Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 731 archive drawings (2024-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 3 | 0.42% | $178 | $112.5 | $-65.5 | -36.8% | $-117.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.4 | 731 | 2,452 | 12 | 0.49% | $613 | $450 | $-163 | -26.6% | $-176 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 8 | 1.12% | $178 | $300 | $122 | 68.5% | $-53.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 731 | 991 | 9 | 0.91% | $247.75 | $337.5 | $89.75 | 36.2% | $-89.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 731 | 1,354 | 12 | 0.89% | $338.5 | $450 | $111.5 | 32.9% | $-100.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.8 | 731 | 6,408 | 46 | 0.72% | $1,602 | $1,800 | $198 | 12.4% | $-219 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 2 | 0.28% | $178 | $112.5 | $-65.5 | -36.8% | $-68.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 3 | 0.42% | $178 | $187.5 | $9.5 | 5.3% | $-68.25 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 5 | 0.70% | $178 | $225 | $47 | 26.4% | $-84 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 3 | 0.42% | $178 | $150 | $-28 | -15.7% | $-76 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 731 | 2,136 | 7 | 0.33% | $534 | $337.5 | $-196.5 | -36.8% | $-253.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 731 | 5,696 | 20 | 0.35% | $1,424 | $975 | $-449 | -31.5% | $-475.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.8 | 731 | 5,696 | 34 | 0.60% | $1,424 | $1,575 | $151 | 10.6% | $-285.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.8 | 731 | 5,696 | 33 | 0.58% | $1,424 | $1,575 | $151 | 10.6% | $-237 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.8 | 731 | 5,696 | 34 | 0.60% | $1,424 | $1,575 | $151 | 10.6% | $-285.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.9 | 731 | 3,560 | 12 | 0.34% | $890 | $525 | $-365 | -41.0% | $-386.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 3 | 0.42% | $178 | $112.5 | $-65.5 | -36.8% | $-87.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.8 | 731 | 5,696 | 24 | 0.42% | $1,424 | $1,200 | $-224 | -15.7% | $-495.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 0 | 0.00% | $178 | $0 | $-178 | -100.0% | $-178 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 1 | 0.14% | $178 | $75 | $-103 | -57.9% | $-159.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 0 | 0.00% | $178 | $0 | $-178 | -100.0% | $-178 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 0 | 0.00% | $178 | $0 | $-178 | -100.0% | $-178 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 0 | 0.00% | $178 | $0 | $-178 | -100.0% | $-178 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 0 | 0.00% | $178 | $0 | $-178 | -100.0% | $-178 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 0 | 0.00% | $178 | $0 | $-178 | -100.0% | $-178 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 731 | 712 | 0 | 0.00% | $178 | $0 | $-178 | -100.0% | $-178 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.4 | 731 | 2,461 | 10 | 0.41% | $615.25 | $412.5 | $-202.75 | -33.0% | $-258.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.7 | 731 | 7,120 | 42 | 0.59% | $1,780 | $1,575 | $-205 | -11.5% | $-285 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.5 | 731 | 12,816 | 38 | 0.30% | $3,204 | $2,850 | $-354 | -11.1% | $-547.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.7 | 731 | 7,120 | 10 | 0.14% | $1,780 | $2,250 | $470 | 26.4% | $-605 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.7 | 731 | 7,120 | 42 | 0.59% | $1,780 | $1,575 | $-205 | -11.5% | $-307.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.5 | 731 | 12,816 | 44 | 0.34% | $3,204 | $2,550 | $-654 | -20.4% | $-685.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.7 | 731 | 7,120 | 23 | 0.32% | $1,780 | $1,387.5 | $-392.5 | -22.1% | $-420 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.7 | 731 | 7,120 | 21 | 0.29% | $1,780 | $1,087.5 | $-692.5 | -38.9% | $-700 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.9 | 731 | 3,560 | 15 | 0.42% | $890 | $562.5 | $-327.5 | -36.8% | $-418.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 116.9 | 731 | 85,440 | 129 | 0.15% | $21,360 | $4,837.5 | $-16,522.5 | -77.3% | $-16,522.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$470.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$198.00 · Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$151.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$30 | +$265 | +$263 | +$708 | +$470 | +$455 | +$910 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$24 | +$2 | +$270 | +$131 | +$151 | +$169 | +$188 | 6/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$24 | -$36 | +$158 | +$169 | +$151 | +$169 | +$188 | 8/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$24 | +$2 | +$270 | +$131 | +$151 | +$169 | +$188 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$57 | +$109 | +$138 | +$122 | +$68 | +$128 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | +$94 | +$109 | +$101 | +$47 | +$106 | +$61 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$6 | +$77 | +$72 | +$98 | +$112 | +$88 | +$28 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | +$87 | +$55 | +$67 | +$90 | +$75 | +$28 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$49 | -$66 | +$31 | +$27 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | +$11 | +$59 | +$79 | +$82 | +$198 | +$87 | +$19 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | +$57 | +$34 | +$26 | +$10 | -$82 | -$21 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$49 | -$66 | -$157 | -$57 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$66 | -$45 | -$89 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$4 | -$49 | -$28 | -$82 | -$89 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$57 | +$34 | -$12 | -$103 | -$120 | -$164 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$195 | -$202 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$24 | +$40 | +$158 | -$19 | -$224 | -$244 | -$262 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$10 | -$64 | -$67 | +$1 | -$163 | -$216 | -$293 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$9 | +$20 | -$11 | +$2 | -$197 | -$284 | -$305 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$270 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | +$23 | +$20 | -$19 | -$134 | -$328 | -$410 | -$408 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$30 | -$35 | -$38 | -$5 | -$205 | -$258 | -$440 | 5/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$10 | -$64 | +$8 | -$75 | -$203 | -$332 | -$485 | 2/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$8 | -$148 | -$338 | -$380 | -$693 | -$708 | -$515 | 3/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$15 | -$18 | -$56 | -$171 | -$365 | -$523 | -$595 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$54 | -$183 | -$443 | -$212 | -$354 | -$651 | -$627 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$30 | -$35 | -$263 | -$305 | -$393 | -$558 | -$628 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$24 | -$36 | -$143 | -$169 | -$449 | -$619 | -$675 | 4/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$45 | +$3 | -$75 | -$43 | -$205 | -$670 | -$703 | 6/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$21 | -$108 | -$368 | -$249 | -$654 | -$914 | -$927 | 5/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$135 | -$270 | -$488 | -$5,573 | -$16,523 | -$27,503 | -$3,855 | 1/12 |