Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,156 archive drawings (2023-07-01 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
1 families every drawing across
1,156 drawings accumulates
1,156 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,156 | 3 | 0.26% | $289 | $112.5 | $-176.5 | -61.1% | $-176.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 2.2 | 1,156 | 2,507 | 15 | 0.60% | $626.75 | $600 | $-26.75 | -4.3% | $-222.25 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1) | 1.0 | 912 | 912 | 4 | 0.44% | $228 | $150 | $-78 | -34.2% | $-110.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 1.3 | 1,066 | 1,396 | 9 | 0.64% | $349 | $375 | $26 | 7.4% | $-78.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 1.7 | 1,066 | 1,831 | 9 | 0.49% | $457.75 | $375 | $-82.75 | -18.1% | $-134.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 9.0 | 1,156 | 10,369 | 58 | 0.56% | $2,592.25 | $2,287.5 | $-304.75 | -11.8% | $-369.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,156 | 9,248 | 40 | 0.43% | $2,312 | $2,137.5 | $-174.5 | -7.5% | $-314 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,156 | 9,248 | 37 | 0.40% | $2,312 | $1,762.5 | $-549.5 | -23.8% | $-554.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,156 | 9,248 | 37 | 0.40% | $2,312 | $2,025 | $-287 | -12.4% | $-355.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 1,156 | 5,780 | 28 | 0.48% | $1,445 | $1,575 | $130 | 9.0% | $-158.75 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) | 1.0 | 1,148 | 1,148 | 2 | 0.17% | $287 | $150 | $-137 | -47.7% | $-196.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 1,156 | 9,248 | 52 | 0.56% | $2,312 | $2,700 | $388 | 16.8% | $-165 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Chase (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,156 | 5 | 0.43% | $289 | $262.5 | $-26.5 | -9.2% | $-136 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,156 | 1,156 | 4 | 0.35% | $289 | $187.5 | $-101.5 | -35.1% | $-122.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 2.3 | 1,156 | 2,620 | 14 | 0.53% | $655 | $562.5 | $-92.5 | -14.1% | $-288 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,156 | 11,560 | 69 | 0.60% | $2,890 | $2,587.5 | $-302.5 | -10.5% | $-622.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 1,156 | 20,808 | 71 | 0.34% | $5,202 | $5,325 | $123 | 2.4% | $-360 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 1,156 | 11,560 | 14 | 0.12% | $2,890 | $3,150 | $260 | 9.0% | $-840 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,066 | 10,660 | 56 | 0.53% | $2,665 | $2,137.5 | $-527.5 | -19.8% | $-547.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 1,156 | 20,808 | 75 | 0.36% | $5,202 | $5,550 | $348 | 6.7% | $-589.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 1,156 | 11,560 | 38 | 0.33% | $2,890 | $2,775 | $-115 | -4.0% | $-727.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 1,156 | 11,560 | 40 | 0.35% | $2,890 | $2,325 | $-565 | -19.6% | $-700 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 1,156 | 5,780 | 27 | 0.47% | $1,445 | $1,012.5 | $-432.5 | -29.9% | $-466.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 1,156 | 138,720 | 838 | 0.60% | $34,680 | $31,425 | $-3,255 | -9.4% | $-3,255 |
Window summary.
6 of 24 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) (+16.8% ROI, net +$388.00)
Top Net Dollars: RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$388.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$348.00 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$260.00
Top Net Dollars: RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$388.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$348.00 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$260.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$8 | -$57 | -$12 | -$37 | +$213 | +$235 | +$388 | 6/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$18 | +$116 | +$273 | +$284 | +$563 | +$612 | +$348 | 6/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$10 | +$285 | +$60 | +$508 | +$725 | +$490 | +$260 | 5/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$5 | -$45 | -$120 | -$84 | -$50 | +$95 | +$130 | 4/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$18 | -$147 | +$48 | -$167 | +$225 | +$387 | +$123 | 6/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$2 | -$23 | -$16 | -$36 | -$46 | +$27 | +$26 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Chase (Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$39 | -$47 | -$25 | -$116 | -$27 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$5 | +$46 | +$131 | +$76 | -$1 | -$68 | -$27 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1) | -$1 | -$12 | -$30 | -$67 | -$104 | -$61 | -$78 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$3 | -$32 | -$29 | -$63 | -$79 | -$82 | -$83 | 2/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$4 | +$92 | +$172 | +$120 | +$11 | -$90 | -$93 | 6/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$39 | -$9 | -$25 | -$79 | -$102 | 1/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$65 | +$398 | +$248 | +$58 | -$175 | -$35 | -$115 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) | -$1 | -$17 | -$39 | -$84 | -$99 | -$189 | -$137 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$8 | +$18 | -$87 | -$149 | -$163 | -$103 | -$175 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$2 | -$47 | -$100 | -$154 | -$177 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$8 | -$20 | -$162 | -$262 | -$200 | -$253 | -$287 | 4/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$10 | +$135 | +$60 | +$320 | -$175 | -$185 | -$303 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$9 | -$28 | -$5 | -$178 | -$133 | -$280 | -$305 | 5/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$5 | -$45 | -$120 | -$121 | -$313 | -$393 | -$433 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$10 | -$53 | -$90 | -$18 | -$175 | -$523 | -$528 | 3/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$8 | -$57 | -$87 | -$149 | -$350 | -$403 | -$550 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$65 | +$135 | +$60 | -$18 | -$63 | -$485 | -$565 | 4/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$45 | -$255 | -$480 | -$848 | -$2,063 | -$2,858 | -$3,255 | 3/12 |