75 | 7.4% | $-159 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 45 | 0.45% | $2,514 | $2,212.5 | $-301.5 | -12.0% | $-394.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 44 | 0.44% | $2,514 | $2,212.5 | $-301.5 | -12.0% | $-475.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 35 | 0.35% | $2,514 | $1,800 | $-714 | -28.4% | $-783.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 44 | 0.44% | $2,514 | $2,212.5 | $-301.5 | -12.0% | $-475.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 1,257 | 6,285 | 29 | 0.46% | $1,571.25 | $1,462.5 | $-108.75 | -6.9% | $-161.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,249 | 1,249 | 7 | 0.56% | $312.25 | $412.5 | $100.25 | 32.1% | $-69.25 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 53 | 0.53% | $2,514 | $2,775 | $261 | 10.4% | $-203 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 8 | 0.64% | $314.25 | $375 | $60.75 | 19.3% | $-84.5 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 2 | 0.16% | $314.25 | $150 | $-164.25 | -52.3% | $-221.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,351 | 1,261 | 0 | 0.00% | $315.25 | $0 | $-315.25 | -100.0% | $-315.25 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.5 | 1,257 | 4,413 | 14 | 0.32% | $1,103.25 | $637.5 | $-465.75 | -42.2% | $-479 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 61 | 0.49% | $3,142.5 | $2,287.5 | $-855 | -27.2% | $-937.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 1,257 | 22,626 | 79 | 0.35% | $5,656.5 | $5,925 | $268.5 | 4.8% | $-369 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 7 | 0.06% | $3,142.5 | $1,575 | $-1,567.5 | -49.9% | $-1,687.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,212 | 12,120 | 71 | 0.59% | $3,030 | $2,850 | $-180 | -5.9% | $-372.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 1,257 | 22,626 | 89 | 0.39% | $5,656.5 | $5,475 | $-181.5 | -3.2% | $-552 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 45 | 0.36% | $3,142.5 | $3,412.5 | $270 | 8.6% | $-275 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 37 | 0.29% | $3,142.5 | $2,587.5 | $-555 | -17.7% | $-792.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 1,257 | 6,285 | 40 | 0.64% | $1,571.25 | $1,500 | $-71.25 | -4.5% | $-290 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 1,257 | 150,840 | 872 | 0.58% | $37,710 | $32,700 | $-5,010 | -13.3% | $-33,405 |
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$270.00 · Hot doubles (top 18) +$268.50 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$261.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$30 | -$148 | -$75 | -$5 | +$245 | +$343 | +$270 | 3/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$21 | +$42 | -$143 | -$62 | +$321 | +$249 | +$269 | 6/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$24 | +$152 | +$8 | +$19 | +$301 | +$282 | +$261 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$11 | +$123 | +$118 | +$146 | +$238 | +$292 | +$207 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | +$184 | +$138 | +$235 | +$218 | +$173 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$49 | +$47 | +$143 | +$136 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$19 | -$4 | -$12 | +$122 | +$106 | +$100 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$9 | -$56 | -$86 | +$2 | +$29 | +$92 | +$70 | 4/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$19 | +$34 | +$63 | +$122 | +$106 | +$61 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$4 | -$12 | -$28 | -$7 | +$7 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$19 | +$34 | -$12 | -$66 | -$120 | -$23 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$82 | -$29 | 0/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$15 | -$93 | -$56 | -$134 | -$290 | +$40 | -$71 | 3/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$15 | -$93 | -$131 | -$96 | -$65 | -$110 | -$109 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$19 | -$4 | -$12 | -$28 | -$120 | -$127 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$26 | -$20 | -$83 | -$135 | -$188 | -$158 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$57 | +$34 | -$12 | -$28 | -$120 | -$164 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$30 | -$35 | +$0 | +$33 | -$55 | -$108 | -$180 | 5/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$21 | +$80 | -$143 | -$174 | -$167 | -$14 | -$182 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$6 | -$35 | -$40 | -$125 | -$183 | -$204 | -$192 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$27 | -$18 | -$113 | -$227 | -$195 | -$15 | -$235 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$24 | -$111 | -$180 | -$94 | +$39 | -$356 | -$302 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$24 | +$2 | +$45 | +$56 | +$76 | -$319 | -$302 | 7/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$24 | +$2 | +$45 | +$56 | +$76 | -$319 | -$302 | 7/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$11 | +$10 | -$70 | -$5 | -$175 | -$346 | -$466 | 6/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$30 | -$35 | -$263 | -$418 | -$505 | -$520 | -$555 | 3/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | +$14 | -$36 | -$68 | +$56 | -$74 | -$656 | -$714 | 8/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$30 | -$35 | -$225 | -$343 | -$505 | -$745 | -$855 | 3/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$30 | -$185 | -$188 | -$193 | -$430 | -$1,345 | -$1,568 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$98 | -$458 | -$975 | -$5,985 | -$16,935 | -$27,915 | -$5,010 | 0/12 |