Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,349 archive drawings (2023-01-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 6 | 0.48% | $314.75 | $225 | $-89.75 | -28.5% | $-117 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.2 | 1,349 | 4,336 | 21 | 0.48% | $1,084 | $787.5 | $-296.5 | -27.4% | $-311.25 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 10 | 0.79% | $314.75 | $375 | $60.25 | 19.1% | $-100 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 1,349 | 1,753 | 12 | 0.68% | $438.25 | $450 | $11.75 | 2.7% | $-116.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 1,349 | 2,394 | 16 | 0.67% | $598.5 | $600 | $1.5 | 0.3% | $-168.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.4 | 1,349 | 11,331 | 74 | 0.65% | $2,832.75 | $2,850 | $17.25 | 0.6% | $-243 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 2 | 0.16% | $314.75 | $112.5 | $-202.25 | -64.3% | $-205.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 3 | 0.24% | $314.75 | $187.5 | $-127.25 | -40.4% | $-205.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 8 | 0.64% | $314.75 | $375 | $60.25 | 19.1% | $-84 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 5 | 0.40% | $314.75 | $225 | $-89.75 | -28.5% | $-124 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 1,349 | 3,777 | 12 | 0.32% | $944.25 | $637.5 | $-306.75 | -32.5% | $-394.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.5 | 1,349 | 10,072 | 37 | 0.37% | $2,518 | $1,837.5 | $-680.5 | -27.0% | $-711 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.5 | 1,349 | 10,072 | 59 | 0.59% | $2,518 | $2,700 | $182 | 7.2% | $-285.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.5 | 1,349 | 10,072 | 58 | 0.58% | $2,518 | $2,700 | $182 | 7.2% | $-237 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.5 | 1,349 | 10,072 | 59 | 0.59% | $2,518 | $2,700 | $182 | 7.2% | $-285.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.7 | 1,349 | 6,295 | 22 | 0.35% | $1,573.75 | $975 | $-598.75 | -38.0% | $-622.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 7 | 0.56% | $314.75 | $337.5 | $22.75 | 7.2% | $-88 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.5 | 1,349 | 10,072 | 46 | 0.46% | $2,518 | $2,250 | $-268 | -10.6% | $-495.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 2 | 0.16% | $314.75 | $112.5 | $-202.25 | -64.3% | $-231 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 2 | 0.16% | $314.75 | $150 | $-164.75 | -52.3% | $-235.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.2 | 1,349 | 4,353 | 15 | 0.34% | $1,088.25 | $600 | $-488.25 | -44.9% | $-545.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.3 | 1,349 | 12,590 | 65 | 0.52% | $3,147.5 | $2,437.5 | $-710 | -22.6% | $-907.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.8 | 1,349 | 22,662 | 67 | 0.30% | $5,665.5 | $5,025 | $-640.5 | -11.3% | $-817.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.3 | 1,349 | 12,590 | 18 | 0.14% | $3,147.5 | $4,050 | $902.5 | 28.7% | $-767.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.3 | 1,349 | 12,590 | 68 | 0.54% | $3,147.5 | $2,587.5 | $-560 | -17.8% | $-667.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.8 | 1,349 | 22,662 | 77 | 0.34% | $5,665.5 | $4,725 | $-940.5 | -16.6% | $-1,269 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.3 | 1,349 | 12,590 | 41 | 0.33% | $3,147.5 | $2,512.5 | $-635 | -20.2% | $-892.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.3 | 1,349 | 12,590 | 44 | 0.35% | $3,147.5 | $2,625 | $-522.5 | -16.6% | $-832.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 1,349 | 6,295 | 31 | 0.49% | $1,573.75 | $1,162.5 | $-411.25 | -26.1% | $-581.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 112.0 | 1,349 | 151,080 | 129 | 0.09% | $37,770 | $4,837.5 | $-32,932.5 | -87.2% | $-32,932.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$902.50 · Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$182.00 · Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine +$182.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$25 | +$270 | +$268 | +$713 | +$475 | +$460 | +$910 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$20 | +$6 | +$274 | +$135 | +$155 | +$173 | +$188 | 6/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$20 | -$32 | +$162 | +$173 | +$155 | +$173 | +$188 | 8/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$20 | +$6 | +$274 | +$135 | +$155 | +$173 | +$188 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$57 | +$109 | +$139 | +$123 | +$69 | +$128 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | +$95 | +$109 | +$101 | +$48 | +$106 | +$61 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | +$78 | +$73 | +$99 | +$113 | +$89 | +$28 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | +$88 | +$56 | +$68 | +$91 | +$76 | +$28 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$49 | -$65 | +$31 | +$27 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | +$15 | +$63 | +$83 | +$86 | +$203 | +$92 | +$19 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | +$57 | +$34 | +$26 | +$10 | -$82 | -$21 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$49 | -$65 | -$157 | -$57 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$65 | -$44 | -$89 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$3 | -$49 | -$28 | -$82 | -$89 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$57 | +$34 | -$11 | -$103 | -$119 | -$164 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$194 | -$202 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$20 | +$44 | +$162 | -$15 | -$220 | -$240 | -$262 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$9 | -$62 | -$65 | +$3 | -$161 | -$214 | -$293 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | +$21 | -$10 | +$4 | -$195 | -$282 | -$305 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | +$25 | +$23 | -$16 | -$131 | -$325 | -$408 | -$408 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$25 | -$30 | -$33 | +$0 | -$200 | -$253 | -$440 | 5/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$9 | -$62 | +$9 | -$73 | -$201 | -$330 | -$485 | 2/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$13 | -$143 | -$333 | -$375 | -$688 | -$703 | -$515 | 3/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$13 | -$15 | -$54 | -$169 | -$363 | -$520 | -$595 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$45 | -$174 | -$434 | -$203 | -$345 | -$642 | -$627 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$25 | -$30 | -$258 | -$300 | -$388 | -$553 | -$628 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$20 | -$32 | -$139 | -$165 | -$445 | -$615 | -$675 | 4/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$50 | +$8 | -$70 | -$38 | -$200 | -$665 | -$703 | 6/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$30 | -$99 | -$359 | -$240 | -$645 | -$905 | -$927 | 5/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$75 | -$210 | -$428 | -$5,513 | -$16,463 | -$27,443 | -$3,855 | 1/12 |