Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 62 archive drawings (2026-08-05 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $93.75 / double $187.50 / two-double $375.00 / triple $562.50 / quadruple $2250.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
0 families every drawing across
62 drawings accumulates
8 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | 1.0 | 62 | 64 | 0 | 0.00% | $16 | $0 | $-16 | -100.0% | $-16 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 0.2 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 0.00% | $3 | $0 | $-3 | -100.0% | $-3 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.2 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 0.00% | $3 | $0 | $-3 | -100.0% | $-3 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.4 | 62 | 23 | 0 | 0.00% | $5.75 | $0 | $-5.75 | -100.0% | $-5.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 1.0 | 62 | 64 | 0 | 0.00% | $16 | $0 | $-16 | -100.0% | $-16 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 0.0 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | $0.5 | $0 | $-0.5 | -100.0% | $-0.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 1 | 1.25% | $20 | $562.5 | $542.5 | 2712.5% | $0 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 0 | 0.00% | $36 | $0 | $-36 | -100.0% | $-36 |
| Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 1 | 0.69% | $36 | $375 | $339 | 941.7% | $0 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 1 | 0.69% | $36 | $375 | $339 | 941.7% | $0 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 1 | 1.25% | $20 | $375 | $355 | 1775.0% | $0 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 0.6 | 62 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 27.1 | 62 | 1,680 | 4 | 0.24% | $420 | $375 | $-45 | -10.7% | $-45 |
| Consensus Panel | 1.1 | 62 | 70 | 0 | 0.00% | $17.5 | $0 | $-17.5 | -100.0% | $-17.5 |
Window summary.
4 of 23 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) (+2712.5% ROI, net +$542.50)
Top Net Dollars: Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) +$542.50 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$355.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$339.00
Top Net Dollars: Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) +$542.50 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$355.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$339.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$355 | +$608 | +$715 | +$368 | +$1,824 | +$181 | +$954 | 8/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$339 | +$906 | +$2,150 | +$2,480 | +$2,008 | -$349 | +$442 | 9/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$10 | +$116 | +$76 | +$278 | +$490 | +$419 | +$430 | 7/12 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | -$20 | +$45 | -$410 | -$383 | -$520 | +$369 | +$298 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | -$2 | -$33 | -$79 | +$18 | +$211 | +$121 | +$30 | 1/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$1 | -$8 | -$20 | -$36 | +$32 | +$16 | +$12 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$2 | -$28 | -$63 | -$23 | +$55 | -$35 | -$65 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$2 | -$28 | -$63 | -$23 | +$55 | -$35 | -$65 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | -$20 | -$143 | -$598 | -$851 | -$708 | +$88 | -$78 | 2/12 |
| Consensus Panel | -$18 | +$58 | -$404 | -$607 | -$753 | +$234 | -$91 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$3 | +$130 | +$155 | +$96 | -$4 | -$93 | -$120 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$3 | -$45 | -$6 | -$33 | -$83 | -$119 | -$126 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$6 | -$75 | -$188 | -$260 | -$44 | -$201 | -$240 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$16 | -$77 | -$441 | -$419 | -$191 | -$436 | -$325 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | -$16 | +$486 | +$122 | -$419 | -$191 | +$33 | -$418 | 3/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$20 | +$45 | +$59 | +$274 | -$239 | -$288 | -$453 | 7/12 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | +$543 | +$233 | +$2,028 | +$2,055 | +$230 | -$850 | -$828 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$20 | +$233 | -$223 | -$1,133 | -$895 | -$2,163 | -$828 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$36 | +$156 | +$462 | +$887 | +$789 | -$630 | -$1,527 | 8/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$20 | +$45 | -$129 | -$195 | -$801 | -$1,413 | -$1,634 | 3/12 |
| Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) | -$20 | -$330 | +$1,465 | +$555 | -$1,270 | -$850 | -$1,765 | 1/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | +$339 | +$156 | +$650 | +$230 | -$524 | -$2,880 | -$2,090 | 5/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$45 | -$86 | -$1,110 | -$3,814 | -$8,858 | -$10,725 | -$12,315 | 2/12 |