Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 2,514 archive drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,514 | 2,514 | 21 | 0.84% | $628.5 | $787.5 | $159 | 25.3% | $-75.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.5 | 2,514 | 8,839 | 52 | 0.59% | $2,209.75 | $2,250 | $40.25 | 1.8% | $-275 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,042 | 2,042 | 12 | 0.59% | $510.5 | $450 | $-60.5 | -11.8% | $-96.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 2,424 | 3,382 | 15 | 0.44% | $845.5 | $562.5 | $-283 | -33.5% | $-419 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 2,424 | 4,536 | 20 | 0.44% | $1,134 | $750 | $-384 | -33.9% | $-435.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 9.1 | 2,514 | 22,868 | 127 | 0.56% | $5,717 | $4,912.5 | $-804.5 | -14.1% | $-908.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 1,406 | 1,406 | 6 | 0.43% | $351.5 | $262.5 | $-89 | -25.3% | $-130 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 1,729 | 1,729 | 4 | 0.23% | $432.25 | $225 | $-207.25 | -47.9% | $-277.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 2,514 | 2,514 | 17 | 0.68% | $628.5 | $787.5 | $159 | 25.3% | $-116.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,514 | 2,514 | 10 | 0.40% | $628.5 | $900 | $271.5 | 43.2% | $-229 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 3.0 | 2,514 | 7,542 | 41 | 0.54% | $1,885.5 | $2,362.5 | $477 | 25.3% | $-232.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 2,514 | 20,112 | 94 | 0.47% | $5,028 | $4,650 | $-378 | -7.5% | $-727.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 8.0 | 2,514 | 20,112 | 112 | 0.56% | $5,028 | $5,475 | $447 | 8.9% | $-191.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 2,514 | 20,111 | 99 | 0.49% | $5,027.75 | $4,687.5 | $-340.25 | -6.8% | $-568.25 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 2,514 | 20,112 | 112 | 0.56% | $5,028 | $5,475 | $447 | 8.9% | $-191.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 2,514 | 12,570 | 59 | 0.47% | $3,142.5 | $2,962.5 | $-180 | -5.7% | $-412.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 2,499 | 2,499 | 16 | 0.64% | $624.75 | $825 | $200.25 | 32.0% | $-100.25 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 2,514 | 20,112 | 107 | 0.53% | $5,028 | $5,287.5 | $259.5 | 5.2% | $-245 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,514 | 2,514 | 12 | 0.48% | $628.5 | $562.5 | $-66 | -10.5% | $-165.5 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,514 | 2,514 | 7 | 0.28% | $628.5 | $450 | $-178.5 | -28.4% | $-293.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.5 | 2,514 | 8,799 | 37 | 0.42% | $2,199.75 | $1,650 | $-549.75 | -25.0% | $-668.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 2,514 | 25,140 | 123 | 0.49% | $6,285 | $4,612.5 | $-1,672.5 | -26.6% | $-1,710 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 2,514 | 45,252 | 154 | 0.34% | $11,313 | $11,550 | $237 | 2.1% | $-636 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 2,514 | 25,140 | 14 | 0.06% | $6,285 | $3,150 | $-3,135 | -49.9% | $-3,505 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 2,424 | 24,240 | 140 | 0.58% | $6,060 | $5,587.5 | $-472.5 | -7.8% | $-692.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 2,514 | 45,252 | 171 | 0.38% | $11,313 | $10,387.5 | $-925.5 | -8.2% | $-1,225.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 2,514 | 25,140 | 89 | 0.35% | $6,285 | $5,887.5 | $-397.5 | -6.3% | $-642.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 2,514 | 25,140 | 85 | 0.34% | $6,285 | $5,625 | $-660 | -10.5% | $-797.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 2,514 | 12,570 | 68 | 0.54% | $3,142.5 | $2,550 | $-592.5 | -18.9% | $-630 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 2,514 | 301,680 | 1,769 | 0.59% | $75,420 | $66,337.5 | $-9,082.5 | -12.0% | $-9,165 |
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) +$477.00 · Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$447.00 · Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$447.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.